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Breakdown of factors that could sway Manning

Peyton Manning has been officially released by the Indianapolis Colts today. He can sign with another team as early as 4:01 p.m. Thursday or when the transaction hits the NFL wire.

So where is he actually going?

Well, the offshore gaming parlors have established the Dolphins as 2-1 favorites to land the former Pro Bowl and future Hall of Fame quarterback.

Washington, Arizona, Seattle, the Jets, and Chiefs are among the other teams expected to chase Manning to some degree.

But what team will be most attractive to Manning?

First, let me tell you what I have been told by a league source. Manning is not a big fan of playing in cold, crappy weather if he can help it. All things being equal, he'd rather play in a warm climate or domed home stadium. No, the climate thing is not a deal-breaker, I'm told, but it is important because even Manning and his "people" recognize he's had much greater success in good weather or indoor games throughout his career.

That suggests the Chiefs, Seattle and Jets will have to deal with something of a disadvantage as they all play home games in outdoor stadiums where it can get treacherous late int he season.

Next, people close to Manning, those who worked with him for years are not buying the idea of Manning going to the Washington Redskins. On this former Colts general manager Bill Polian and former Colts coach Tony Dungy agree and the reason is simple:

Manning doesn't like the idea of facing his brother Eli twice a year.

"I think it would be tough for him to be in the NFC East and play twice a year and potentially knock Eli out of the playoffs," Dungy said on ESPN today. "I don't think he would want to be in direct competition with Eli and the New York Giants."

Polian added that every time Peyton played Eli in the past it "wore on him." Polian pretty much eliminated the Redskins. So there's that.

I've also been told that while it is not a prerequisite of his signing, Manning would probably like adding players that he's comfortable with. The most obvious of these is his go-to receiver Reggie Wayne, who is an unrestricted free agent.

Wayne, who played for the University of Miami, would seem like a natural addition with the Dolphins if Manning really, truly wants the security of having a familiar receiver. Speaking of receivers, I can tell you that Miami alpha receiver Brandon Marshall greatly approves of the idea of adding Manning.

I talked to Marshall a couple of weeks ago and he spoke of spending some time at an endorsement event with Manning during Super Bowl week. No, it wasn't a full-on recruiting moment by Marshall, but he told me the idea of adding Manning was one he welcomed.

Marshall, however, was not the only big-time receiver to spend some time with Manning during Super Bowl week. Arizona's Larry Fitzgerald similarly spent time with Manning. The Cardinals invested heavily in Kevin Kolb last season. They gave him a big contract that included a $10 million signing bonus and they traded away Dominque Rogers-Cromartie to the Eagles for Kolb.

But Kolb's status in Arizona is tenuous because he didn't have a great 2011 season and he has a $7 million option bonus due March 17. The Cardinals could easily decline the option and shift their focus onto Manning.

My educated guess is Arizona presents the greatest threat to the Dolphins as both teams try to lure Manning. Arizona plays in a retractable roof stadium. The talent is more or less on par with the Dolphins and, in fact, the Cardinals can argue their 8-8 record last season suggests they're better than Miami.

The Dolphins have the edge that Manning already has a condo in South Florida so he likes it here. As was reported first here, Manning was working out in South Florida while the rest of the NFL was chasing him all over Indianapolis during the combine.

That's the lay of the land. The NFL wire's release will signal the start of the chase.

Comments

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Mando, stop repeating what I said!

Goodbye Hartline, hello Wayne.

I saw someone on here say "Manning couldn't mentor Curtis Painter so why would he be able to teach a guy in Miami"

That is a dumb statement. Maybe Painter just sucks? Maybe Manning gave Painter excellent information and trained him up really well he just didn't have what it took to work it out on the field?

Ohio, I posted that.

Wayne would like to play in Miami with Manning.........Manning with Marshall and Wayne? That could be interesting. Read the article below....

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/03/07/reggie-wayne-gets-animated-about-the-possibility-of-playing-with-peyton-in-miami/

k.......no offense clue, but don't you think it is a player by player basis?

I mean, Favre didn't want anything to do with Rodgers, Rodgers just had to talent to get it done.

DC, and what I said ... he's not playing in the cold. Mando is riding the bloggers comments all the way to the bank ...

Jesus, every time I'm in the midst of posting a comment a new blog pops up when I'm finished.

@Slam, copied and pasted from the last blog.

Thank you for mentioning Nick Perry, I have a feeling that guy is going to be a good player in this league, and I wholeheartedly agree with you about moving back in this draft should we sign Peyton Manning. We could still draft a DE, they are deep as hell in this class coming up. And there isn't really any standouts outside of Coples, who has a questionable motor. If we move back we can also pick up possibly a Nickel CB or potentially the first tight end of this draft, whether it be Fleener or Allen. Allen had a sore dash time, but he looked smooth in the drills and he's looked smooth all year for the Tigers. Hell, Dre Kirkpatrick may fall to the position of the Bengals' second pick.

Other than those two positions, I can't add much insight on. Could use a PR outside of Bess, Bess has a nice average but the potential for him to break one for a touchdown is low. What about Chris Rainey? He can return punts and can stand across from Gates on kick returns.

With that second Bengals pick we can get Mark Barron should Reggie Nelson not decide to come here.

The options are endless if we aren't spending multiple draft picks just to get a QB that MIGHT work out, while sacrificing the depth of the rest of the team.

Sign Manning, Jeffy!

Ohio, Yea I just ask the question but I then quickly realize Paiter is a no talent jabroni

Of course we will sign Manning.

id doubt he would want to play that 49ers defense 2 times a year. Those boys put a hurtin on Eli in the championship game. If peyton gets hit like that he'll be on the sideline again.

Home is getting obliterated from this blog by the censorship police!!!

So some of you want Manning,Wayne,Garcon.Saturday.....Mathis,nope he is franchised....why not go the whole hog and sign the entire Indianaploic team? you know that team that came BOTTOM of the league
Mind you a FO which signs Daboll-ocks and Matt Moore from worse sides than the Dolphins would probably think it was a good deal

It starting to look a lot like..................
RILEY REIFF to protect Manning
Id prefer BLACKMON over WayneTHEhurricayne but we can make it happen.
Is it just me or does anyone else believe Peyton would not want to play behind the o-line in ARI.
Houston is the team to fear in my opinion

Home is getting obliterated from this blog by the censorship police!!!

Posted by: Mark in Toronto | March 07, 2012 at 04:32 PM

For those of you hung up on his age and medical report, how is our track record with backups QBs from other teams? I do not want another "potential" franchise quarterback bust that has been a backup on another team in Miami. C'mon people, do you not remember the AJ Feely and Jay Feidler? Do we want another QB backup with the last letter "F" in Flynn? We've been down this road already. Look, we can sign Manning and have our future QB learn from the best. Whether you want Moore as your future or/ and you want your future QB in the draft. I would also love to keep Manning in as a permanent fixture in this organization after he finishes playing to help guide this organization. For those that want RG#, face it, we do not have the pieces to move up, I wouldn't want to give away my future anyway(unless we could get Luck which is never happening).

His wife prefers SoBe and that's the end of it!

MIAMI! MIAMI! MIAMI! WE'RE NOT HAPPY!!! It's 4:35 pm! Where is PEYTON??????????????????????????????????????!

If I had my way, I'd obliterate him from the earth. But, from the blog will have to suffice.

His wife prefers SoBe and that's the end of it!

Posted by: Betty Crocker | March 07, 2012 at 04:36 PM

And I would like to check out your end Betty.

P.S.: It's now 4:40 PM! Were is Peyton!!!!!!!!!!!

Even if the Jets were $100 million over the salary cap they can't be left out of the spotlight and have to interject themselves in the Manning sweepstakes. I guess the franchise didn't get enough attention when it was a child. Now they bring attention to themselves and in turn embarass themselves by predicting superbowls.

Armando, all we want to hear from you is that Ross and Ireland are already camped out on Mannings doorstep with a fleet of Brinks trucks.

If Manning went to the Jets, at least it would shut the friendless homer up!

I wonder how the head coaches figure into this.
I gotta wonder if Philbin is even behind this decision. Doesn't sound like any of the coaches or even Ireland is down with this Manning love affair.

So, how about the Card's head coach? Is he for this?
I say whoever sounds more welcoming and desirous as coaches will convince Manning.

Peyton has no desire to butt heads with his coaches or their system at this stage of his career.

Manning makes the team that he goes to instant contenders!

RGIII makes you a contender in a couple of years;
Provided he can learn the NFL playbook, get up to NFL speed, and is still surrounded with talent once he's ready. If Miami goes with RGIII, will we still have Brandon Marshall, Reggie Bush, etc. on the roster once he's ready to make a push at a play-off run? Probably not.

To have a winning team, you need a lot of 2nd and 3rd year players on their way up; at the cusp of being good, mixed with rookies with potential, and a good sprinkling of wily veterans. We have that! Now! But, it may not stay that way. We're in "Win Now" mode not in "Rebuild" mode like the Colts are. Yes, we can add a few of their veteran players (at the right price) to help Manning. But, trading up for RGIII puts us back into rebuilding this team and wasting the players that are already here!

Another reason Manning signs in Miami that i havnt seen in print anywhere is that Mannings idol was a one Dan Marino!!!!

OK, when does the parade start?? The never ending blogs.

Didn't we just go through all of this with Fisher? And to find out he would have came here with 10 giant plastic bags of garbage.

I hope we don't sign a guy that gets one hit and is done.

OUR DENTIST DOCTOR IS HEADING TO TAKE A LOOK AT P.MANNING NECK NEXT FRIDAY ...........

cbs 4 reporting Manning has arrived in South Florida.

http://miami.cbslocal.com/2012/03/07/manning-lands-in-miami-after-indy-releases-him/

Hopefully we keep Ireland out of this recruitment of Manning. Signing Manning would be HUGE for the Fan base.

Sign Manning,Ban Odin,Ban Home., That is all for now.

"Matt Flynn just doesn't do it," Faulk said. "(He's) not Aaron Rodgers, let's be honest."

It is disheartening, to say the least, to come here day after day only to learn that most of my fellow Dolfans are stupid.

cbs 4 reporting Manning has arrived in South Florida.

http://miami.cbslocal.com/2012/03/07/manning-lands-in-miami-after-indy-releases-him/

Posted by: Professor Lou | March 07, 2012 at 04:57 PM

KUSA reports Peyton Manning has just arrived in Denver.
WJLA reports Peyton Manning has just arrived in D.C..

Wow what's going on??

Let's be honest.
Let's put down pipe.
Our next QB was just released by the Bears: Caleb Hanie

Emeril,

here you go..... enjoy!

http://i84.photobucket.com/albums/k31/kairbair0550/betty_crocker_inathong.jpg

Manning won his Super Bowl in Miami...in the rain! Good feelings.

His wife and kids love South Beach! That's why he has a condo here! Good feelings.

Miami is willing to talk about signing Reggie Wayne, his favorite go-to receiver! Good Feelings.

He won't have to play against his brother twice a year, or share a town with Eli. Good feelings.

He gets to shut-up Tom Brady and Sexy Rexy twice a year! Good feelings.

I'm getting good feelings about the whole M2M thing!

Tommy, Mabe Peyton Cloned himself, He was getting treatment in europe you know, They are years ahead in the medical field you know.

Professor Lou,

Peyton landing in Miami is a great omen for the Dolphins. The quick flight to Miami could also suggest he's scheduled for a physical with Dolphins doctors, or as ALoco would put thier dentists, as early as tomorrow morning.

Plus, its consistent with the fact Peyton isnt the type to drag things out(free agency). Im sure he signs with someone within 1 wk to get started and get down to football business right away.

It is disheartening, to say the least, to come here day after day only to learn that most of my fellow Dolfans are stupid.

Posted by: Timmy Couch | March 07, 2012 at 05:06 PM

You obviously have the intellect of a piece of furniture.
Go sit on yourself.

CUT THAT MEAT! CUT THAT MEAT

I keep reading were everybody is now on the school of thought that an OL has to be the logical choice?? I ask everyone and posted it yesterday who outside of Tarik Glenn was a perennial Pro Bowl OT for the Colts?? The Colts in the Manning ERA much like Miami in the Marino ERA NEVER had a dominant OL to speak of, in actuality the OL was steady to sometime weakness in the Manning ERA. Even in the Edge J's prime it was alot of draw and and screen that made that facet of their game go. They passed on Ricky in 99 with the 4th overall pick because James was considered a much better Rec. and the book said Ricky had bad hands which in the later part of his career in Miami he would greatly disprove but it's the ONLY REAL reason the Edge went 1st.

I believe the Philbin ERA is going to get started on the wrong foot for one very specific reason. He will have to bow down to his larger than life player and any and all early success will be attributed to Manning NOT Philbin. I can't envision a scenario out of having a guaranteed job were Philbin likes this hitched to his BIG shot as the HC, REGARDLESS of how much they sell Manning as the consummate team player. I believe Manning WILL make us better and relevant again in the short term but once my sanity kicks back in and I think long term the more this feels like an old Shaq coming to town were we eventually in that WIN NOW mode got old and slow after one title run with a group of nearly geriatric former greats looking for one last day in the sun ONLY to get left watching a Younger Kobe team dominate long term, different sport and scenario of viewing FA but the parallels are there. So I will say it here and now forever to be thrown in my face if I'm wrong and that is:

I WOULD TRADE JAKE LONG ALONG WITH MY #1,2,5,7 THIS YR. OR AT LEAST OFFER THE LT NEEDY RAMS THIS DEAL IN A MOVE FOR RG3!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! LONG DOESN'T SCORE OR TAKE PART IN GAME CHANGING SITUATIONS!! THE IDEA OF TRADING HIM WITH A CHUNK OF THE 2012 DRAFT GIVEN OUR YOUNG TEAM NUCLEUS FOR GRIFFIN APPEALS TO ME, BIG TIME!!!!!

Tracy474,

Great assesment! However, just as importantly, Manning exorcised the Brady-Bellichick demon to win his first sb championship.

It would be ironic if by miracle Peyton leads Miami to a sb championship and you know he has to again exorcise the Bellichick-Brady demon(Afc East) to get vthere.

If the Dolphins can sign Wayne, I think they should hold onto Hartline and move Bess. Hartline is the Welker/Stokely type. Bess dropped off last season. Marshall Wayne Hartline, That's something to deal with.

fin4,

If the Dolphins sign Peyton you can totally forget about Jake Long being traded for anything. You have got to be kidding! LOL

Great qb's put teams on thier backs when in the "PRIME" of thier career. Pick a great qb and look at thier performances in thier prime. Then compare it to thier performances on the "BACKEND" of thier illustrous careers. QB's just are no longer capable of this at the backend of thier careers.
Elway at the backend of his career won 2 sb's. But elway had "all the pieces in place" on both sides of the ball. He wasnt asked to carry the team. He was only asked to conduct the orchestra.
We dont have a orchestra in Miami. We still need a qb that can be a "one man band" in order to be successful. With Manning now at thew backend of his illustrous career. History clearly states, "he's more symphony conductor" right now than a "one man band".

Posted by: Yesterday's Gone | March 06, 2012 at 01:02 PM
Peyton landing in Miami is a great omen for the Dolphins. The quick flight to Miami could also suggest he's scheduled for a physical with Dolphins doctors, or as ALoco would put thier dentists, as early as tomorrow morning.
Plus, its consistent with the fact Peyton isnt the type to drag things out(free agency). Im sure he signs with someone within 1 wk to get started and get down to football business right away.
Posted by: Yesterday's Gone | March 07, 2012 at 05:10 PM

The flip floping has started.

I WOULD TRADE JAKE LONG ALONG WITH MY #1,2,5,7 THIS YR. OR AT LEAST OFFER THE LT NEEDY RAMS THIS DEAL IN A MOVE FOR RG3!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! LONG DOESN'T SCORE OR TAKE PART IN GAME CHANGING SITUATIONS!! THE IDEA OF TRADING HIM WITH A CHUNK OF THE 2012 DRAFT GIVEN OUR YOUNG TEAM NUCLEUS FOR GRIFFIN APPEALS TO ME, BIG TIME!!!!!

Read more here: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/dolphins_in_depth/2012/03/breakdown-of-factors-that-could-sway-manning.html#storylink=cpy


Long doesn't take part in game changing situations? Wow, you are truly an encyclopedia of football knowledge.

The Miami media will be camped out at Ross' copter pad. 1st, 2nd, and 3rd shifts will all be reporting for duty.

Pat Riley's already in the spare bedroom of Manning's condo. Lebron, Wade, and Bosh have invited him to thier weekend barbque. Dan Marino's polishing Peyton's new Dolphins cleats. The city has sent in all of the big, including the 17-0 super crew. LOL

I dont get people that say they dont want Peyton because he is only a stop-gap.... Come on where's ur head at? Even without Manning whatever Q/B we get is not a proven starter! A q/b sittin' behind Peyton Manning will have time to grow and be ready when Peyton is done. which is the model every gr8 team does. The Cheatroits are doing it right now for Mr. Brady for when he is washed up!Peyton already owns a condo down here. And Reggie Wayne Says Thumbs up! All i got to say is if your a dolphin fan you better jump on board. Cause i would be shocked if he does wear Aqua and Orange this season.

I'm a long time fan ( long for me as I'm only 39). Miami has never been lucky when it comes to getting a QB ever since Marino left. We had a shot at Drew Brees but our "quacks" said Culpepper was a safer option. I say GO FOR MANNING . Whats the worse that could happen? Its been a long times since we have had HOPE and getting Manning (even with the great unknown) would greatly benefit this team and US as fans. Lets be realistic, when was the last time ANY Dolphin fan felt like we were a contender in the past 12 years? With Marino I remember feeling like EACH season we had a chance (even in 88 when we went 6-10!!). Now IF, IF Philbin believes in Matt Flynn, then GO FOR HIM. But if he has ANY DOUBT, the logical play is Manning. This defense is ready now. These receivers are ready now. Lets do this NOW!

Dolphins are head and shoulders better than Arizona. The number one factor that Peyton should sign here is for his health. That is, Jake Long. We are the only ones that have his blind side protected well so he doesn't reinsure himself. Nothing is more important that that. Adding on our number 6 defense, Pouncey, Brandon Marshall, reggie Bush, Devon Bess and maybe signing Saturday and Reggie Wayne, it is a perfect team for the Super Bowl

Talking about flip flopping. Mike Lombardi is on NFL Network saying nobody could be sold on Kevin Kolb. Last year Kolb was the hottest commodity in free agency. Now he sucks.
This year it's Flynn. If the Dolphins stay away from Flynn it says they have turned the corner.

defense needs alot of work also, many holes to fill

FINFAN23........... (( IT'S PERFECT TEAM FOR THE SUPER BOWL )) ?????????


THE CELLAR /////////////


THE NECK..........


THE DENTIST ...........

fins are not head and shoulders above the cards. they went 8-8, have the best wr in nfl. solid running game. and a very good young defense

I'am all for Manning, I just got a gut feeling Ross And Ireland will screw this up.JMHO.

Let's be honest.
Let's put down pipe.
Our next QB was just released by the Bears: Caleb Hanie

Getting excited with all this Peyton Manning talk.

denver first team to contact him today

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