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The cost of doing business ain't cheap

Let's put aside the fanciful talk of adding this guy and re-signing that guy for a moment and consider what all this stuff is going to cost, shall we?

Let me scare you right off the bat:

If the Dolphins want to add an elite wide receiver this offseason in free agency -- assuming one is even available -- it is going to cost around $9-$11 million per season. That's according to former NFL agent and salary cap expert Joel Corry,  who now writes about NFL contracts and the salary cap for the National Football Post.

"The high end UFA WRs will be looking at Vincent Jackson's 5-year, $55,555,555 deal ($26M GTD) as a benchmark," Corry tweeted to me on Thursday.

That is $11 million a year, folks.

Obviously, there are two things at play that must be stipulated.

That price is for a Vincent Jackson-type wide receiver. The player asking for that money must offer that enormous amount of talent. Jackson caught 72 passes for 1,384 yards (a whopping 19.2 yards per catch) and eight TDs in 2012. I'm not certain anyone on the market rises to that level of ability.

Jackson is a deep threat all day long and he also happens to be 6-5 and 230 pounds. (Yeah, amazing).

And the $11 million is the starting asking price. It is not necessarily the final price.

While any elite wide receiver on the market may want $11, I'm sure most will be talked off that skyscrapper ledge to a much lower floor. I'd say, and this is a conservative estimate, the elite wide receiver on the market this year will get around $10 million per season and it'll fall sharply from there. Remember, Wes Welker made $9.55 million under a franchise tag in 2012 and would cost $11.4 million if tagged in 2013 -- which is unlikely.

By the way, the cost of doing business in the wide receiver market won't be cheap for the Dolphins even if they stick with what they got. Pending free agent Brian Hartline, a No. 2 receiver, will be looking for $5-$6 million per year on the open market if he gets there.

Greg Jennings? He'll be hovering in the $8-$9 million annual range.

And the price at other positions won't be much cheaper.

Elite cornerbacks are expecting $10 million per season. Agents will be looking at Brandon Carr's five-year $50 million deal with Dallas and Jason McCourty's 5-year, $43 million deal to stay in Tennesee and see that as the numbers to shoot for.

So Carr is averaging $10 million a year while McCourty is averaging $8.6 million per year.

That's the zip code cornerback Sean Smith expects to inhabit at the start of free agency. And yes, he's likely going to free agency. I don't think the Dolphins will pay that kind of money for Smith. They see him as a good player who still has unmet potential. They do not see him as a game-changer or playmaker.

There are also questions about how Smith will react professionally once he gets paid. Will he cruise? Will he feel entitled? Will the work ethic suffer?

(Kindly post comments on whether you believe Sean Smith is worth $8.6 million per season in the appropriate section below).

That's the cost of doing business, folks.

The Dolphins will be lucky to re-sign Randy Starks for the $6 million a year Paul Soliai got in March of 2012. The Herald's Barry Jackson tells me the sides have opened talks but are not close.

I'll say.

I would imagine Starks will be the highest-paid DT on the team, seeing as he's the only one that's been to a couple of Pro Bowls. But I don't see how the Dolphins can pay him the $8 million per year that Vince Wilfork makes or certainly not the $12 million per year that Haloti Ngata makes.

So that might land him in the $7 million a year slot.

That might well be the cost of doing business.

Comments

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Ricky Williams was an amazing talent. I've been a fan of the team since 1968 and have NO problem calling him the best back in team history.

That's no slur at Larry Csonka, who was a beast and the heart and sould of those great teams. But in terms of pure, jaw-dropping talent? Ricky wins.

Never thought he as all that 'weird' either. There ARE more important things than football. To me, a TRUE weirdo would think the opposite. I think he was just a talented misfit as an extremely bright guy in a room full of (mostly) dumb jocks.

WHO HAVE SEE WHEN THE MIAMI DOLPIN PLAY THE CINCINATY BENGALS AGAN?? I CAN GO TO THAT GAME IF IT IS IN OHIO BECAUSE WE WILL GO THERE NEXT SUMMER ON A TRIP AND ANOTHER TIME WE WAS THERE ALL READY?

I dont know why some here fail to see, but, Reggie Bush was by far the closest thing opponents had to fear on our offense.

Bush is easily one of the 2-3 most exciting openfield runners in the nfl today. All of those "highlight reel" runs didnt give you a clue? Imagine how many more of those we would see with an "upgraded oline" giving him more chances to create these "highlight calibre" runs by giving him more daylight?

Look, no one's suggesting "breaking the bank" on Bush. I dont percieve any team will. However, if we upgraded the oline and gave Bush a 3yr $21 million($7 million a year) contract. We would see huge returns in on our investment.

However, we still dont have that change of pace, tackle breaking "big back". I do believe we need to look for that type perhaps mid to late rd of this year's draft. That would make our run game "complete".

Now, if Jeff Ireland isnt seriously looking to upgrade the oline this offseason, then it makes sense to let Bush walk. But guess what this also means?

LaMarr Miller nor any other rb in a Fins uniform will not be doing very well on a consistent basis in 2013 either.

Miller has great speed, "some elusivenes"(not great, and he has very limited tackle breaking ability. So, if he doesnt have wide open lanes to run through, his great speed will mean absolutely nothing.

Who the hell is "LaMarr" Miller?

It's just plain 'Lamar,' ok?

Jesus Christ, you'd think so-called 'big fans' would at least know the players names.


New Years Day I checked the blog. Went back to the night before. Who was posting all night New Years Eve?

With NOTHING better to do?

Who?


DaShe!

Posted by: Lonely Hearts Press | January 28, 2013 at 11:05 PM


They also posted on christmas eve and christmas Day, Odin And Douchi should just go ahead and tie the knot., Perferably around there necks.

Offer Hartline $6 million a year and not a penny over. If he decides to walk, I believe Rishard Marshall will easily replace him.

I believe if we sign a wr in fa it will be Wallace. He's been the homerun threat we always hoped for. I also believe signing any of the 3 most sought after wr's, makes it financially unrewarding to resign Hartline for a penny over $6 million.

Hartline proved in 2012 he isnt a #1 wr that will place fear into any defense in this league. Signing Wallace, especially signal's Hartline has to walk. Wallace is a huge upgrade at the #2 over Hartline and Hartline isnt a true #1 wr.

So what do you do, move him into the slot? Bess is a far cheaper and better option there.

So signing Wallace basically could mean, drafting a #1 wr(Allen, Hopkins, or Patterson), keeping Bess in the slot, and letting Hartline walk. The 6-7-8 million we didnt spend on Hartline supplements the money needed to sign Wallace.

Now goodnight all! LOL...

One last thing:

In no way does my above posts mean I condone signing any of the fa wr's. My position is I would rather draft 2 wr's with the first 3 picks.

I know others would not want to do that, its just one man's opinion.

LIFE IS
SHORT......

I JUST WOKE UP AND HAVING COFFE.MY DAY IS STARTING......

GOOD NIGHT YG.......

Darryl D,

I would have to say I am in the other corner of the Bush debate. You and I don't disagree too often but I want the Fins to bring Bush back(*reasonable salary required).

It's not like I don't believe the Fins can't forge ahead without Bush. I'm just think they would not be "better" in 2013 if they let him go. To me it just seems maybe one year premature to show Bush the door.

Bush has a work ethic that has to be among the best on the team. He has been dangerous at times which means he is capable of it. The same can't be said for Thomas or Miller, although Miller seems to have shown he could excel with experience. He has to figure out blocking asap.

Thomas is flat scary as both an injury risk as well as a 3.5 cloud of dust guy. Nothing he has done to date says to me he can get it done as a big time, reliable back. The extra disappointing thing to me is how easily he gets stopped in short yardage as a big, hefty back with decent speed.

Sadly, I believe since Ireland traded up to get him the Fins are stuck with Thomas 3.5 on the roster. Ireland wouldn't want to shed light on a mistake like that. I also feel if Thomas was a 4th or 5th round pick that JI didn't draft up to get then the fire surrounding the pick would not be as hot.

It will be interesting to see if FA finds Bush in a different uni. If so it would seem the Fins would be compelled to draft a back or chase another FA.

Time will tell. Always great to hear your side of the coin in Fin debate.

Cheers,

YG GONE TO SLEEP...

ROB IS READY TO GO TO SLEEP/////////

Good call ALoco!

You are 100% correct sir. The Sandman doth call.

I hope your day goes well friend.

Go Fins!

Cheers,

C'mon, bud, you've made enough bread. How about another entry?

OSCAR HAD HIS NAP AND READY TO START HIS DAY ...


CHEERS...........

I, have not seen any indication from Philbin that he has established a zone-blocking O line like I saw Mike Shanahan do in Wash. last year. Of course, he might not have the horses for it, but he better have them next Season if Lamar Miller, a one cut runner, is going to be able to run thru there.

If they dont pay Bush and Long I feel sorry for Tannehill and for the Miami fans.

Once again, we fall to the same dilemma. Do we better our OL with 1 or 2 high picks or do we use those in acquiring explosive WRs, TEs and RBs.

FAgency will be key for Us and I know that Ireland will move fast in it once it starts.

I will go ground my Bustelo beans now and make the coffee.

i agree with AKF on one point...we play way too much zone...not enough press, and don't get into wr's grills...if you don't dissrupt the route, then you are catching up to it...is smith worth it??? i don't believe so...he gets beat alot...but that seems to be when we play zone d...so is it his fault? not sure...still wish we hadn't let go of bell...truth is, we need backfield help as much as we need wr help. when people hear the word 'playmaker' they think of offense..but how many passes were knocked down by our db's that should have been caught...that's playmaking also. GO FINZ!!!

Oscar,
You're correct about FA being a big key. Ireland is going to get a major test this year because of what this team has to lose and has to gain in free agency. Losing Starks puts them in a position to acquire someone to replace him in FA and if Ireland can't do that it changes everything in the draft. However, if they keep Starks or find a replacement in FA they have more options in the draft. I doubt Long is the answer they need at LT anymore. It's probably time to move on from him. If they do that they still have some options in FA and the draft.
The thing is, however, we may have to be ok with this team taking a step back before we see it get better because the draft is bringing in rookies who will need to contribute but they are still rookies. If they let Smith walk, for instance, and don't get someone in FA and draft someone like Poyer and start him immediately he will have some growing pains. The same thing goes for receiver. There are no wr's again this year in FA they can acquire who will be worth it. The top guys are too expensive and what they bring to the table isn't worth it. Who knows? They may sign one anyway. But, let's say they don't. If they draft two guys early with the idea these are the guys who are going to be the future of the offense we all know it's not going to happen overnight.
So, it's going to be interesting, to say the least.

Clean the slate and have a do over , and yes Lamar miller will be our number one option out of the backfield the kid is like lightening in a bottle I'm looking forward to seeing more of him.

New logo new jerseys and a new team WOW can't wait

Can anyone say playmakers

Just to make this clear free agency will supplement our draft .we will find playmakers this offseason it's not an option

Would be best to sign OLine help, DBack help in FAgency. I really don't see any big O playmakers at the price(value) in FA and I do see some of those in the Draft.

Man, what hands on Steadman Bailey! Quick as hell, too.

I agree Oscar but there are a few fellas out there that can help our offense

ALLEN
HUNTER
AUSTIN

Yup bailey is special

THREE PLAYMAKERS UNDER THE PRICE OF A HARTLINE

WITH "VALUE" WHATEVER THAT MEANS

I really like Terrance Williams also

OSCAR:

I THINK HE REMINDS ME OF A HINES WARD.

TERRANCE WILLIAMS?

LOOKING HIM UP

Could be, Justin, although he's not as stout as Hines.

Plenty of incredibly fast WRs in this Draft. Terrance, 6'4, 4.4. Hmm...

I love the explosive Player, the one that whenever he touches the ball can go all the way. I used to follow the Detroit Lions, not because I liked the Team, but because of Barry Sanders. But I have to admit, that Teams that rely on those kind of Players only, seldom get anywhere.

NJ:

TERRANCE WILLIAMS?

NO THANKS.

HE HAS THAT BUILT UP SPEED AND HE's TO BIG TO PLAY SO SOFT.

Ok what about Jennings Williams hartline bess and SWOOPE then throw in Jared cook and ertz sounds pretty good now does it not

You see free agency must supplement our draft that's what I am getting to

I really don't see what People see in Swoop. To me, he's just another Hartline. Don't forget that we have THills favorite receiver in College on our PS.

A deep draft in pass rushers and recievers--two high playmaker positions. I say we double down on these positions. Some good TEs out there also. I think the main prospect is Patterson, but I think that by the time we pick at 12 it will be too late to get him. Hopefully everybody ahead of us is in love with somebody else and nobody moves up either. I like the TE Kelce on day two and I think Amerson has the potential to be an al-pro FS. We need someone in the secondary that can get the ball back for us. Day two pass rusher I like is Tank Carradine if he comes back from the acl ok. Patterson is the man though.

Now there are Also guys like woods from USC hunter from tenn. Patterson from tenn. Allen from cal. The point is we will get our playmakers but its also nice to get a proven vet. As insurance

And also, Pat Devlin. Hmm...

SWOOPE was really his favorite receiver and his roommate

All I know is we will score a lot more touchdowns

I think this Goodwin guy is pretty good too from texas

Yup. Some great playmaking Safeties in this Draft also. We must get one of them.

jonas gray = frank gore?
maybe irecorn pulled an oak tree out of his axx.
lol

Let Ireland get us some FA athletic O linemen in FAgency and we'll point him in the direction of the Playmakers in the Draft. Always willing to help are We.

Steadman Bailey is NFL ready. So are a couple of other Receivers in the Draft.

I know a LOT of Football. I learned it watching TV.

I don't like the Williams kid either. He reminds me of Ginn--looks scared.

I DO LIKE BAILEY.

I THINK SAME TEAM BUT AUSTIN IS A BETTER PLAYMAKER BUT I DO LIKE BOTH OF THEM.

TERRANCE WILLIAMS HAS THAT TED GINN SPEED.

IT TAKES HIM 20 YARDS TO BUILD UP BUT HIM WITH HARTLINE WALLACE OR JENNINGS DOESN't SOUND BAD.

NOT AS GOOD AS ALLEN HARTLINE AND WALLACE.

I'd like to get Quinton Patton as our other Wr. I'd like to see him still there in the third.

Also, I have read a LOT about Football, the most from whom I learned from was the great MH reporter Edwin Pope, one of the influential figures in bringing Don Shula here.

im gonna go watch some devlin play

FINS:

I WATCH HIS YOUTUBE THE DAY I SAW THE ARTICLE.

HE IS A NICE PLAYER.

HE MIGHT BE THERE IN THE 4th BUT A GREAT CATCH (NO PUN) IN THE 3rd

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