Lost in the unfolding controversy about the possible deployment of nuclear-capable strategic bombers in Cuba is an explanation of how the flap began. The current controversy arose with an article Monday July 21 in the Russian newspaper Izvestia, said to be close to the centers of power in the Kremlin. What is not yet clear is how Russians came to consider Cuba as a possible refueling site for strategic bombers. But a Miami expert on Cuba believes the root of the controversy dates back to a speech by then Russian president Vladimir Putin last year. Read on.
In the now famous article, Izvestia said Russia is considering sending long-range bombers to Cuba in response to Washington's intentions to deploy an antimissile system in eastern Europe. (The Associated Press 1997 file photo shows a Tupolev-160 bomber during a combat training flight in Russia).
An item on this blog by my blogging colleague Renato Perez Pizarro quoted Izvestia as saying: "While [the Americans] deploy antimissile systems in Poland and
the Czech Republic, our long-range strategic aircraft will be landing on Cuba."
Izvestia attributed that statement to a military source and added that talk of a deployment was ongoing, “but it's only talk."
Perez Pizarro noted in his blog item that the source Izvestia quoted did not say whether the planes would be stationed permanently on the island, but that a former official at the Russian Defense Ministry, Col. Gen. Leonid Ivashov, pointed out Cuba could be used as “an auxiliary airport for refueling," the same way Russia now uses the Cape Verde islands.
That piece in Izvestia is the one that launched the still ongoing furor about whether Russia is planning to challenge the United States like Moscow did with nuclear missiles during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.
Within hours of the Izvestia report, the Russian defense ministry denied it and then White House spokeswoman Dana Perino minimized the whole situation, calling Russia a partner -- not a threat. On Thursday, the Russian Defense Ministry moved more aggressively to tamp down speculation calling the Izvestia report a “hoax.’’
But also on Thurdsday Izvestia surprised the world yet again with a report attributed to Russian defense ministry sources as saying that bomber crews had visited Cuba to survey for sites for possible refueling stops.
Two Cuba experts at the University of Miami’s Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies, said it was possible Russia is trying to nudge the U.S. toward the negotiating table on the anti-missile system in Eastern Europe. But one of the experts said the report may be linked to the Putin speech.
“It appears to me that the Russian leadership doesn’t want us trying to build that anti-missile system in its periphery and is trying to put a little pressure on us,’’ said Brian Latell, a former CIA analyst on Cuba and Latin America.
“It could be a trial balloon to scare the Americans to bring them to table over the
anti-missile system in eastern Europe or it could be a desire of Russia to extend its reach into several parts of the world,’’ said Jaime Suchlicki, director of UM’s Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies.
Suchlicki, who believes Venezuela could also be a refueling stop for Russian aircraft, recalled that last year Putin ordered the resumption of long-range patrols by strategic bombers which had ended with the Soviet collapse.
“I have made a decision to resume regular flights of Russian strategic aviation,’’ Putin said in televised remarks Aug. 17, 2007 during joint Russian-Chinese maneuvers. “We proceed from the assumption that our partners will view the resumption of flights of Russia's strategic aviation with understanding.’’
Suchlicki may have found the genesis of the current Cuba bomber flap.
-- Alfonso Chardy