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A mock draft of picks 1-13 by national media

For a few years now writers and columnists from the 32 NFL cities have been doing a live mock draft. The idea is to have folks with a solid finger on the pulse of their teams run through the exercise and see how the actual draft might go.

The first leg of that draft happened Sunday, as 13 selections were made. I made the selection for the Dolphins among the list of national media. (And I recognize you are now asking, 'Why did Salguero make the Miami pick if it's supposed to be done by someone with a good idea what the team will do?')

Folks, this isn't science. I made the pick for Miami, like it or not.

I am not predicting this will be Miami's pick.

The greater point is, judging from the picks made by folks ahead of the Dolphins, I would tell you the Dolphins will have quite a few talented players to pick from at No. 12 if the writers have any clue what their teams might do.

The exercise suggests that when Miami picks at No. 12 great talent will remain on the board for the Dolphins if they do not trade down. In this mock, Earl Thomas, Jimmy Clausen, Mike Iupati, Derrick Morgan, Dez Bryant, Sergio Kindle, and Dan Williams are all available to Miami at No. 12.

If that happens on draft day, I would tell you the Dolphins will try to bug out of No. 12. Clausen will have value to someone. Bryant may have value to someone. Thomas will have value to someone, as well as to Miami.

The Dolphins may be able to trade down and get back a second or third round pick. Of course, all this is speculation, an opportunity for you to disagree. It's a mock draft.

1: St. Louis Rams (By Jim Thomas, St. Louis Post Dispatch).

The skinny: After passing on Mark Sanchez and Matt Ryan in the past two years, the Rams won't pass on Sam Bradford this year. Only what GM Billy Devaney calls a "king's ransom" of picks and players in a trade down will keep St. Louis from taking Bradford. After three subpar seasons, two-time Pro Bowler Marc Bulger was released, leaving only A.J. Feeley, and small-school projects Keith Null, and Mike Reilly on the roster at QB. The pick: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma.

2: Detroit Lions (By Mike O'Hara, longtime Lions beat writer for Detroit News).

The skinny: The Leos have ranked last in the NFL in yards allowed for three straight years, and the interior defense has been especially soft. Ndamukong Suh can give them more than a run-stuffing tackle. He can get pressure up the middle on the quarterback, and his presence will free up players such as Kyle Vanden Bosch and Cliff Avril to get single blocking to rush the passer. The pick: DT Ndamukong Suh, Nebraska.

3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (By Ira Kaufman, Tampa Tribune).

The skinny: The Bucs finished last in rushing defense and their starting DTs were Ryan Sims and Chris Hovan. Enough said. It's hard to imagine the Bucs passing on either Suh or Gerald McCoy at No. 3. If both are gone, the Bucs will entertain offers to move down and perhaps land S Eric Berry. Other pressing needs are DE, WR, CB and G. Tampa Bay was strangely silent in the offseason for a 3-13 club, signing free agent S Sean Jones and trading for Eagles WR Reggie Brown. Second-year QB Josh Freeman desperately needs more weapons, but GM Mark Dominik and coach Raheem Morris are committed to rebuilding a once-proud defense and the D-line is in shambles. I believe they prefer Suh over McCoy, but they won't mind turning in a card with McCoy's name on it Thursday evening. The pick: DT Gerald McCoy, Oklahoma.

4: Washington Redskins (By David Elfin, longtime beat writer for the Washington Times).

The skinny: If there was any doubt that the Redskins would use the No. 4 on a LT to replace Chris Samuels (who had to retire because of spinal issues), that was erased when they traded for Donovan McNabb to replace incumbent Jason Campbell. After a 4-12 season, their worst since 1994, the Redskins have plenty of needs (see above) not to mention unhappy DT Albert Haynesworth and LB Rocky McIntosh, who skipped this weekend's "voluntary" minicamp, but they are bereft at LT beyond the marginal Stephon Heyer, who started at RT last season. Washington hopes that Okung can be a carbon copy of Samuels, who made six Pro Bowls in 10 seasons after being chosen second overall in the 2000 draft. The pick: OT Russell Okung, Oklahoma State.

5: Kansas City Chiefs (By Randy Covitz, Kansas City Star).

The skinny: I would be lying if I said I had any idea what Scott Pioli is thinking other than I know it's something completely different than the rest of us (see Tyson Jackson). While they don't have a safety to line up and play a game, I'm not buying into the Eric Berry hype. Just too high a pick for a safety when the Chiefs can grab one with one of their two second-rounders. Of course, some say they can get an OT in the second round. I really think Pioli wants to trade down, pick up extra picks, take a Rolando McClain or an Earl Thomas later in the first round or one of the second-tier OTs. Short of predicting trades, I've been giving them Iowa OT Bryan Bulaga with the fifth pick in most mock drafts, though if Suh falls there, they'd have to grab him. They can play Bulaga at RT or move Branden Albert from LT to RT and plug in Bulaga at LT. He's a safe pick and fits their profile. The Chiefs allowed 45 sacks last season. Trent Williams' inconsistency and work ethic does not fit what Piioli calls The Right 53. The pick: OT Bryan Bulaga, Iowa .

6: Seattle Seahawks (By Danny O'Neil, Seattle Times).

The skinny: General manager John Schneider is running his first draft, and in Green Bay he worked for a team that made a habit of trading down in the draft order to acquire more picks. Trading down will be a consideration at No. 14, but at No. 6, expect Seattle to take a left tackle. While Walter Jones has not officially retired, the Seahawks are planning as if he won't return. Seattle started four different players at left tackle last year, two of whom were not on the team's roster when training camp began (Brandon Frye and Damion McIntosh). Seattle held its first minicamp last week, which showed just how thin Seattle is along the offensive line. Both of the tackles on the second-string offensive line were tryout players. Seattle is high on safety Eric Berry, who played for Monte Kiffin last season at Tennessee. Kiffin remains a formative influence on new Seattle coach Pete Carroll, but the Seahawks' needs on offense are simply more urgent as Seattle hasn't chosen an offensive player in the first round since choosing center Chris Spencer in 2005. The pick: OT Trent Williams, Oklahoma.

7: Cleveland Browns (By Tony Grossi, Cleveland Plain Dealer). 

The skinny: Forget a trade up with Rams. Forget taking Jimmy Clausen. Mike Holmgren's statement to me about wishing he liked Clausen more was not a smokescreen; he was being candid. Could he have been won over by now? Possibly, but Holmgren realizes the team has many more urgent needs. He paid Jake Delhomme $7 million for 2010 and thinks the world of backup Seneca Wallace. Odds are down to 50-50 that Holmgren even picks a QB, perhaps using two 3s to move into 2d for McCoy. Otherwise, he might wait till 5th ... I seriously doubt they would trade up with Kansas City to take Eric Berry. I just don't think they like Berry enough to give up a 3 for him. Like everyone else, they like to move down. Potential move-down possibilities are Penn State DE Jared Odrick (they love him and they've got nothing but over-30s at DEs) and OG Mike Iupati. If they stay at No. 7 and Berry's there, I'd say Berry. If he's not there, they may consider Odrick that high, but my best guess would be Texas S Earl Thomas (if Berry's not there). CB Joe Haden was eliminated when they traded for Sheldon Brown. Dez Bryant or C.J. Spiller? I think Bryant scares them (post-Braylon Edwards). Spiller is a glorified Jerome Harrison, who they already have. Derrick Morgan or Jason Pierre-Paul? Neither are fits in the 3-4 and the Browns had more sacks (40) last year than 8 playoff teams, including God's gift to the NFL, the Jets. The pick: FS Eric Berry, Tennessee.

8: Oakland Raiders (By Nancy Gay, AOL Fanhouse)

The skinny: Al Davis is tempted – really tempted – to pick Notre Dame quarterback Jimmy Clausen here, since he is still on the board and even the owner seems to be losing patience with JaMarcus Russell. But can the Raiders afford another first-round quarterback mistake? No way. The team has four quarterbacks on the roster now (Russell, Bruce Gradkowski, Charlie Frye, Kyle Boller) but has no legitimate left tackle to protect any of them. He may consider Oklahoma OT Trent Williams here and is intrigued by the potential of USF. DE Jason Pierre-Paul, but Davis won’t be able to forget what one of the Combine’s celebrated workout stars. The pick: OT Bruce Campbell, Maryland.

9: Buffalo Bills (By Mark Gaughan, Buffalo News).

The skinny: The Bills' entire 2009 season was held hostage by the OT position. But the top three tackles are gone. Don't think they will reach for Anthony Davis here. I don't think they will go with Clausen even though you could make a good case for it. They're kind of stuck. Look for a surprise pick. They will go best player available. Possiblities include C.J. Spiller, Dan Williams and Rolando McClain. The pick: RB C.J. Spiller, Clemson.

10: Jacksonville Jaguars (By Vito Stellino, Florida Times-Union).

The skinny: What they want to do is trade down. They hope somebody will want to trade up for Clausen. They want more picks and don't think they'll get value at 10. Think they'll have to overpay. They would have liked one of the 3 OT tackles and could play Eban Britton at guard but they're gone. So is Spiller. Gene Smith is a best available guy. The pick: ILB Rolando McClain, Alabama.

11: Denver Broncos (By Jeff Legwold, Denver Post)

The skinny: If the Jags or anybody else indeed take McClain as this scenario had unfolded, they're going to be looking to get out and move down. They're looking wide receiver at the top of the second, though Josh McDaniels (some smokescreen) went on and on Friday about how Dez Bryant is not a bad guy. So that is a slight possibility here. However, they would love to move down a little, get a pick and take Florida center Maurkice Pouncey, who could start from the moment they draft him. So, that's who I would give them here with the caveat they would try to move down to do it. They do like Dan Williams as well as a guy to go in the rotation at the nose so he is a possibility as well. But Pouncey would be my pick with a move down to do it. The pick: C Markice Pouncey, Florida.

12: Miami Dolphins (By Mando, The Miami Herald).

The skinny: The Dolphins are in the market for extra picks. They want to recover the second-rounder they gave up for Brandon Marshall. Another reason they want to add picks is they currently have no proven starter at FS, SOLB, and LG. NT is also a problem because 36-year-old Jason Ferguson will serve an 8-game suspension for testing positive for performance enhancing drugs. He won't be availabe until November, meaning Miami has issues at NT as well. If Miami cannot get out of the pick and add a second- or third-rounder in the process, it will look to fill one of its top needs. Bill Parcells is still looking for his new Lawrence Taylor. After carefully considering Earl Thomas (who's visited twice and worked out) and Dan Williams (who has the measurables at NT), the Dolphins go with the pass-rusher. The pick: OLB Derrick Morgan, Georgia Tech.

13: San Francisco 49'ers (by Nancy Gay, AOL Fanhouse).

The skinny: Offensive tackle (LT Joe Staley is very solid but RT Adam Snyder struggles in pass protection and is really a backup thrust into a starting role); cornerback (LCB Walt Harris is recovering from ACL surgery, big-money free agent bust Nate Clements was replaced in the starting lineup last season by ’07 fifth-round pick Tarell Brown and talented Shawntae Spencer is better as a nickel CB); outside linebacker (Niners need a hybrid pass rushing LB/end who can excel in both fronts); nose tackle; wide receiver. The 49'ers are thrilled to grab the top-rated CB in the draft, who excels in press coverage and should have an easier transition to the NFL than most college cornerbacks. Coach Mike Singletary isn’t worried about the knocks on Haden’s speed; he’s more impressed with Haden’s physical play against top SEC receivers. The pick: CB Joe Haden, Florida.

OK, the countdown is on before someone comments that my pick is wrong. 3-2-1...


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First baby!!!

I think that you're wrong Mando. If Earl Thomas is still on the board, they take him. He's too much of a play-maker to pass up.

Where is everyone???

Taylor Mays will be the next Ronnie Lott but can be had later. He will be the class of this draft in the Defensive backfield. Write it down!

Go Phins!

I for the life of me don't understand why everyone has Bulaga slated to KC, when all of those same people say that he projects at RT. A true mystery to me. I don't think Trent Williams is as far behind Okung as many think, and is certainly better than Bulaga. I know Iowa is great at coaching up OL, but I just don't see taking a RT in the top 20 picks. No way KC goes with him at 5. I have Bulaga behind Okung, Williams, Brown and Davis. Although KC took Tyson Jackson about 15 spots too high last year, so who knows.

We have holes at NT, OLB, FS, LG, TE, and Returner....I got an idea, trade Ronnie so we can get another pick but at the same time open another hole....stupid thoughts people....Ronnie should stay....Simple as that....Why mess with the number one running game in the league (until two top rbs got hurt)....The running game will be even better with Marshall on board...

I wouldn't be surprised if Parcells gets a player like Taylor Mays, who no one expects them to pick. It wouldn't be a shock to anyone who knows Parcells. It's all smoke in mirrors folks.

We need more of a Free Safety type that can cover....We have Bell to be the enforcer....Covering TE's was our top problem last year (or at least one of them, lol)

I'm sorry I meant smoke and mirrors.

That would be Earl Thomas; we NEED that Guy!

If we pick at 12, it should be Earl Thomas. Would prefer to trade back for Graham in the late first.

Agreed Snowman. If we do pick at 12, which seems likely, the pick has to be thomas, not morgan. We have a more glaring need at FS than OLB. If we do trade down to 24 with the eagles, then thomas would be gone by then, and we could pick up Graham, kindle or weatherspoon in the late 1st.

Thats what im sayin too.Well said arsenalgreek13

Word usage: the 1st word of your article should be 'For' not 'Four'.

If we stay, it seems it will be either Thomas or Williams though Ive also heard Pierre, Morgan, and Kindle....Id love to trade down two times till we get a few picks in the second round....we could move out of the first and Id be happy.....Id count Marshall as our top pick, lol

I agree with the pick of morgan with mclain off the board. If Morgan is also off the board then either kindle or williams will be the pick. Miami will go front seven first, Then they go S in rounds 3 or 4 where they'll plenty of good ones availible .

Snowman.. Wonder why they don't really consider Graham. he clearly seems to be the best pass rusher in the draft. i understand that physically he doesn't fit their wanted stature, but damn that guy can get it done. A smokescreen or they really have no interest?

Could very well be a smokescreen. They don't want to show their hands; they could possibly draft him and say "he's the guy we've been targeting all along!"

Earl Thomas is too small for the pros. Trade down for more picks.

With Clausen, Morgan, Williams, Kindle, Bryant, and Thomas still on the board, Miami should trade down and get a later first round plus a second round pick. They still may have a chance to get Morgan or Williams or to get Graham or Hughes if the others are off the board by the time they pick. They could also pick Iupati -- could you image him next to Jake Long -- that would really solidify the offense. The second round pick would be of value in this draft -- plenty there for the picking.

Nice job though picking Morgan. He could play SS OLB as a good run stuffer and then the Trifecta could sign JT to play WS OLB with Wake giving the old man a rest from time to time.

Too small for the pros? Have you seen Bob Sanders of the Colts???

FB wouldn't be surprised they seem to not do visits with some guys then bam. Sealed and delivered.

Being a safety you have be ready to lay someone out as soon as they catch the ball coming across the middle. I don't see Earl Thomas doing that.

Yeah , we've seen him on the injured reserve list and missing alot of games the past couple of years. That's the point.

I dont think Thomas is too small for the pro's at FS....maybe if he was in the box all the time, but he will be asked to play centerfield and to intercept (something that Wilson couldnt do-anyone else sick of seeing the back of his jersey, Wilson, and the number 28 on so many big plays, lol)...

But I agree with Gene...trade down and still get a shot at those guys on the list.....but its hard to trade down since so many teams are cheap about giving up picks....

Another idea: if we dont re-sign Taylor, Adelius Thomas will be cut....A younger version I believe....and hed love to get back at the Pats....

Ed Reed, OJ Atogwe, Jairus Byrd, all same stature as Earl Thomas. Tired of hearing he is too small, he is not. And as NJ pointed out to me a long time ago, he is still only 20 and will continue to grow.

Isn't Bulaga the guy Brandon Graham absolutely tore up at the senior bowl?

Everybody keeps talking about Thomas. I think he's too small, besides we can get Reshad Jones in the third and he's better all the way around.

Come on. You knew you were wrong before you typed this. I don't care if it would be considered a reach, you might as well get the better player, and that would be Brandon Graham.

I see him getting int's though; and that wouldn't be too shabby. He's a ball hawk.

Think we will all be surprised by the 12th. pick come draft day.. Think something is up and it will be big!

Arsenal, are you greek ?? or is it a soccer thing ??

Exactly socalfan. The only one I think they a strong interest in who visited is Earl thomas. Just my opinion of course.

I am Greek, an Arsenal soccer fan, and a huge Dan Marino fan hence the 13....

You passed on Brandon Graham? LOL. I guess you'r trying to predict what the Dolphins will do. Morgan's a possibility. I would have gone Dan Williams.

Aresenal , TI KANIS ???

Too small for the pros? Have you seen Bob Sanders of the Colts???

Posted by: FB | April 19, 2010 at 12:57 AM

Haven't seen him lately. He spends a lot of time on injured reserve. He good but like Thomas, too small.

ArsenalGreek, I grew up in Athens, Greece. I lived there for 15 years. Where in Greece are you from???

Ti Kanis re????....freaking so many Greeks are Dolphin fans, lol....Came over on the boat when they used to win all the time (well, in my Baba's case I guess).....

Forget about quantity and lets try to get quality... we got marshall for years to come lets give him the chance to show us his playmaking abilities on offense by us drafting best available help on defense... forget about trading down ... if we land Thomas at 12 think about it we got what seems to be a straight dirty beast out there for years to come... guy makes plays thats what we lacked last year everybody was looking at someone else to make plays...

Kala re megale, I've lived in Miami since 1990. Went to UM then stayed. LOL. I have lots of greek friends here in town in Miami.

Born here, but Larissa....havent been in nine years since buying a house, getting married, and having two kids....Longest and saddest stretch of my life without my Hellas....I used to go every summer Malaka....its been too long....

When Im in Athens, I usually go to Glyfada....

Aresenal , apo pou ise stin ellatha kai stin americi ??

Im coming down for a game next year....Got a buddy that has a website, SkinnyPost.com, and knows a bunch of the players....He just golfed to B.Marshall and Henne for a Dolphin Charity....
Also, our school social worker is good friends with Donald Thomas and his family....so, I have a few ticket connects....Will be coming down with at least 2-3 other Greeks so be ready to hit the bazoukia.....lol

You got that right megale. Alot of greeks are dolphin fans. I corrupted Most of my cousins to be dolphins fans. Malakides !!

Holy $hit! NJ PHIN FAN is greek too? What do you know...This is crazy!

Re Malaka I used to go to Glyfada all the time to go to the beach. I grew up living in Paleo Psychiko, in the mountains. I was in Athens last summer with my wife. Needless to say, since i'm expecting a baby in a month, I'm probably gonna be stuck here for a while too. LOL

Larissa is where my Dad was born....He played for AEL for a few years....My mother's family is from Mytilene....

I live in CT....

Who played safety for the Giants when Lawrence Taylor was killing QB's?
I'll bet you have to google it and that's the point.
If we get our true pass rusher, I could play safety for Miami.
It doesn't matter who we put back there, without a good pass rush, they're going to look bad.
This and Bill's love for the next L.T. is why we wont go safety at 12.

Arsenal, do you mean AEK, the soccer team? I don't know what AEL is. I've been to Mytilene, or lesbos. Haha

Na Feres to ouzo kai tin beera . istera tha pame sta bouzoukia !


ok, na fero ola....

No, AEL....Larissa....only recently (past few years) have they been up in the first division....doing ok lately though.....

Holy crap guys. Ti to kaname edo pera? Hey Mando, the greeks have taken over buddy. We outnumber the cubans by far here. Hahaha.

That's 4 greeks on this board. Malakes pame!!!

Damn, I think Im gonna start a facebook group: Greek Dolphin Fans for life, lol

Well Odin who does your gut say that guy will it be Graham..Maybe they have been messing' with us again or maybe they just really don't have an interest!

Olypiacos baby !!! eme apo tin thessaloniki. kastoria actually. Conn ? ela re malaka . menome konda !! . ego stin NJ.

Greek dolphin fans stand up. Where u at? I'm sure there are more of us out there. Do most of you live in Miami other than Arsenal and NJ PHIN?

Tha tous gamisoume to gamimenous tous Jets!!!

I figured NJ....boo, Olympiacos....ego eme Panathanaikos kai Larissa....Arsenal in England....

Greeks suck

I live with those arxithia Jet fans up here....Tired of them loudmouths....All my Greek adelfia up here are Fin fans.....You guys on facebook....send me your links so I can add you....coming down there this season and we can all party like its Greece....

NY....... lot of phin fans here

ODINEYE... im all for an awesome pass rush i agree u get pressure on the qb he makes your db's look golden ... thats how the giants beat the pats in the superbowl.... but when u have a chance to draft a guy like ronnie lott u got to pull the trigger at 12

FB , to yamisame etho pera ! a mando kai tos allos etho mesa trelathikan !!. LMFAO !!

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