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The cost of doing business ain't cheap

Let's put aside the fanciful talk of adding this guy and re-signing that guy for a moment and consider what all this stuff is going to cost, shall we?

Let me scare you right off the bat:

If the Dolphins want to add an elite wide receiver this offseason in free agency -- assuming one is even available -- it is going to cost around $9-$11 million per season. That's according to former NFL agent and salary cap expert Joel Corry,  who now writes about NFL contracts and the salary cap for the National Football Post.

"The high end UFA WRs will be looking at Vincent Jackson's 5-year, $55,555,555 deal ($26M GTD) as a benchmark," Corry tweeted to me on Thursday.

That is $11 million a year, folks.

Obviously, there are two things at play that must be stipulated.

That price is for a Vincent Jackson-type wide receiver. The player asking for that money must offer that enormous amount of talent. Jackson caught 72 passes for 1,384 yards (a whopping 19.2 yards per catch) and eight TDs in 2012. I'm not certain anyone on the market rises to that level of ability.

Jackson is a deep threat all day long and he also happens to be 6-5 and 230 pounds. (Yeah, amazing).

And the $11 million is the starting asking price. It is not necessarily the final price.

While any elite wide receiver on the market may want $11, I'm sure most will be talked off that skyscrapper ledge to a much lower floor. I'd say, and this is a conservative estimate, the elite wide receiver on the market this year will get around $10 million per season and it'll fall sharply from there. Remember, Wes Welker made $9.55 million under a franchise tag in 2012 and would cost $11.4 million if tagged in 2013 -- which is unlikely.

By the way, the cost of doing business in the wide receiver market won't be cheap for the Dolphins even if they stick with what they got. Pending free agent Brian Hartline, a No. 2 receiver, will be looking for $5-$6 million per year on the open market if he gets there.

Greg Jennings? He'll be hovering in the $8-$9 million annual range.

And the price at other positions won't be much cheaper.

Elite cornerbacks are expecting $10 million per season. Agents will be looking at Brandon Carr's five-year $50 million deal with Dallas and Jason McCourty's 5-year, $43 million deal to stay in Tennesee and see that as the numbers to shoot for.

So Carr is averaging $10 million a year while McCourty is averaging $8.6 million per year.

That's the zip code cornerback Sean Smith expects to inhabit at the start of free agency. And yes, he's likely going to free agency. I don't think the Dolphins will pay that kind of money for Smith. They see him as a good player who still has unmet potential. They do not see him as a game-changer or playmaker.

There are also questions about how Smith will react professionally once he gets paid. Will he cruise? Will he feel entitled? Will the work ethic suffer?

(Kindly post comments on whether you believe Sean Smith is worth $8.6 million per season in the appropriate section below).

That's the cost of doing business, folks.

The Dolphins will be lucky to re-sign Randy Starks for the $6 million a year Paul Soliai got in March of 2012. The Herald's Barry Jackson tells me the sides have opened talks but are not close.

I'll say.

I would imagine Starks will be the highest-paid DT on the team, seeing as he's the only one that's been to a couple of Pro Bowls. But I don't see how the Dolphins can pay him the $8 million per year that Vince Wilfork makes or certainly not the $12 million per year that Haloti Ngata makes.

So that might land him in the $7 million a year slot.

That might well be the cost of doing business.

Comments

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Yep! This is the year that Ross finds out if Jeff Ireland is worth what he's been paying him for the last few years. Dazzle us, Jeffy! Show us that you're as smart as you think you are! You've got the picks and you've got the salary cap to play with. Now, do something brilliant! Work your magic...if there is any! It's all on you now. You're in the spotlight. It's sink or swim time. Put-up or shut-up time. It's YOUR time, little Jeffy! Make the most of it...

Or, get out of the way, dust off your resume, and go somewhere else!

Posted by: Tracy474 | January 25, 2013 at 01:15 PM

Read more here: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/dolphins_in_depth/2013/01/the-cost-of-doing-business-aint-cheap.html#storylink=cpy


I like this statemeant, NOW IS THE TIME !!!!

If we miss with either guy then this season is a bust.
I still prefer a great route runner who's speed is being undervalued here.
Does he have speed like Wallace?
No
Does Wallace posses all the other important skill sets that Jennings has?
Hands = no
Routes= no
Team player=no
Familiarity with system= no
Size= no
Big game player= no
You cant sell me because the guy simply is two yrs younger and faster , for that go sign Desaen Jackson if all you want is to blow the top off a defense , as mediocre as Desaean is he still demands that respect from a D!
Dustin Keller should be also looked at so we dont have to waste a draft pick on a te

It's a bad year to have the #1 overall pick.

It's also a bad year to have a terrible GM on a team with 5 picks in the first 3 rounds & a ton of cap space.

I'd lower my expectations if I were you.


I agree with others on here that if you are going to shell out that much for a receiver, perhaps you go after Welker and then try to add a burner in the draft. This is not supposed to be a great year for receivers in the draft so at least one WR position will need to be addressed via free agency.

I told you how it all goes down. There is nothing left for me to tell you.

Let smith walk. Let starks walk as well. This draft is deep with DTs. Take a DTs in the top 2 rounds. Bring back Long, Hartline, Fasano and maybe clemons.

I can't disagree withe the 2:16 post.

Any of you thinking "let Bush walk" may want to rethink your stance.

Every year Bush has been in the league, exept the 1 yr of injury that forced him to miss 8 games, Bush has put 6-8 tds per year. Google bush stats for yourself.

This means every year he has been in the league except for the upper mentioned one, Bush has scored as many or more tds than our "ENTIRE RECIEVINGS CORP". This year Bush had 6 tds on the ground and 2 thru the air for a total of 8 tds.

Jeffy says this season is about scoring points. So letting 8 tds(Bush) walk out of the door would be contrary to his claim.

The Dolphins are the New England Patriots minor league franchise. Develop talent in Miami, move to Boston for the major leagues.

Bush had 1300 yards and 8 td's and fans dont want to even pay him just 5 million. But they want to pay a wr with the same stats double that.Its ludicrous

I can see where DC is coming from regarding Smith. Eventho he's not top shelf, he's gonna leave a hole. And rook CBs usually take a couple of years to produce (or not)

But here's the thing: Smith strikes me as the very type to lay down after a big payday.

Myself, I'd let 'em walk simply because I don't see us competing for a championship next year. Matter of fact, I'd like to see us trading pics to get more next year. Never happen though...Jeffy's time is short and he knows it.

If I were Fins gm I would only seriously consider resigning 3 players:

Starks, Bush, and Clemons. Yes, Clemons. He can be resigned cheaply because he's neither awful nor spectacular.

Long, Hartline, and Smith are all "optional" depending what their salary demands are.

Also, I would let Marshall go. At nearly $6 million a year, the chances his back ever get a full 100% are pretty slim. Its just the "common nature" of back injuries.

...I have no idea what Bush will cost. I'm sure it is more then I think the team should pay, we will see. Forget abou the TD's..6--8 is a sad amount for a feature running back. Now 6-8 TD's for a running back by commitee guy is outstanding. So if TD's are the barometer of how we are gong to judge the skill position players. Bush, by definition is a huge dissapointment. The offense here even more so.

I think that if given the carries that Lamar Miller would, or could match Bush TD's totals, yards, excitng plays. The one difference is the pass pro. Miller was a liablity, Bush was above average as a blocker. The point is that for much less of a price, we get younger at a position where I do not think we lose anything skill wise. In fact Miller gives the team an opportunity to get better.

After listening to Irelands Presser. I wouldn't be suprised if somewhere in the mid rounds 3-5..We take a running back, I wouldn't be suprised if we took a quarterback. In fact we would be smart to explore both spots..Anyway. Back to Bush.

He isn't so dynamic, so critical to this offense that his production cannot be replaced. We are setting the bar awfuly low if Bush is the best we can do. Give it to the young guy. See what he can do. The worse case scenario IMO is a similar output to Bushs numbers the past 2 years.

corners,

Bush had as many recieving tds as Hartline and Bess combined. Two! LOL....

All these people that bash Ireland sound like people that just like to hate someone to me. What has he done that's so bad? The guy makes up his mind on how much a player is worth and if that player thinks he's worth more than that then he moves on. That's how a GM should be. You can't pay players more than they're worth, that's how you end up with the Jets' salary cap issues. Hartline's easily worth $6 million a year, that's how much a good #2 receiver costs. I agree that Smith isn't worth $9 million a year but he's worth $5-6 million. Of the prominent free agents we have I'd say let Starks walk, re-sign Long and Smith if they're price tags are reasonable, and re-sign Bush Fasano and definitely Hartline.

Using Vincent Jackson's numbers as a benchmark (72 catches for 1384 yards, 19.2 average, and 8 TD's), and weighing all four categories equally (at $2.75 M each), I crunched some numbers (yes, I'm bored), I came up with values for the following:

Hartline--$7.8 M/yr.

Jennings--$4.9 M/yr.

Wallace--$8.7 M/yr.

Bowe--$6.8 M/yr.

Which means absolutely nothing! It's like comparing apples to oranges, but it's fun to look at, huh?

I don't think Smith is worth $8-9 million/year. He at most should be in the $5 mil/yr range. He is a major underachiever considering that he just completed the 4th year.

DD,

Bush has been our leading td scorer the past 2 seasons. Marshall had 6 tds in 2011, Bush had 7 tds.

Bush is a greater scoring threat than our wr's the past two season. Yet, if Hartline who's scored a combined 4 tds the last 2 seasons, is resigned at $7 million a year. Fans will think we got a bargain.

If Bush is resigned at $7 million a year, many fans would grumble we overpaid for him. Based on "production that counts", tds, Bush is far the better "value" than Hartline.

Bush can actually effect the outcome of the game score. Hartline has "very little impact" in this most important area.

Our FA: Hartline, Fasano, Clemons and Trusnik for depth, Reggie Bush and Matt Moore if he wants to stay.
Other FA: Byrd from Buf, ( if we have the elite duo of Byrd and Jones in the backfield I think even SS could cover someone!) Jennings from GB, we need a "number 1" I want Jennings because he's the best value. He can train the receivers we draft as well.
Draft: Patterson, (why take the 4th DE or 2nd best CB when we have the #1 WR? That reach non-sense is moot point he's gone by 16 to viks. ) 2: Ertz TE, 2b: Desmond Truffant or Margus Hunt DE. 3: Lane Johnson or best OT, 3b: Ryan Swope ( awesome player and awesome value, this years Lamar miller pick.) 4: I like the honey badger, Kevin Fauria TE, or the RB from A'n'M new power back.

VERY THOUGHTFUL POST @ 3;09 PM BY YG ..

DD,

Bush is proven, Miller is not. Ok, so we let Bush walk. Then when Miller doesnt put up the td numbers Bush put up then what?

Look, as a dolfan I would like to see Miller do well. But as the old saying goes, a bird in hand is better than 2 in the bush. In this case it may be:

"A Bush in hand...... " You know the rest.

Bush will not command more than $3-4 mil/yr on the open market.

Hartline on the other hand was severely hamstrung by the fact that there was no deep threat to help open up the underneath. Get the speedy deep threat and Hartline puts up even better numbers including more TDs.

DD,

I agree with you regarding Bush...

I did google his stats, and yes he scored 8 td's, but I believe 5 of those td's came in two games.

Two against the Raiders in week 2, three against the Bills in week 16...

A whole lot of bare bones minimum in all the time between.

YG take you'r multiple personalitys back to the Warcraft Rejects board. Wait that is most likely where you came from! You obviously don't know football and it seems you got kicked out of computer club so just get lost! You are the biggest waste of tax dollars and oxygen molecules I have ever seen!

Bush will command no more 3-4 million a year.
Posted by: TNfifnfan 03:13 PM

Seriously man? ROTFLMAO!

Anyways, here's the regular season stats (I didn't use post-season) that I used for my little mathematical excursion:

Jackson--72 for 1384 yds., 19.2 avg., 8 TD's

Hartline--74 for 1083 yds., 14.6 avg. 1 TD

Jennings--36 for 366 yds., 10.2 avg., 4 TD's

Wallace--64 for 836 yds., 13.1 avg., 8 TD's

Bowe--59 for 801 yds., 13.6 avg., 3 TD's

Kinda puts things in perspective, huh? Hartline caught lots of passes (2 more than Jackson), but for fewer yards and fewer touchdowns than Jackson. But, his average is better than Jennings, Wallace, or Bowe. So, he moved the chains.

Still, Miami needs more TD's...

Our top 2 picks should be LT and CB in any order. 2 of our next 3 picks should go on WR and/or TE.

Let Long and Smith walk if they over value themselves.

Pick up a veteran WR and DE in FA.

If someone pays Smith that kind of money then they are crazy. The guy is good but no where near great, he does not like contact and will not make a big hit in run support. If he had elite cover skills then you could overlook that but not with his cover skill. Bye Bye Sean it was nice knowing you.

Signal,

It took about 3 games for Bush to fully recover from the injury. Then The oline got absolutely pathetic in the run game.

So lets blame Bush for this.

Imagine had the oline stayed consistent in the run game. We maybe talking Bush with at least 10 or more rushing tds this season alone.

But everyone has their opinion. This happens to be mine.

Only took about 10 seconds of skimming the posts to grow weary.

Seriously, same dreary, unoriginal crap day after day with the same people posting.

Not even really blaming you. You're addicted and powerless to stop--even when you're repeating the same things 10,000 times.

The big money is going to WR not RB unless you are Arian Foster. I don't see Bush as the kind of work horse back that Foster is. Foster got $8 mil/yr and deserved it. Bush IMHO is worth half that and I do like Bush a lot.

BOYCOTT THE DOLPHINS UNTIL IRELAND IS FIRED! WE'RE SICK AND TIRED OF THE LOSING! WE'RE SICK AND TIRED OF THE CLASSLESS INCOMPETENT GM! HELP RESTORE THIS ONCE PROUD FRANCHISE! BOYCOTT AND HELP MAKE THE CHANGE!

I am a new poster and I vote for an ignore option please! I have come here since the draft last year for football news, and have to witness an imbecile like YG. After reading for months I am sick of you're crap dude. You always fighting with the Canadian guy and that other phins guy and they make you look foolish! You're not even that intelligent so stop berating others and screaming for attention. Because honest the last few days I have come here to laugh at you! That is just sad challenging people to fights, and gloating about a reprimand on social media? You're too pathetic to be a paid troll so that's what I thought you were at first. Grow up or go take you'r meds (preferably all of them at once.)

Bush should get 8 mill/yr and is worth every penny. He is our entire offense.

Few words for Jeff:
Stop to blind and get us a great passrusher like JPP type of guy. Those guys make the secondary better I bet even Smith will have 5 to 8 inter. We are wasting Wake best years.
WR: Trade for Jackson from the Eagle a 3rd will be enough and sign Hartline and Boldin draft Swope.
Boldin Jackson Hartline swope I will be happy

Agreed @ 3:19. I like this guy ...

Excellent post @ 3:29

HEAR THE ECHO OF THE MOON BABY TODAY AS IT CARRIES ACROSS THE HILLS!

OBEY ALL COMMANDS OF MOON BABY!

My approach to this offseason is, regardless of whether Ireland admits it or not, we're still in "rebuilding mode".

Therefore, we all acn list a list of top priorities saying we need this or that first. Thing is, everyone's pretty right. Problem is, everything cant be done in this single offseason.

I see this and next offseason combined, to be neccessary to make us a solid year to year playoff team. I just hope over the next two seasons, Ireland doesnt make any serious screw ups. It'll only add another season towards getting where we need to be or "should have been".

I see us 9-10 wins next year and WC, there's no excuse! I like Ireland but this year I think you need to nail the 1 and at least one of the 2 and 3 picks; while also finding an acorn like Rishard Mathews. People don't realize 2 Fg and were in the playoffs and than 4 rookie QB in it! NE definately is done, they still got us for 2013 but if we smack em around at home and play them tough again at Fox, Brady going to quit. That game in NE was 28-21 if our WR off the street trash BINNS doesn't drop a TD.

Even if we can do all that needs to be done this offseason. I only see a 9-7 to 10-6 wildcard possibility at best.

Dont even think of challenging New England for the Afc East. Unless of course, some unforseen event leads to thier collapse. However, that unforseen event wont be the Miami Dolphins.

Is Tannehill gonna start again next year?

Lol for real the last few days in this blog like train wreck I couldn't help but look! I am disappointed I missed out on his drunken rant, I want to do a study on social media rejects and put him on YT or something. I'm disappointed in myself for wasting time on it but it's beyond sad.

We're only 9-7 to 10-6 if Ireland does "everything right" this offseason.

However, I can even see regressing as low as 5-11, if Ireland gets it all wrong.

8-8 if Ireland's offseason work falls somewhere in the middle.

PREDICTION:


. WE'LL STINK AGAIN NEXT YEAR!

I think S.Smith tests the FA market and comes back to Earth at a more reasonable price. We all know the book as fans with no financial stake and believe those paid to actually evaluate know what we know and then some. His inability to stay with smaller WR's hurt him and his penchant for avoiding contact kill any ideas of playing him at Safety (the missed tackle last Season on Colts Rookie TE. Allen on a pivotal 3rd down were he had him in perfect position and whiffed will be a play among a host that crash land his FA tag)

I have been the biggest advocate for M.Wallace whenever the conversation comes up and still believe him the best addition. I know what a vertical threat like him could do for Tannehill and love the idea of adding him. Jennings would be the safer addition if not for injuries but it's an issue and can't be ignored. In the open market unless we really over pay we don't get Finley because Shannahan in Wash. employs the pos. alot in his scheme and will pursue and will persue IMO a Sharpe type TE with non available in the draft. The Falcons as well will be in the market with T.G. retiring and both better landing spots than Miami for him.

I know some believe in the draft we need a pass rusher or an OL like Warmack at 12 but I disagree. I don't know were you would look it up but we got to be one of the worst teams in Football on D getting off the field on 3rd and long. With Milliner probably off the boards I would pass on J.Banks and entertain a trade down to OL starved team but no lower than 22 targeting X.Rhodes (CB FSU) adding additional 2. With 3 picks RD-2 in I target best OL on boards add Safety to pair with R.Jones (deep class) and BA WR or TE. We won't plug all our needs but if you look at the draft it's deep on D and has a good group of OL as a whole with players available in RD-2.

THERE IS A WAY TO IMPROVE THE SECONDARY WITHOUT PAYING SMITH. RESIGN PATTERSON,DRAFT A PASS RUSHER AT 12 AND SIGN TALIB,DRAFT ANOTHER CORNER AND A WIDE RECEIVER. WE MUST ADD THESE PLAYERS THOUGH, BUSH,HARTLINE,AND MIKE WALLACE. WE CAN ALSO DRAFT THE BEST OT IN THE DRAFT IN 2ND RD. I'VE SAID ALL ALONG THAT WALLACE ADDS THAT ELEMENT THAT WE NEED AND THAT IS OVER THE TOP SPEED. THIS WILL GIVE HARTLINE MORE SPACE AND TEAMS CANNOT STACK THE BOX, NOW THAT MEANS MORE LONG RUNS FOR BUSH AND MILLER. IN THE 4TH ROUND I WOULD DRAFT PATTERSON FROM MICHIGAN TO RETURN PUNTS AND BECAUSE OF SPEED. MAKE THE DOLPHINS THE FASTEST TEAM IN THE NFL AND GET A GOOD PASS RUSHER AND THIS WILL ADD UP TO 10/11 WINS AND A PLAYOFF BERTH.

Tannehill is going to be the starter for at least the next 3 years.

Ya NE owns the Division for at-least another year. However if Cordarelle Patterson really is as electric in the NFL as he was in college, and Ertz a Decent TE we looking good. We built more like the ravens than the niners, and if we can start putting 28+ a game up and have a solid def with jones and Byrd, C'MON MAN!

I hate to break to all you Dolfans who are expecting major changes this offseason when it comes to making this team better BUT...............

Even though miami has all this cap space and draft picks, their either going to have more holes to fill by letting go of some or resigning most of them with most of their cap situation which will then begin to shrink even more in adding playmakers which in all honesty isnt going to be very many depending on how their teams use the franchise tags and what not in the offseason.

So spend your cap on the very few playmakers out there or limit yourself to one-maybe two and take your chances with resigning the same players who have spent four straight years on the losing end. Miami then will have to bank everything else on a steller draft. NOT HAPPENING PEOPLE.


Miami may be only slightly better or possibly worse next year but one thing is certain, the gap between the pats and fins will still be no contest.

First off Daryl, bush shared time with Thomas and Miller and got benched for fumbling, whereas Thomas did not. They didn't utilize bush in passing game until last quarter of season, as they didn't want to overwhelm Ms.Tannehill (Sherman is a moron).
Second BUM, I bash Ireland for his terrible free agent signings ( oh boy he got 1 right with wake) and mediocre at best draft picks, not because I like to hate. Ireland is horrible.

Truth Hurts, I'm guessing you dress in all black and cut yourself for fun. Always gloom n doom. They have 5 draft picks in first 100 and a great chunk of cap space. Sorry, but the GM set them up in a great spot to get guys in for Philbin. I know it must have been a mistake...

randy starks is one of the best DT in the league. Pay him. goodbye sean smith. hes got slow hips. a lot times hes so far away from his receiver that he is actually chasing them. I wouldnt pay hartline either. he just doesnt get enough separation, even as a #2. Hes just not a play maker. There are plenty of guys out there in the #2 wr position that can make plays. Hartline cannot. I would draft someone in the early rounds with some speed that can RAC. just look at these good teams. they have play makers up the wazoo. I would spend the money on a fast TE who can run. That is what the NFL has become. I would do all of this assuming the NFL isn't fixed, which it is.

PREDICTION:


. THE DOLPHINS WILL BE ATTENDANCE CHALLENGED AGAIN NEXT YEAR!

Unreality > Common Sense


Im sure you'll be the first in here when FA comes and goes and then the draft and miami is not much better or worse than when they started.


Oh well, I admire hopeful fans of Irelands wide success in miami. Too bad its all hopeless!

I agree with an earlier post - if we are going to be paying top $$ for a WR I'd bring in Welker and draft a burner in later rounds.

I'd try to resign Smith for the right price as the CB FA market is bad (would you rather Smith or DRC?).

I hope Ireland goes BPA for the first 3 rounds - this team needs talent nearly everywhere and since we can't retain all our FAs will have a lot of holes to fill possibly at DT, CB, SS, OL.

oh by the way daniel thomas should be cut. I never want him to see him in a dolphins uniform again. hes absolutely awful.

Tannehill is going to be the starter for at least the next 3 years.

Posted by: TNfinfan | January 25, 2013 at 03:49 PM


. Deja Vu Chad Henne. YIKES!

@ 3:47

"Oh no! WE SUCK AGAIN!"

- Rob Schneider, Waterboy

When Irescum traded 3 picks for D Thomas the draft room broke out in hysterical laughter! haha

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