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The cost of doing business ain't cheap

Let's put aside the fanciful talk of adding this guy and re-signing that guy for a moment and consider what all this stuff is going to cost, shall we?

Let me scare you right off the bat:

If the Dolphins want to add an elite wide receiver this offseason in free agency -- assuming one is even available -- it is going to cost around $9-$11 million per season. That's according to former NFL agent and salary cap expert Joel Corry,  who now writes about NFL contracts and the salary cap for the National Football Post.

"The high end UFA WRs will be looking at Vincent Jackson's 5-year, $55,555,555 deal ($26M GTD) as a benchmark," Corry tweeted to me on Thursday.

That is $11 million a year, folks.

Obviously, there are two things at play that must be stipulated.

That price is for a Vincent Jackson-type wide receiver. The player asking for that money must offer that enormous amount of talent. Jackson caught 72 passes for 1,384 yards (a whopping 19.2 yards per catch) and eight TDs in 2012. I'm not certain anyone on the market rises to that level of ability.

Jackson is a deep threat all day long and he also happens to be 6-5 and 230 pounds. (Yeah, amazing).

And the $11 million is the starting asking price. It is not necessarily the final price.

While any elite wide receiver on the market may want $11, I'm sure most will be talked off that skyscrapper ledge to a much lower floor. I'd say, and this is a conservative estimate, the elite wide receiver on the market this year will get around $10 million per season and it'll fall sharply from there. Remember, Wes Welker made $9.55 million under a franchise tag in 2012 and would cost $11.4 million if tagged in 2013 -- which is unlikely.

By the way, the cost of doing business in the wide receiver market won't be cheap for the Dolphins even if they stick with what they got. Pending free agent Brian Hartline, a No. 2 receiver, will be looking for $5-$6 million per year on the open market if he gets there.

Greg Jennings? He'll be hovering in the $8-$9 million annual range.

And the price at other positions won't be much cheaper.

Elite cornerbacks are expecting $10 million per season. Agents will be looking at Brandon Carr's five-year $50 million deal with Dallas and Jason McCourty's 5-year, $43 million deal to stay in Tennesee and see that as the numbers to shoot for.

So Carr is averaging $10 million a year while McCourty is averaging $8.6 million per year.

That's the zip code cornerback Sean Smith expects to inhabit at the start of free agency. And yes, he's likely going to free agency. I don't think the Dolphins will pay that kind of money for Smith. They see him as a good player who still has unmet potential. They do not see him as a game-changer or playmaker.

There are also questions about how Smith will react professionally once he gets paid. Will he cruise? Will he feel entitled? Will the work ethic suffer?

(Kindly post comments on whether you believe Sean Smith is worth $8.6 million per season in the appropriate section below).

That's the cost of doing business, folks.

The Dolphins will be lucky to re-sign Randy Starks for the $6 million a year Paul Soliai got in March of 2012. The Herald's Barry Jackson tells me the sides have opened talks but are not close.

I'll say.

I would imagine Starks will be the highest-paid DT on the team, seeing as he's the only one that's been to a couple of Pro Bowls. But I don't see how the Dolphins can pay him the $8 million per year that Vince Wilfork makes or certainly not the $12 million per year that Haloti Ngata makes.

So that might land him in the $7 million a year slot.

That might well be the cost of doing business.

Comments

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Oscar, when you mean influential, you mean the man who Joe Robbie tried to use to circumvent the tampering rules. Still cost Miami a first round pick ... but who cares?

Patterson and Patton would be an awesome combo. Both are very dangerous with great YAC potential. The bubble screen could be our most explosive and feared play.

I GO TO DRAFT COUNTDOWN TO SEE THE PLAYERS THEN BRING UP THE HIGHLIGHTS TO WATCH.

SEE HOW FAST THEY LOOK.

SEE HOW THE CATCH?

HOW THEY GET SEPARATION?

WHAT THEY DO AFTER THE CATCH?

WHO THEY're PLAYING AGINST?

I'M GOING DOWN THE LIST OF ALL OUR NEEDS.

WRs NOW TEs NEXT

Weeell, Mark... As per Edwin himself(I believe), - What about Shula?(only a suggestion).

SO MANY PLAYMAKERS AT WR IN THE DRAFT I REALLY HOPE WE GET 3 OR 4.

I RATHER BITE THE BULLET FOR ANOTHER YEAR AND LET THEM GROW TOGETHER.

WHY WASTE THE MONEY IN FA?

WE WAITED THIS LONG

Oscar, he was also used as a conduit to gauge how interested Shula would be in the job and actually talked terms. Thank you Edwin!

Ross tried to do something like it with Jim Harbaugh, but this one preferred to remain in CA, while Shula wanted out of Baltimore as his relationship with Rosenbloom had deteriorated.

I love this blog!

fire ireland

keep starks and hartline. long to a incentive laden deal. Bush keep if he is cheap if not let me him go. let smith go. hes better at man. we play zone too much. get Wallace, Finley as free agent/trade. Draft 2 cb 1 Safety and 1 Offensive lineman for depth. 1 defensive lineman middle or late to add a young body. between wallace hartline davone bess finley we have weapons everywhere. Finley will draw a lot of attention from linebackers. wallace and hartline can BOTH get deep so both safeties will not be able to come to the line and help on the run!!!! and bess running lose on short patterns would be crazy! not to mention with hartline and wallace deep. bess and finley getting linebackers attention. we will definately be able to run a lot more screens!!! lamar miller can tear a20-40 yarder all day with a good screen called at the right time. We have a solid defensive line adn linebackers that are strong against the run. linebackers are mediocore on pass. and we def need help at cb and 1 safety. Draft cb's and safety youth and speed can get to the ball! if possible to draft that one rb late that reminds everyone in AP i say do it. low price high reward and at worse its another body that would make miller and thomas step up!

Finley drops too many. The Kelce kid can run, catch, and block. I think Cook would be the best FA TE.

Edwin Pope was not the 'go-between' Robbie used to reach out to Shula. It was a different Herald writer--Bill Braucher--who had known Shula for years.

Where the fvck is Mando?

Contrary to popular belief, here's more proof our defense isnt that far away:

The Niners defense, the best still left in the sb hunt, allowed 17ppg this season. Their offense averaged right at 25ppg.

In the playoffs they gave up 31pts to the Pack(45-30) and 24pts to the Falcon(28-24), giving up 27.5ppg while scoring 32.5ppg. This shows no matter how good your defense is youre going to give up points playing great offenses(24ppg). So you had betrter also have great ability to score points(32.5ppg).

Bottomline, Niners defense avg 17ppg against. Dolphins defense avg 19ppg against. Which could have easily been less than 18ppg against had Dansby not dropped to pic 6's and Sean Smith had not lost the ball in the lights for a td against Andrew Luck.

That's a 21 point swing for our defense in points against in those 3 plays alone. Defensively, our primary problem isnt pass rush, its forcing turnovers. Thats where things really need to pickup. This alone could help reduce roints against by 3ppg(19ppg becomes 15ppg).

Offensively(18ppg), we need to find a way to score 7 more ppg(25ppg). This begins with solidifying both the oline and recieving corps.

what is ridiculous is we had a guy that was 6'4", 230 who put up 118 receptions, 1500 yrds and 11 tds. and by todays standards (11 mil a year) we had him cheap. but he was considered a Diva. news flash ALL ELITE WR ARE DIVAS!!!!!!!we are not good enough of a team to give away good players. until we change our culture (management) we are going to be constantly rebuilding.

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