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The cost of doing business ain't cheap

Let's put aside the fanciful talk of adding this guy and re-signing that guy for a moment and consider what all this stuff is going to cost, shall we?

Let me scare you right off the bat:

If the Dolphins want to add an elite wide receiver this offseason in free agency -- assuming one is even available -- it is going to cost around $9-$11 million per season. That's according to former NFL agent and salary cap expert Joel Corry,  who now writes about NFL contracts and the salary cap for the National Football Post.

"The high end UFA WRs will be looking at Vincent Jackson's 5-year, $55,555,555 deal ($26M GTD) as a benchmark," Corry tweeted to me on Thursday.

That is $11 million a year, folks.

Obviously, there are two things at play that must be stipulated.

That price is for a Vincent Jackson-type wide receiver. The player asking for that money must offer that enormous amount of talent. Jackson caught 72 passes for 1,384 yards (a whopping 19.2 yards per catch) and eight TDs in 2012. I'm not certain anyone on the market rises to that level of ability.

Jackson is a deep threat all day long and he also happens to be 6-5 and 230 pounds. (Yeah, amazing).

And the $11 million is the starting asking price. It is not necessarily the final price.

While any elite wide receiver on the market may want $11, I'm sure most will be talked off that skyscrapper ledge to a much lower floor. I'd say, and this is a conservative estimate, the elite wide receiver on the market this year will get around $10 million per season and it'll fall sharply from there. Remember, Wes Welker made $9.55 million under a franchise tag in 2012 and would cost $11.4 million if tagged in 2013 -- which is unlikely.

By the way, the cost of doing business in the wide receiver market won't be cheap for the Dolphins even if they stick with what they got. Pending free agent Brian Hartline, a No. 2 receiver, will be looking for $5-$6 million per year on the open market if he gets there.

Greg Jennings? He'll be hovering in the $8-$9 million annual range.

And the price at other positions won't be much cheaper.

Elite cornerbacks are expecting $10 million per season. Agents will be looking at Brandon Carr's five-year $50 million deal with Dallas and Jason McCourty's 5-year, $43 million deal to stay in Tennesee and see that as the numbers to shoot for.

So Carr is averaging $10 million a year while McCourty is averaging $8.6 million per year.

That's the zip code cornerback Sean Smith expects to inhabit at the start of free agency. And yes, he's likely going to free agency. I don't think the Dolphins will pay that kind of money for Smith. They see him as a good player who still has unmet potential. They do not see him as a game-changer or playmaker.

There are also questions about how Smith will react professionally once he gets paid. Will he cruise? Will he feel entitled? Will the work ethic suffer?

(Kindly post comments on whether you believe Sean Smith is worth $8.6 million per season in the appropriate section below).

That's the cost of doing business, folks.

The Dolphins will be lucky to re-sign Randy Starks for the $6 million a year Paul Soliai got in March of 2012. The Herald's Barry Jackson tells me the sides have opened talks but are not close.

I'll say.

I would imagine Starks will be the highest-paid DT on the team, seeing as he's the only one that's been to a couple of Pro Bowls. But I don't see how the Dolphins can pay him the $8 million per year that Vince Wilfork makes or certainly not the $12 million per year that Haloti Ngata makes.

So that might land him in the $7 million a year slot.

That might well be the cost of doing business.

Comments

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If we sign those three dudes we can then trade back in the first for even more picks . Then the fun begins

Mark,

It's easy for me to understand why people (me included) WANTED to love Brandon Marshall. It's all based on the mindset of the Dolphins fan. Since Marino/Duper/Clayton, we really haven't had any offensive weapons in those positions to speak of. The limited talent we had (Chris Chambers, etc.) were marginal playmakers, and never amounted to huge wins. Brandon Marshall was by far the biggest name we landed at that position, and many of us had high hopes for him.

And it's not like he didn't produce. He did. Just not TDs, and, much like Jake Long, his abilities didn't help the team reach that next level and win games.

So I understand the why (then). Why people continue to blame Ireland/Philbin now is another question entirely. That doesn't make sense to me. It was obvious Marshall wasn't going to fit into the new culture, and he wasn't so transformative as to be a keeper regardless. And it wasn't like Miami had high Playoff/SB hopes this year anyway, so why not trade a player who doesn't fit into your long-term plans in a rebuild year?

What I think those people worry about, is Miami will never fill that hole in a position that's had a hole for a decade. They are (understandably) pessimistic. I'm not. I think Philbin understands what he needs, and he/Ireland will work to fill that hole (like they did with Tannehill). Not saying Tannehill is the guy, but the very first step is to prioritize your needs correctly, THEN drafts based on those priorities. Getting Tannehill was the right choice, and I think they know they need a WR (who will be a playmaker) in this year's draft in the worst way.

Russel Wilson was out of control yesterday....and against the BEST competition in the NFL....Wilson's nickname should be "Brees version 2.0"

NJPHIN (as if that's your name, right....wink! wink!),

I'm only pointed out, we're not the only team in history that hasn't drafted a guy first overall and it hasn't lead to a Super Bowl championship.

Not sure what that has to do with 'misery loves company'. It's called a FACT.

Guys I have a queston, how does signing bonuses affect the cap?? Does it count against it at all. If Long can be signed for 8 million a year but have a signing bonus of 15 million, will that signing bonus hit the cap at all?

Kris,

I thought exactly the same thing, the little bit of the game I saw. This is probably the kid I'm most excited about to be honest. Unlike RGIII, he doesn't seem to put himself in position to take the hard hits. We'll see if that changes over time....

For the length of the contact

And I thought there is great speed in this years WR Draft C. Take a look at Olympian Marquise Goodwin's speed! He also looks competitive on the Football Field. Problem is the size, 5'9 and some rawness.

Also can you guys please stop writing about drafting a TE, Ireland used a pick on Egnew last season do you really believe he'll select another TE, NO! hes not, even if Egcrap sucks he'll be given a do over his second season

Why can't we give jake a ny mets type contract meaning paid over 20 years

But that would circumvent the cap right ?

Signing bonuses are the scourge of the cap.

It's snowing again

Craig, then you won't like this:

* Parcells loves Cam Newton, has him rated as a high first-rounder. Of Newton’s comeback win at Alabama last year, when he led Auburn to victory despite trailing 27-3 on the road, “I don’t think there’s 3-4 guys in history who could’ve done what he did that day.”
- Palm Beach Post

What I'm tired of is losing. If we took Matt Ryan with that pick, or Chris Long and did the same thing since, I'd be criticizing those picks too. True, it's not 1 pick, it's the totality of everything that's gone on the last 5 years that has us stuck in mediocrity. And that's what we ALL should be tired of. It's not easy transforming into a Playoff-caliber team, but we've seen teams do it (Cincinnati, Atlanta, San Francisco, Seattle, etc.). It starts with being right on the right draft picks and FA acquisitions. Then coaching, then the team melding right and executing.

Until that happens in Miami, everyone involved in the organization will be criticized.

There is a lot of talent in this draft but most of it is in round 2 and 3 wich is a good thing that's why I have no problem trading back in round 1

Also funny to read what geniuses the Pats are. They get all the credit in the world for taking Mallett in the third, when in reality, the two QBS I liked better and I think will be better pros, Kaepernick and Dalton, were there for the taking and they passed. Both would have been better heir apparents IMO. So spare me this, 'the Pats are so much smarter than us' BS. They missed on both of these guys, just like everybody else. Do they have their QB of the future? We'll see....

Signing bonuses are included in the cap number and the total cap hit of the bonus is pro-rated pver the term of the agreement. For example, a $20M singing bonus on a 5 year contract has a cap hit of $4m a year (20M/5 years) in addiiton to his annual salary. So a $5M a year player with a $20M signing bonus (5 years) has a cap hit of $9M per year ($5m salary plus $4m bonus).

I noticed yesterday that Wilson is the exact same size as Doug Flutie when Doug interviewed him. Flutie was also a good Qb - just got jobbed his firrst time around and spent his best years in the CFL.

I pretty much turned it on in the 3rd quarter Craig M...

that kid "gets it".....

I'm not calling for him...but I am a fan....

DC,

I'm done with Parcells. You'd have a hard time counting on one hand the good things he did for this team (go ahead and try). And yet there are still guys on here who sing his praises....funny!!

One of the WORST moves this team every made was giving up two seconds for Marshall. Not only did it cause us to lose to high picks, but it caused us to make an ill-advised trade back that netted us Odrick and Misi and caused to moss out on the chance of drafting either Kaepernick or Dalton, two guys that would have helped us a lot. One bad move after another.

DC@10:25; nothing to argue about there. I will add that I think Ross' last presser gave a clue when he said the first 2 pieces a team wants to start with are HC and QB. By that, he indicated it was his decision to get both. While few are giving him credit as being a good owner, he indicated he did wait and learned before he made the 2012 decisions. So far, so good.

Mark...you're righted...Flutie did get hosed....

New England went with the much taller ( and longer necked) Steve Grogan....weirdest looking QB in NFL history I believe....

think he wore a neck roll....

Thanks Mark

Took this from Peter King's MMQB this morning. On;ly one person's opinion but interesting he doesn't talk about WR being one of the most important and interesting that he lists LT as one of the most important. Take it for what you want. Just wanted to share.


"In today's game, quarterback is the most important position, followed in some order by pass rusher, cornerback and left tackle".

Yeah kris, I remember Grogan. Had severe neck issues from what I can remember - hence the neck roll.

Flutie was incredible in the CFL. It was truly a waste. he was also a good Qb when got to Buffalo. Last guy to bring them to the playoffs. And in exchange he gets benched for Rob Johnson in that playoff ... and the rest is history for that franchise.

Craig@10:49, good catch and I won't dispute that. Look at Arizona receivers this year to see that. Turnstyle tackles and questionable QBs de-elevated Fitz's play- and the rest of the Cardinal receivers' play.

billcale,

I think that's it EXACTLY. I think some guys on here think you just need to throw some talented WRs and the rest takes care of itself. Doesn't quite work that way. So what I see it a question mark at LT in Martin and the need to add another tackle. Not going to be easy.

ongrats to the pro-bowl....

DFrom what I saw of the game....te players found the right mix of intensity and safety to make the game fun and enjoyable to watch....

If they can match this level next year....I will watch the game from the 1st snap on....

Agreed on the tackles. You need two good ones. Don't need to pay them $10M a year necessarily but you need to find a couple that can keep a pocket. martin so far has not shown he can do that from the left side. In fact jerry did a better job filling in for Jake the year before. maybe we have our tackles in Martin and Jerry ... but that's a big ask and one only the coaching staff can answer I think. We will know soon enough what their thoughts are.

Craig@10:43: it seems to me that was done to get Henne help- the same argument brought up today for Tannehill. Reaching can severely alter or destroy the best of plans.

Its been straight downhill since Parcells left.

The Honey Badger is doing and saying all the right things....

is he worth the risk....

only Ireland knows....but he sounds refomed....

drug counseling twice a day....living and working out with Patrick Peterson....training with Darrelle Revis...

He could be a steal in the 2nd or 3rd round.....

http://bleacherreport.com/tb/d9wLf?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=miami-dolphins

billcale,

I didn't get the Pat White or Turner picks. Also, in hindsight the trade of two second round picks for Marshall was a dumb move. It's set the team back. We very easily could have used those picks on a WR or used them to move up and get a guy like D. Thomas, WR from Denver. Could have, should have....

Parcells engineered the biggest turnaround in NFL history for the Dolphins. He belongs in the HOF for that and his SB accomplishments.

Looks like LT Joekel is going to end up as the first pick in the draft for the Chiefs. Are guys going to go on record NOW as saying this is the WRONG pick. Many QBs out there, available to be picked. Where's all the 'you always pick a QB over a tackle guys' now?

Craig M...

YES....its the WRONG PICK....

its the safe move....lets see how many playoff apperances the Chiefs have in the next 6 years....i'll say 2....on RECORD....

A couple of underclassmen that Pioli liked in this draft (as per King's MMQB):

Keenan Allen
Alec Ogeltree

and a sleeper in TE Gavin Escobar (don't know much about him but sounds a bit similar to Egnew, in that there might be risk)

On Pat White:

* Classic Parcells: He kinda, sorta takes the blame for the Pat White pick in 2009, but lets you know that it wasn’t really his pick. “Well, that was my mistake. Or our mistake. My mistake, I would say primarily, because I was the one charged with it eventually.”

* As for why they took an undersized, inaccurate quarterback in the second round: “We were caught up in this Wildcat, and it had been successful for us. It had won a division for us. And now we see a guy that looks like he has attributes that are gonna enable us to expand that a little bit and be a little bit more of a threat. So we kinda got caught up in that. The young man was a high producer in college, he was a most valuable player in four bowl games, he led his school to an inordinate number of wins, he had almost all of (the criteria).”

“It’s our mistake. We violated a principle, and when you violate principles, invariably, it leaps up and bites you, and that’s what happens.”

* Parcells said the Wildcat formation, which was wildly successful in 2008, somewhat successful in 2009 and not at all successful in 2010, “was a novelty that was successful for a period of time.”
- Palm Beach Post

BTW Craig M....

the QBs in this draft SUCK....period....

so let's looks @ the WHOLE picture and not just peek thru the key-hole...

..Craig M. First off. You know better then to take anything those mocks say as the gosphel. Second, everyone that makes these points about Long-Ryan has the benifit of hindsgiht.

Your question is valid though, Nobody..had Matt Ryan as the number one pick that year. Some, had Brian Brohm as a projected top 5 pick, with Ryan outside of the top 10. So, in hindsight of course the pick was wrong. But at the time. The Phins had every right to take Long. Your question is Valid because people have said when it comes down to quarterback over lt you take the quarterback every time..Really? Well Geno Smith? He is similar to Ryan just because there aren't many thinking he is worthy of the number one pick. Does it still apply? Nope.

There must have been some hard drinking done before the Pat White thing... it was near insane. 2nd rd pick for a wildcat QB!!??

The wildcat was fun the first time they used it to clobber the Pats. After that, it fooled few. But Tony wouldn't give up. Wonder if he has, now that he's gone down yet again?

Warfield, Great Post.

But Like You Said! If I Were Overlord Of All Dolphin Decisions!! Dashi Would Do Things Different!!

Sources Say Jake Wanted $10M!

More Than Reasonable!!

Jake Will Get His Money. Cost A lot Less Than His Franchise!

How Much Is Ryan Clady Asking For?

Or Brandon Albert?

If Either Of Those Guys Get Over $14M! Jake Is At Least Worth $12!!

Dolphins Need To Resign Jake, Starks, Clemons, And Probably Hartline!!

Jake $10M
Starks $7M
Clemons $3M
Hartline $5M

Giving The Fins At Least $20M To Spend On Free Agents!!

On Reggie! A Non Issue!

Forget The Money With Reggie!!

Reggie Wants To Be A Feature Back In Miami!! And Reggie Is Just A Gimmick!! Reggie Will Want To Start!! He Would Want The Lionshare Of The Carries!! Taking Away from a 21 yr Old L.Miller!! Or Another Young RB!! THAT DOESN'T RUN SCARED!!

And Gets The Easy Yards!! Falls Forward!! Knows How To Dive!! Run Between The Tackles!! Breaks Thru Arm Tackles!! Puts His Head Down!!

Gets 4-5 Yards Consistently!

Doesn't Hesitate!!

And Can Hold On To The Ball!! D.Thomas And Bush!!

I'm Not One To Argue If The Fins Waste A #2 On E.Lacy!! Instead Of A TE!! Or Give Thigpen More Carries!!

Anything Is Better Than Watching Reggie Wasting More Than Half His Carries!! Because He Is Making 2-3 Cuts In The Backfield!! And Falls Down As Soon As They Touch Him!!

You Can Juke All You Want!! Downfield!!

But Only Make 1 Cut And Go!! The First 2-3 Yards!!

Get Those Yards Consistently!!

With 4 Wr's You Need A RB That Falls Forward!!

Forgot about Geno Smith....

take that PERIOD off......Geno may be pretty good....

I take honey badger in an instant. The guy has had marijuana problems. Not coke, heroine, meth, oxy, etc....he likes his weed. Although it is illegal in the NFL it doesn't cause problems, just makes it risky because he may be suspended. When was the last time a weed-infected player really screwed up. Last I checked two players that were drunk ended up killing a total of 3 people and ruining countless other lives.

If he is a great CB he will not fall out of the 1st round because of weed suspensions. Take a flyer on him please, we need it.

Just heard reports Darrius Heyward-Bey will be released if his cap number is not re-nogiated. Nice talent ... no production so far ... acorn

..Honey Badger is not a great cornerback. Watch the games not just the highlight reels. He is a freekin liablility.

Just heard reports Darrius Heyward-Bey will be released if his cap number is not re-nogiated. Nice talent ... no production so far ... acorn
Posted by: Mark in Toronto | January 28, 2013 at 11:36 AM

I will gladly take him for a 3 million dollar contract. A tall possession receiver. Add Wallace as a speed guy and Hartline as a #3 with Bess as a slot and we are looking at a GREAT WR core

MiamiD....

I'm with you....

I know I have needed a 2nd chance or 20 in my life time....

these are kids who do dumb testosterone-induced stuff...boneheaded decisions in short...

I'll bet you will be hard pressed to find a NFL player without some skeletons in his closet (or any citizen for that matter (i know..i know...Jesu...I mean Tebow is the exception)....

My point...the majority learn how to do the right thing....and a few knuckle heads who don't get all the press....

If that talent is there...you gotta draft it....

Mark,

DH-B strikes me as a slighly better version of Gates. He was NEVER a top tem pick. GREAT speed but I have questions about his toughness and his hands.

Having said that, I'd be interested at the price.

..Honey Badger is not a great cornerback. Watch the games not just the highlight reels. He is a freekin liablility.
Posted by: DarrylDunphy | January 28, 2013 at 11:38 AM

I don't watch college so I can't say, from what he's hyped up to be he is a great talent. What round does he deserve to go in? Bump him up another round due to a CB premium in this new passing league and that's where he'll end up going. We cannot go into 2013 with Marshall and Patterson as our CBs

Daryl D....

if he goes in the 2nd or 3rd rd....he is not a HIGH DOLLAR players....

he brings an attitude...and ferocity that this defense has been lacking since.....well...I can't remember the last time we had a defensive player that intimadated other teams WR....

He doesn't have to start....most likely he is a slot cover...and eventually E Reed like FS/ Troy Palamalu like SS.....

We need a WOOD LAYING player in the defensive secondary....

Thats all i'm asking....not a baby-soft pillow tackling....chasing from behind guy.....

like the ones we got now...

Also Kris, if anyone is able to lecture someone on drug problems it would be Philbin. He (unfortunately) has the experience but he also has the persona to deal with and mentor a kid like Honey Badger. He could be a santonio Holmes but he isn't going to end up being a Pacman Jones. At worst he's our buckle corner, ideally he will be a solid starter. He is an acorn I would love for us to grow

Nickel corner*

...D20..If you watched those LSU games 2 years ago you would have seen Morris Claiborne on the other side who covered the opposition best recievers. Matthieu was covering no names and getting burned. He was the week link in that secondary. Remember LSU had 2 NFL safties behind him to cover for his mistakes. I have said this here before. What Made the Honey Badger great in college was the freedom he had to freelance in within the defense. He was allowed to do this beacuse of superior support. When he was asked to cover guys..Different story. Don't believe me, rewatch the NC game v Bama. Saban knew it.

Kris...You could be right. But where is the honey Badger going to hide in our secondary? Rashad Jones is already cleaning up Clemmons mistakes.

Exactly Miami D....

That would be my vision....we all see the potential...he doesn't have to come in and be the immedaite savior of the secondary....work him in....and let him grow....

nickle?
the phinz need an f'n silver dollar db,
dey gotz a 5 gal. bucket full of copper penny db's on the roster now.
lol

still need a qb

I always thought mathieu would be better served as a centre field type free agency. Not sure corner is his position.

28-0

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