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AccuScore.com not high on Miami's playoff chances

Many experts (not me), pundits (not me), and guys that have a blog for no logical reason (me) have theories as to why the Dolphins have been able to forge a 5-1 road record this season while managing only a 1-4 record at home.

My theory is pretty simple, really. It goes like this: Nevermind the venue mumbo jumbo.

The Dolphins beat poor or diminished teams regardless of where the game is played. And the Dolphins lose to outstanding opponents regardless of where the game is played.

Go ahead, argue with me. The Dolphins have lost to New York, New England, Chicago, Pittsburgh and Baltimore. All are winning teams. All are likely playoff teams. Miami has beaten Buffalo, Minnesota, Green Bay, Cincinnati, Tennessee and Oakland. Green Bay is the only team in that group that seems headed to the playoffs and, remember, the Dolphins won against the Packers when that team was battling nearly a dozen significant injuries.

So if I'm correct, the Dolphins have a great chance of beating Cleveland, Detroit and Buffalo in their final five games regardless of the fact they play those games at home. And the Dolphins will be heavy underdogs at New England and at New York. That's because the first three are not great teams and the latter two are likely playoff participants.

Simple.

The folks at Accuscore.com don't necessarily see it that way. The statistical forecasting company puts games through approximately 10,000 simulations to come away with the greatest likelihood for victory and defeat. This week, AccuScore is calling for a close game between Miami and Cleveland and the game is likely to be decided by the running game.

According to AccuScore, if Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams both rush for at least 50 yards, the Dolphins are 89 percent likely to win. Cannot argue with that.

Despite any probability of winning against the Browns, AccuScore isn't wild about Miami's chances of making the playoffs. The stat forecast for Miami winning the AFC East is less than one percent. The chances of the Dolphins making the playoffs as a wild card team is 8.3 percent this week.

No, that's not a very high probability for Miami. But it is better than it was last week when AccuScore.com placed Miami's chances of making the playoffs were at 8 percent.

AFC

WEEK 12 REVIEW

PLAYOFF

% CHANCE

TEAM

WK 12

WK 13

% DIFF

WIN DIV

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

26.6%

34.6%

8.0%

25.4%

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

72.1%

76.3%

4.2%

72.1%

HOUSTON TEXANS

3.1%

6.3%

3.3%

6.2%

BALTIMORE RAVENS

90.4%

93.2%

2.9%

54.0%

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

96.8%

97.7%

0.8%

59.5%

MIAMI DOLPHINS

8.0%

8.3%

0.3%

0.9%

PITTSBURGH STEELERS

94.6%

94.8%

0.2%

46.0%

BUFFALO BILLS

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

CINCINNATI BENGALS

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

CLEVELAND BROWNS

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

DENVER BRONCOS

0.5%

0.0%

-0.5%

0.0%

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

20.1%

19.2%

-0.8%

18.9%

NEW YORK JETS

93.2%

91.6%

-1.5%

39.6%

TENNESSEE TITANS

24.5%

20.5%

-4.0%

20.4%

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That's the excuse they give Craig, growing the game. I understand South Africa hosting because it was overdue for Africa to host a tourney - however Qatar? They are not even a soccer country of any consequence. They do have a sickening amount of oil money though - and in the end FIFA liked that.

The only way Scotland and the smaller Euro countries get to host is if they go in a joint bid with another country. However, how much haggis and Guinness have to be sold to match Qatar's oil bid.

This sets a horrible precedent.

FIFA blows.

Ingerland & USA USA shoulda gotten the next two.

All kidding aside, i went to you tube and typed in FEMA camps.I watched the video and after 3 minutes it was clearly evident, Home is not imagining these concentration type camps.They are happening right now,today.All the barbed wire is face inward to keep the people from escaping and there is three fences of it in a row before you can get out.There is even a black ops helicopter that flies overhead.scary stuff on FEMA camps at you tube.

Dear Mr. Aloco

Example

In one of my previous posts I wrote....so I finally get to give the middle finger to the rich guys

The picture I painted was me in a Fema camp surrounded by barbed wire fence's giving the middle to some rich guy......joke is really on me.


Soiled :)


What is the Federal Emergency Management Agency? Simply put, it is the "secret government". This agency has powers and authority that go well beyond any other agency in the nation. What can FEMA do? It can suspend laws. It can move entire populations. It can arrest and detain citizens without a warrant and can hold them without a trial. It can seize property, food supplies, and transportation systems. And it can even suspend the Constitution of the United States.

When the first concept had been presented, its original mission was to assure the survivability of the United States Government in the event of a nuclear attack. It's secondary function was to be a Federal coordinating body during times of domestic disasters. These disasters consisted of earthquakes, floods, and hurricanes.

Home the more i divulged into this, the more horrific and real it seems!

There over 800 prison camps in the United States, all fully operational and ready to receive prisoners. They are all staffed and even surrounded by full-time guards, but they are all empty. These camps are to be operated by FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) should Martial Law need to be implemented in the United States and all it would take is a presidential signature on a proclamation and the attorney general's signature on a warrant to which a list of names is attached. Ask yourself if you really want to be on Ashcroft's list.

The Rex 84 Program was established on the reasoning that if a "mass exodus" of illegal aliens crossed the Mexican/US border, they would be quickly rounded up and detained in detention centers by FEMA. Rex 84 allowed many military bases to be closed down and to be turned into prisons.

Operation Cable Splicer and Garden Plot are the two sub programs which will be implemented once the Rex 84 program is initiated for its proper purpose. Garden Plot is the program to control the population. Cable Splicer is the program for an orderly takeover of the state and local governments by the federal government. FEMA is the executive arm of the coming police state and thus will head up all operations. The Presidential Executive Orders already listed on the Federal Register also are part of the legal framework for this operation.

The camps all have railroad facilities as well as roads leading to and from the detention facilities. Many also have an airport nearby. The majority of the camps can house a population of 20,000 prisoners. Currently, the largest of these facilities is just outside of Fairbanks, Alaska. The Alaskan facility is a massive mental health facility and can hold approximately 2 million people.

Alright, so now somebody is trying to impersonate me on here.....very cute!!.....it must be play time!

Mark, as we know....money makes the world go around. The long term benefits of having the world Cup in Qatar will be huge. They'll be enjoying the benefits of hosting the Cup for years to come. I think we'd better get used to it....there is TONS of money there.

The Miami Dolphins app is a joke.I updated it the other day and now it got deleted.
I went to download it again and it says it is not available any more.
What the.......

A great chance of beating Cleveland and Buffalo?Have you seen their last 2 games?

Let me guess....this is Home at play. Probably not the first time he's pulled this stuff, right? How do we stop this? i don't want this clown trying to make it seem like it's actually me. Pretty childish man!!

we'll lose to the good teams, we'll beat the bad ones, we'll finish somewhere between 7-9 and 9-7 and we won't go to the playoffs. We all know that.

Sparano is not the guy who will take us to the next level.

Why are we 3 games behind two teams that are not more talented than us? That's coaching. That's Sparano.

Perhaps you could invoke the Brady factor for the Pats. But 3 games behind the Jets? Give me a break

....In my best Mora voice, "Playoffs? Playoffs?"

I can't believe there's even still talk of the Dolphins making the playoffs. Their 8% chance must be if Brady, Rothlesburger, or Flacco gets injured for the season.

Panics, orchestrated crises, media hype and propaganda have been used in the name of “protecting the people” for generations. CNN, the Southern Poverty Law Center and other media outlets air special reports and name call anyone who questions the government as conspiracy theorists in an effort to suppress information. Yet, with the de-classification of decades-old documents, it can be found that many of these “conspiracy theories” are not so theoretical after all.
I`m watching this video and understanding more about the way our country and the world is intentionally falling.Going on detective work vacation with the family to do our own espionage and find the truth and visit some of the FEMA camps.Funny they are all built so you cannot get out.

We'll visit a real-life FEMA camp that will send tingles up your treason-bones. We'll examine an ex-police officer's training in a Department of Homeland Security decontamination program that promises round-ups, forced unclothing, detoxification, mandatory vaccines and further detention.

From legal immunity to vaccine manufacturers to illegal military teams put together through FEMA, you're not going to believe the power given to "officials" to put this country under a state of martial law.

As heart-rates rise, Enemy of the State: Camp FEMA Part 2 takes a look at the government and media manipulation of an unwitting public, and plans that have been laid out through legislation, Executive Orders and Presidential Directives that pave the way for the elimination of many, if not all, of our most basic rights.

Enemy of The State: Camp FEMA Part 2 thrashes out the mission of a police state and the implementation of martial law.

OMG! Watched the you tube video on FEMA camps
At first i was like, yeah right, but after a few minutes there was way too many coincidences.How do we stop these FEMA camps from be built.They are like concentration camps.

Alright, i have too watch this video.
Where is it? you tube - FEMA Camp footage

I can't youtube FEMA. My computer frooze up while I was "working" out too a NICE thong dance clip.

Martial Law is cool, I played in a band with that name only we spelled it Marshall Law! Pretty clever, huh?

Can these FEMA people really treat us like that? What do they think we are, Indiams?

*FEMA ORIENTATION CENTER*

Attention. You are now entering the Debarkation Area. No talking. No smoking. Follow the orange line to the Processing Area. The next scheduled departure to the prison is in two hours. You now have the option to terminate and be cremated on the premises. If you elect this option, notify the Duty Sergeant in your Processing Area.


This is a cake walk. Easy money. Now all I have to do is take out some whack job that calls himself HOME!

Ladies, and Gentlemen, My fellow Dol-Fans. Why do we watch this team, if not to make it to the playoffs? I mean come on, thats why we watch! Anything can happen?? Of course its all been bad for the Dolphins,at least for the past 15 years, But never give up hope. Do I believe the Miami Dolphins will make it to,and win a Super Bowl? Of Course I do! But if they don't, then what. Just because im from Connecticut, doesent mean im gonna root for the Patsies,mijets, or little giants, scrwe them teams. For me I like The Miami Dolphins The Best Pro Football Team PERIOD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

To all of you conspircy theroy people out there. Please remember, God is in control of this World! Weather you believe this or not, is not the point. The truth is, that Satan is coming First, Claiming that he is Jesus, and performing miracles in the site of Men, Saying he's come to rapture so called Christens out of here, Don't believe his lies. We are living in the Final day's of this Earth Age, At Christ 2nd Advent, the Seventh trump, vile, seal 777, Satan comes at the sixth Trump, vile. seal 666. The Mark of the Beast IS NOT, some implant, or mark upon your forehead, The Mark is whats IN your forehead which is your MIND or Brain. It means that Christens are being deceived to do the work of Satan, but they really beleive they are worshiping the true Christ, So my fellow Dol-Fans remember Satan is coming first, claiming he is Jesus, Are you going to be Deceived???? Go to Shepherds Chapel.com. Please don't be deceived by Satans lies......

andy, c ct dolfan, if satan is coming.....ask him to give us the miracle of letting the dolphins win out....at least the dolphins will have won one more superbowl before armaggeddon! if the dolphins dont win out, there is no satan, just saban!

Never said anything about armageddon, that dosent happen until AFTER the Millenium. you know the Thousand year rein with Christ, GOD is not our little jennie. I want the Dolphins to win a Super Bowl, but they have to win the Games on their own. This aint Buffalo, that fool that blamed God for dropping the ball. I mean come on.

youre right about that andy, that WAS stupid! you make your own fate and way through life. its on us....we were given a shot at life and we need to make the best of it....

AMEN redsky. AMEN BROTHER!

Anyone remember the Jets from 2009? Counted out, big December run that carried them to the ACF Championship Game?

Anyone? Because it was a bad nightmare for me.

Memory Lane: http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slug=ys-accuscoreplayoffshifts121609

One year ago, the jets had an 8% AccuScore. Guess what, they defied the odds. Don't count us out yet DolFans. If the lousy Jets did it last year, why not us? Why not now.

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