Brian Latell (left), a former CIA analyst on Cuba and Latin America, says Cuba may be facing an embryonic rebellion of the young.
Latell, now a senior research associate at the University of Miami’s Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies, suggested that possibility in his latest Latell Report available on the institute’s website: http://ctp.iccas.miami.edu/main.htm
“Fidel [Castro] himself, in late 2005, during one of his last major speeches, warned an audience of Cuban youth that ‘this country can self-destruct. The revolution can destroy itself,’ ’’ Latell wrote in his March 2008 report titled Cuba’s Unquiet Youth. “A short time later his warnings were reiterated by foreign minister, Felipe Perez Roque, who expounded at length about the disaffection, alienation, and apathy of Cuban youth. He too warned that the revolution could destroy itself.
“More than two years later, with generational problems considerably more aggravated, Cuba’s leaders understand they have no good options. What they probably cannot yet be sure of, however, is whether they are experiencing an incipient rebellion of the country’s youth.’’
Latell based his report partly on a landmark event that took place at the institute last month when five UM students chatted for an hour via Internet video phone with several Cuban youths sitting around a living room.
Organizers asked reporters who witnessed the event not to identify the Cuban youths who were shown on a large screen (left) inside a room at UM's Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies.
During the chat, the Cuban youths openly criticized the Cuban government referring to it as “dictatorship” and “tyranny.’’
One of the Cuban youths said that eventually there might be anti-government youth protests in the streets of Cuban cities in the same way as in other countries.
When Andy Gomez, the UM assistant provost who moderated the video chat, asked the Cuban youths how long they were willing to wait for change patiently, one replied that while it was “illogical’’ to think of forceful street protests in Cuba “it may happen one day as has happened in Venezuela or as happened in Burma.’’
Latell told The Miami Herald after the video chat that while Cuban youths were becoming more dissatisfied he did not think they were as yet organized in a movement.
One of the Cuban youths who participated in the video chat read Latell’s comment and reacted to it in a message relayed through one of the people who helped organize the video chat.
“Advise Mr. Brian Latell that his observation is not true,’’ the youth wrote in a note. “There is organization among the dissident and opposition youths, and we have been working for a long time to bring about changes in Cuba.’’
Latell took note of the young man's reaction and wrote in Cuba's Unquiet Youth: "To whatever extent these activist youth are organized, it appears that they already pose a challenge of unprecedented scope and intensity for the new regime.''
-- Alfonso Chardy