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The cost of doing business ain't cheap

Let's put aside the fanciful talk of adding this guy and re-signing that guy for a moment and consider what all this stuff is going to cost, shall we?

Let me scare you right off the bat:

If the Dolphins want to add an elite wide receiver this offseason in free agency -- assuming one is even available -- it is going to cost around $9-$11 million per season. That's according to former NFL agent and salary cap expert Joel Corry,  who now writes about NFL contracts and the salary cap for the National Football Post.

"The high end UFA WRs will be looking at Vincent Jackson's 5-year, $55,555,555 deal ($26M GTD) as a benchmark," Corry tweeted to me on Thursday.

That is $11 million a year, folks.

Obviously, there are two things at play that must be stipulated.

That price is for a Vincent Jackson-type wide receiver. The player asking for that money must offer that enormous amount of talent. Jackson caught 72 passes for 1,384 yards (a whopping 19.2 yards per catch) and eight TDs in 2012. I'm not certain anyone on the market rises to that level of ability.

Jackson is a deep threat all day long and he also happens to be 6-5 and 230 pounds. (Yeah, amazing).

And the $11 million is the starting asking price. It is not necessarily the final price.

While any elite wide receiver on the market may want $11, I'm sure most will be talked off that skyscrapper ledge to a much lower floor. I'd say, and this is a conservative estimate, the elite wide receiver on the market this year will get around $10 million per season and it'll fall sharply from there. Remember, Wes Welker made $9.55 million under a franchise tag in 2012 and would cost $11.4 million if tagged in 2013 -- which is unlikely.

By the way, the cost of doing business in the wide receiver market won't be cheap for the Dolphins even if they stick with what they got. Pending free agent Brian Hartline, a No. 2 receiver, will be looking for $5-$6 million per year on the open market if he gets there.

Greg Jennings? He'll be hovering in the $8-$9 million annual range.

And the price at other positions won't be much cheaper.

Elite cornerbacks are expecting $10 million per season. Agents will be looking at Brandon Carr's five-year $50 million deal with Dallas and Jason McCourty's 5-year, $43 million deal to stay in Tennesee and see that as the numbers to shoot for.

So Carr is averaging $10 million a year while McCourty is averaging $8.6 million per year.

That's the zip code cornerback Sean Smith expects to inhabit at the start of free agency. And yes, he's likely going to free agency. I don't think the Dolphins will pay that kind of money for Smith. They see him as a good player who still has unmet potential. They do not see him as a game-changer or playmaker.

There are also questions about how Smith will react professionally once he gets paid. Will he cruise? Will he feel entitled? Will the work ethic suffer?

(Kindly post comments on whether you believe Sean Smith is worth $8.6 million per season in the appropriate section below).

That's the cost of doing business, folks.

The Dolphins will be lucky to re-sign Randy Starks for the $6 million a year Paul Soliai got in March of 2012. The Herald's Barry Jackson tells me the sides have opened talks but are not close.

I'll say.

I would imagine Starks will be the highest-paid DT on the team, seeing as he's the only one that's been to a couple of Pro Bowls. But I don't see how the Dolphins can pay him the $8 million per year that Vince Wilfork makes or certainly not the $12 million per year that Haloti Ngata makes.

So that might land him in the $7 million a year slot.

That might well be the cost of doing business.

Comments

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No way you pay 8 Million for Jennings. Sometimes you have to ask yourself, if they are so good why are their teams letting them walk. No way that teams were going to allow Calvin Jonhnson, Andre Johnson, AJ Green, Fitzgerald. That is because those guys are game changing #1 receivers. There is no one of that quality in FA.

The Steelers are letting Wallace go because they don't think he is work mortgaging the franchise for. There is a salary cap in football so you must apply proper value to players. You cannot give Wallace, who in my opinion, is more of a # 2 receiver 11 million dollars a year. He is not Vincent Jackson.

Parcels screwed us good if your so stupid to see it I feel sorry for you Ireland has drafted well the last 2 years we need playmakers at wr and defensive backs then you will see us contend the dumb people please think before you blog

Sean Smith is a tough one. He is not an elite corner IMO. However, as some have said you cannot go into next season with Patterson and a rookie CB. I am not sure there is anything better in FA than Smith and this is not a deep CB draft. Smith is in a good position as teams are going to be very interested in his services. Someone will end up over paying for him and there is a good chance that team is going to be the fins.

Who cares if we over pay for a proven star ,that's the only way you get them dummy

I would rather have a rookie than Sean smith........we don't need him

Armando, don't sweat it! Its not your money! I agree, free agency can be quite costly. That is why they must do their homework and get a guy that will be worth the money. A guy that won't be on the sidelines (injured), more than on the field. Although costly, on the other hand, if they don't bring in playmakers, in the long run, it'll be considerably more expensive to them when they see even more empty seats in the stadium SO do not discourage them with these dumb articles! Let them spend $$$. Every other elite team does it.

Ahmen to that spen thet dough brother

The team stinks. Come back in two years. You guys are debating hogwash.
Posted by: Ralph T. | January 25, 2013 at 06:17 PM

Posted by: Sums it up | January 25, 2013 at 08:36 PM
=====================================================

Hey Bert, is this IRONIC or what?

He's talking about hogwash and coming back in two years.

Yet here they are, typing and posting away - lol!

I think this deserves a nice, timely:

Bhwaaaaaaaaaaaaa Haaaaaaaaaaaaa Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!

You guys are a waste of time you are all idiots go root for your ny jets

Gee, I guess I struck a chord with Craig M today...LOL!!! What a child...And he threatened me...On an internet blog...LOL!!! What a tough guy...Trust me, if you would see me, you would run away like a little wuzz that you are...I mean, what kind of nerd starts acting like a tough guy on the internet...LOL!!! Good night little girl, sleep well...LOL!!!!

Trolls everywhere oh my

NOTICE ,HOW THE BLOG DONKEYS SUPPORT OUR GARAGE MANAGER........

ODIN
NJ


TWO BROWN DONKEYS ///////

Oscar where are you dude

That's right we support our team you loser

Nj. If you overpay for a player then it hurts your ability to fill other positions. One wide receiver does not take you to the promise land. The Patriots and Steelers have proven that you don't over value players. They only pay the big bucks for players like Wilfork and Brady who are game changers. So you don't go north of 10 million for a WR unless that he is Calvin Johnson, Fitzgerald, AJ Green etc. and there are no such payers in FA.

BTW- Look how far Calving Johnson and Fitzegerald took their teams this year. Those teams are worse than the Dolphins.

Orlando, great post...But I don't think Wallace is going to get 11 million...Not from the Dolphins...Or anyone else for that matter...But he's the type of player the Dolphins need...I would offer him 9 mil for sure...

Jeff will prove you wrong just sit back and watch

Bhwaaaaaaaaaaaaa Haaaaaaaaaaaaa Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!
Posted by: odinseye | January 25, 2013 at 09:12 PM

NJ...

I HAVE BEEN SITTING AND WATCHING OUR TEAM GOING FROM BAD TO WORST ........THANKS TO OUR GARAGE MANAGER FOR 4 YEARS.......

D.THOMAS ,ANY ONE ?

You will not sign any decent free agent without overspending a little bit you know why ...we have nothing else to offer them .......like a Super Bowl ring ,do you get it yet,we must acquire a few playmakers period

If Wallace wants 11 million a year, I agree that we should pass...Next best option...Maybe a trade, who knows...The only thing I do know is our current WRs are NOT the answer...Ireland HAS to do something about it...

#1 Dolphin Fan in Montreal,

8 or 9 million is more in the neighborhood of what I would pay for Wallace. Let's hope the rest of the market sees that so that his price comes down. It would be nice to sign a player of his caliber at a more reasonable price and still be able to bring back some of our good players like Hartline, Starks, and Bush. And we may have to overpay for Smith, unfortunately. It scares me to pay Smith the kind of money Armando suggested.


Mark my words--Ireland will either sign Long to a contract that pays him over $10 Million a year or use the franchise tag that will cost over $15 Million. So while everyone is getting excited about us signing a big time WR in FA bear in mind that Long will take up 25%-33% of our available cap space. After that he'll re-sign some other players who had average seasons like Starks or Smith or Bush or Fasano--and before you know it our cap space will be minimal with no improvement. BTW--No Hartline either.

And for those of you who are still wondering...The answer is yes, he's that bad of a GM.

Posted by: We Need Playmakers

OK I'll mark your words WHP .. cause i'm saying you are wrong ... I say they let Jake Long walk.. MARK MY WORDS! he either walks or comes back at a huge Home town discount .. and i say they get hartline signed ... I wonder which one of us are going to be right? ... I can't wait to make you look like you dont know what you are talking about... Good luck

I see us maintaining a solid roster and decent depth at 7-9 I believe we are on a upswing with a ton of cash and a lot of high picks that's what I see

I think Ireland has done a decent job but this year will be a make or break year for him ....the proof will be in the pudding

NJ,

ARE YOU A WITCH OR A FAN ?

YOU SEE THINGS ?

I am both my friend

RICE PUDDING.

plain and simple on defense we need someone that can take the ball away(create turnovers) &on offense a couple players who can score touchdowns&get us big plays(25+yards)

If Ireland is such a bad GM, how come we have tons of cap space and loaded with high round draft picks? How many teams can say that?

11 MILLION? H-E-L-L NO..

LIKE I SAID IN THE LAST POST.

FIRST 3 PICKS

ALLEN
HUNTER
AUSTIN.

NO MORE ISSUES AT THAT POSITION AT ALL.

ALL THREE FOR UNDER 7 MILLION COMBINED.

Orlando, I wouldn't pay a darn dime for Sean Smith. I can't stand him. A guy his size should be one of the most physical corners in the league and he's the complete opposite. He can't catch a beach ball, so we can't count on him for interceptions...He's NOT the type of player I want on my team...Look at the Ravens and the 49ers...Physical players on both sides of the ball...That's how you want to build your team...Sean Smith is NOT that...The Ravens defeated the Patriots because they played one heck of a physical game...You could tell Brady, Welker and the Pats weren't that comfortable on the field...So as far as Smith is concerned, see ya later...Like Jake Long, we don't need you anymore...

I agree that we need major upgrades at WR and CB. It is just not that easy. Most teams don't allow game changing players in their prime and with good attitudes to walk. Those types of players are either franchised or signed to long term deals.

That is why you have to keep your good players take a gamble on maybe one FA player and then build through the draft. You need a franchise QB and a GM that can identify talent in the draft. This is a big year for Ireland, that is for sure.

Lets say I feel real good about this coming year I clearly see the playoffs on the horizon , and yes we are witches and I am delusional as well,but I take my meds regularly

I think Greg Jennings will be a dolphin along with Dustin Keller and Andy levitry the rest will come via the draft

How do you like that mortals

I was really bored so I watched half of the games on my Direct tv quick view. Game in 30 minutes.

And the one thing I noticed is that the type of offense we ran this year and will probably run next year means you should sign Welker and Hartline.

Our offense was built around safe 10 to 15 yard plays. They would throw maybe four long passes and most of the time at the wrong point.

So if we are going to run this type of scheme next year than you better sign Welker and Hartline and hope Thomas and Miller can run better. Which means you better get one of the boys from Alabama to shore up the line.

I personally think we need a better OC. We were plain vanilla and that might be talent, but I thought Dabole did a better job last season, but he did have Marshall to draw coverage away from Bess and Hartline. Not mad we got those picks for Marshall though.

Welker and Boldin would be my pick ups. Reliable and can catch the imperfect passes. Anyone else ever notice how our receivers just dont ever seem to make that wow catch. Says it all.

Go Dolphins!

So if your not a true dolphin fan leave this blog please

Great point #1 Dolphin Fan in Montreal! I am not a big Smith fan either but I am concerned with the lack of depth at that position. I mean who do we start at the corners if Smith leaves? Yes we can draft a CB with the first pick (hopefully, Millner is available), but then what? Marshall? Patterson? The FA market is thin at CB and I am not sure we want to use 2 of our first 5 picks on corners with all of our current needs.

I am also ready to let Long walk unless he comes back for a big home town discount (6 or 7 million a year). He is no longer elite and constantly breaks down but again we will probably have to use one of our first 3 picks on RT.

Good point we where vanilla

NJ........


TELL US ,WHAT YOU MEAN BY (( A TRUE DOLPHIN FAN )) ?????

Welker LOL. What a bad idea. Let's pay big bucks for a guy at the end of his career. Welker is nothing without Brady and Belichek.

I think that was because we had no speed and also to protect tannehill they will open the offense up next season but Sherman love to run the ball

Someone that is not a jets fan in disguise or a negative troll

So ask yourself am I a jets fan,that's the question

SO, ARE YOU SAYING ,IF A FAN GOES AGainst the gm ,he's not a real FAN ?

ON THE OTHER HAND, I CAN SAY THAT YOU R A DUMB FAN FOR SUPPORTING OUR GARAGE MANAGER ...


Only the Jests fans would support Irescum.

You need to be thinking at least 2 years out. So when we become a regular playoff team, our weapons are young and getting better, not at the end of their career. Picking up FA's at the end of their career only guarantees us 7-9 or worse after a mere two years.

Think ahead. We are not a player away from the Dance. Atlanta thought that and sold the farm for Julio...where are they now? On the farm.

Dude my point is we won 7 games we easily could have won 10 or 11 games and our offense was plain and our secondary could not pick off a pass wearing Velcro so tell how far are we from contending .....not very far ,there you have it a true dolphin fan ....do you understand

Ginn and Moss will get rings. Belichek needed Randy more than Randy needed him.

It'll take 3 years after Ireland is fired to fix his mess.

Everyone has an opinion ok

NJ,

IN THE LAST 12 YEARS ,AS A TEAM ,WE FINISHED ALL THESE YEARS ,7-9 ,AND 5-11.....WHAT MAKES YOU ARGUMENT HOLD WATER NOW ?

TEDD GINN.......WE MISS YOU ....

I tell you what if anyone can screw up this offseason with what we have available .....he truly sucks,so we will see

WE COULD HAVE SIGNED RANDY MOSS ,BUT NO ........SO SAID OUR GARAGE MANAGER ......

We had 3 owners and 5 separate front offices along with 5 coaches in the last 12 years so what's your point exactly

A loco

Do your homework ....know what your talking about,

Ireland has set records for most draft busts ever by a GM.

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