« Revis to the Dolphins!!!: Not | Main | Fine TEs important 20 years ago and today »

The cost of doing business ain't cheap

Let's put aside the fanciful talk of adding this guy and re-signing that guy for a moment and consider what all this stuff is going to cost, shall we?

Let me scare you right off the bat:

If the Dolphins want to add an elite wide receiver this offseason in free agency -- assuming one is even available -- it is going to cost around $9-$11 million per season. That's according to former NFL agent and salary cap expert Joel Corry,  who now writes about NFL contracts and the salary cap for the National Football Post.

"The high end UFA WRs will be looking at Vincent Jackson's 5-year, $55,555,555 deal ($26M GTD) as a benchmark," Corry tweeted to me on Thursday.

That is $11 million a year, folks.

Obviously, there are two things at play that must be stipulated.

That price is for a Vincent Jackson-type wide receiver. The player asking for that money must offer that enormous amount of talent. Jackson caught 72 passes for 1,384 yards (a whopping 19.2 yards per catch) and eight TDs in 2012. I'm not certain anyone on the market rises to that level of ability.

Jackson is a deep threat all day long and he also happens to be 6-5 and 230 pounds. (Yeah, amazing).

And the $11 million is the starting asking price. It is not necessarily the final price.

While any elite wide receiver on the market may want $11, I'm sure most will be talked off that skyscrapper ledge to a much lower floor. I'd say, and this is a conservative estimate, the elite wide receiver on the market this year will get around $10 million per season and it'll fall sharply from there. Remember, Wes Welker made $9.55 million under a franchise tag in 2012 and would cost $11.4 million if tagged in 2013 -- which is unlikely.

By the way, the cost of doing business in the wide receiver market won't be cheap for the Dolphins even if they stick with what they got. Pending free agent Brian Hartline, a No. 2 receiver, will be looking for $5-$6 million per year on the open market if he gets there.

Greg Jennings? He'll be hovering in the $8-$9 million annual range.

And the price at other positions won't be much cheaper.

Elite cornerbacks are expecting $10 million per season. Agents will be looking at Brandon Carr's five-year $50 million deal with Dallas and Jason McCourty's 5-year, $43 million deal to stay in Tennesee and see that as the numbers to shoot for.

So Carr is averaging $10 million a year while McCourty is averaging $8.6 million per year.

That's the zip code cornerback Sean Smith expects to inhabit at the start of free agency. And yes, he's likely going to free agency. I don't think the Dolphins will pay that kind of money for Smith. They see him as a good player who still has unmet potential. They do not see him as a game-changer or playmaker.

There are also questions about how Smith will react professionally once he gets paid. Will he cruise? Will he feel entitled? Will the work ethic suffer?

(Kindly post comments on whether you believe Sean Smith is worth $8.6 million per season in the appropriate section below).

That's the cost of doing business, folks.

The Dolphins will be lucky to re-sign Randy Starks for the $6 million a year Paul Soliai got in March of 2012. The Herald's Barry Jackson tells me the sides have opened talks but are not close.

I'll say.

I would imagine Starks will be the highest-paid DT on the team, seeing as he's the only one that's been to a couple of Pro Bowls. But I don't see how the Dolphins can pay him the $8 million per year that Vince Wilfork makes or certainly not the $12 million per year that Haloti Ngata makes.

So that might land him in the $7 million a year slot.

That might well be the cost of doing business.

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Well we all have our oppinions and mine is this - every contract should have incentive clauses. I do not see Smith being a shut down corner so no he should not get the salary of a shut down corner. I prefer the concept of building through the draft and "strategically" picking up that free agent with an incentive based contract. Nothing frustrates me more than seeing good money paid to a player that just starts coasting on previous performance.

Nj don't draw irrational conclusions. Just because I don't like Jennings doesn't mean I don't want to improve our WR's, I want to improve for the future, not take a guy that has already started his acting career knowing his days are numbered.

Philbin will pass on Jennings just like he did on Flynn.

Mike
Ron Son
Fin 77
MJ

and a few others having been coming here for years to make short totally negative posts that basically say one thing, Ireland sucks, for the sole purpose starting an argument.

And so many of you single cell creatures bite on it every single time.

Are your memories that freaking bad?

Trust me,Jennings will play for a team that his agent gets the best deal for him for. It really doesn't matter if Jennings loved playing for Philbin,it'll be about which team wants him the most and are prepared to offer the most money.

I'd be shocked if Jennings signs for a team less than $8 million a season...

im not one to talk about ireland anymore. but ireland does still suck, nothings changed

We DO have a replacement for at least Long, the most expensive contract. We can safely let him go.Brown, Garner can backup Jmart in a pinch and we have to take our chances.

Thanks for stating the obvious Craig. Ireand usually can't evaluate crap...thus not picing one WR in the top 5 rounds last year. Thus trading up for Thomas. Thus two underwhelming drafts under his belt.

And if Tannehill doesn't pan out, will you STILL find a way to defend him?

Actually after thinking about it my last post doesn't sound like a bad deal.

If It cost us say 30 million to resign all our free agents except Sean Smith and then we cut Patterson and Marshall it would then allow to resign Smith as well.

Then we have 16 million to spend on Jennings and maybe Cary Williams.

Then obviously in the draft we go WR,TE,CB,DE best available first.

The blog, or any other blog, is a direct reflection of how well the government has done to lower our standards, attention span, and awareness.

The degradation of society is going exactly as planned, maybe even faster than planned.

The blog is a direct reflection on how well the government has done in lowering our standards, attention span and awareness.

The degradation of society is going exactly as planned, maybe even faster than planned.

not 16 mill cause u have to pay all draft picks also

Talking salaries and contracts is totally useless. At bargain time the prices will develop, there is no way to assume anything about them.

To say you want all these players but only at your price means you are willing to risk getting absolutely nothing done. It just doesn't work that way.

Leave the salaries to the FO.

Just field a winning team!

If Ireland doesn't know how to pick receivers, we'll point him the right way. Right here on this Blog, free of charge. We want to be the best.

u would have to say allen and hunter are 2 very good prospects to draft. hunter seems to have more potential but also more of a risk

Sorry dusty but I thought they had monies set aside for draft picks besides the 46 million their saying they have to spend in free agency.

CAN SOMEONE EXPLAIN WHAT DOES VALUE MEANS?

IT REALLY MAKES ABSOLUTELLY NO SINCE.

Justin, here is an example of value.

This blog would have more value without your dumb posts.

Utimately it looks like Ireland has done just what he said he was going to do.

He has set us up in free agency and the draft so that Philbin, Sherman and Coyle can add their type of players to the roster.

Its also Ireland's job though to insure they have a sense of urgency. While the coaching staff are just going into their 2nd season, Ireland and certainly us fans are not.

Funny eisel. Not completely necessary but funny.

It's a weak draft. The only wise thing to do would be to trade some of our extra picks for higher picks next year.

Ireland doesn't have until next year though, so unfortunately he will have to waste them on sub par players. It's not his fault the draft is weak, but he will be blamed for having a weak draft.

yekele u might be on to something. id deal one of our 2nd and 3rd rd picks for harvin. they def would love to move him at this point

EISEL:

WHY?

tvegas,

You obviously haven't been paying attention. I'm on record as saying if Ireland doesn't have a very good offseson and Tannehill doesn't work out and the the results don't show, then his days are numbered. BIG offseason for him.....THAT'S stating the obvious.

COME ON EISEL..

I HOPE THAT's NOT THE BEST YOU HAVE.

STUPID REMARK. BUT NO POINT.

SO YOU JUST TALK TO TALK.

DO YOU FEELL RIVERS WAS VALUED AS A NUMBER 1 OVER ALL PICK?

Not a fan of trading big THIS year for picks NEXT year. You have to get Tannehill help NOW....not next year. This team needs to make progress NOW. Not next year. Clock is ticking...

WAS JAKE LONG GOOD VALUE AS A NUMBER 1 OVER ALL PICK?

FA is an easy way of going about it. It's throwing around money and luring people in with some money. It's 5 picks in the first 3 rounds that will show if he deserves to stay or go. 5 picks in the top 3 rounds is the foundation of a team for the future. We are young and with the right selections (heck, if 3 of the 5 picks are starters) we will be a good team within 2 years. But with his track record I'm hesitant to say that this will be the year we begin our ascent to the top.

EISEL:

COME ON WHAT's VALUE?

TOM BRADY IN THE 6th ROUND WAS THAT VALUE?

trade a couple for percy harvin, guy is a stud

EISEL:

ARE YOU KEEPING UP?

IN THIS WORLD WE HAVE LEADERS AND FOLLOWERS.

SOME OF YOU NEED TO KEEP FOLLOWING BECAUSE YOU CAN't THINK FOR YOUR SELF.

SO WITH THAT BEING SAID WHAT DO SOME OF YOU CONSIDER VALUE.

ertz is a guy they should def target in second rd. he would start at te for us right away


It's a weak draft. The only wise thing to do would be to trade some of our extra picks for higher picks next year.

Ireland doesn't have until next year though, so unfortunately he will have to waste them on sub par players. It's not his fault the draft is weak, but he will be blamed for having a weak draft.

Posted by: Yekele | January 27, 2013 at 12:33 PM
-------------------------------------------------------

We think alike. I posted in so many words the other day the same thing. Think I said something like whatever happens with draft & FA, we still won't be good enough to compete for a championship. So, trade this years picks for better pics next year. I also said it would never happen because of Ireland's 'situation'.

But really, there are other factors. One is Philbin is no dummy. He has to know last year was his honey moon year amd now the clock is ticking for him. Two, the fan base (what's left of it) would decrease and more orange seats on Sunday.

Good idea but it will never happen.

U Ireland haters sure support his philosophy of building through the draft. Sure -BUT u still need to spend money on veteran FAs to get u to next level. Ireland keeps saying this yr was all by design to be under cap and stockpile picks. BUT in the process he has made the dolphins an unattractive team to play for. My prediction not one of the big FAs sign here. So most of u will be happy we will be relying on the draft and building for next 5 yrs. then fire Ireland and start all over.

and if rams dont keep amendola id go get him for sure

I agree with Craig M. They clock is definately ticking.

Thats what worries me with 6 unsigned starters and with the Naanee, Wallace, Moore, Binns ever rotating spot in the line-up that needs to be upgraded which brings the total to 7.

7 additions to hit on through free agency and the draft. Thats scary.

Dolphins activated more WR's than any team In the league and WR corps still sucked.

The Fins wont be competitive until 3 years AFTER Ireland is fired....IF they hire a good GM.

great insight ron carry on

BREAKING NEWS!

Tannehill = Another Irescum bust

DID PEYTON MANNING CHOOSE THE DOLPHINS? NO

DID MATT FLYNN CHOOSE THE DOLPHINS? NO

DID JEFF FISCHER CHOOSE THE DOLPHINS? NO

NO ONE WITH A CHOICE CHOOSES THE CRAP DOLPHINS!

YOU GUYS GET THAT?

Ron Son,

Get your facts straight.....the Dolphins didn't choose Matt Flynn and thank God they didn't. Would have been a complete waste of money. But don't let FACTS confuse your story.

Btw, Manning didn't choose SF either....so looks like he didn't choose all that wisely.

Craig you are dead wrong. Philbin wanted Matt Flynn to be his QB. Ross cheaped out on paying him .

Matt Flynn would've had us in the playoffs this year. And we could've used the 8th pick on a WR/TE.

ron son philbin wanted no such thing . quit making up garbage. fisher dec did hurt us though. hes done a great job already there

Ron Son is right. After 3 interviews Philbin was dissapointed and was quoted " I have no idea why Matt chose Seattle over Miami."

Ross lied and said he didnt really want Flynn. This after 3 interviews and an offer. LOL

Great you've got the inside on that story. Perhaps you can send me the link with direct comments from Philbin.

I'll wait....

Philbin wanted Flynn without a doubt. Ross picked the cheaper Tannehill.

Total BS, Shula 73, but I thought the madeup quote were a nice twist.

Craig, it was all over the papers .

I'll let you guys live in your fantasy world and your made up BS.

I'd much rather have a young Tannehill than a $9 mil a year, unproven backup. Dolphins made the right choice on this one.

Then send me the link Shula 73. If it's all over the papers send it to me. It should be really easy for you.

Of course you won't do it....because it doesn't exist.

SURE CRAIG. WHATEVER THE DOLPHINS DO IS RIGHT IN YOUR EMPTY HEAD. BUT YOU HAVE NO EXPLANATION FOR 4 CONSECUTIVE LOSING SEASONS. EVERYTHING THEY DO IS RIGHT, IDIOT!

starks stays. smith walks.

Craig is an out of touch out of towner = CLUELESS

He doesnt know these things.

Ron Son,

I'll wait for the link....send it to me. MORON....

Canadiens talking Dolphins? Hilarious!

« 1 2 ... 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 ... 23 24 »

The comments to this entry are closed.