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A look at Sean Smith's cut at free agency

I lke Sean Smith. He's intelligent. He's well-spoken when he wants to be. He seems to get it when he wants to and that was apparent when he lost weight and worked his backside off in training camp prior to the 2012 season -- understanding his contract year loomed. And he's problematic for the NFL's big-bodied wide receivers that like to win by simply being bigger than the cornerbacks they face.

So I like Sean Smith on the Dolphins.

But he is not elite.

He is not franchise player material as one local publication reported in January.

He's, well, something between terrible and good. And that makes him inconsistent.

Smith started this season a house on fire. He locked down Larry Fitzgerald. He did great work against A.J. Green. And then something changed.

Suddenly he was giving up first downs like it was part of his job description. And yes, that was him in the picture and beaten on a handful of TDs caught by opposing wide receivers. According to ProFootballFocus.com, Smith yielded more combined first downs and touchdowns than any other NFL cornerback. That number is a whopping 46.

Something didn't seem to fit. Seems he's not comfortable against smaller, quicker receivers so he plays off. And at 6-3 and 218 pounds, he doesn't have the quickness and explosion to close on receivers on out patterns and comebacks for first downs.

That's not all.

The elephant in the room is the guy should be an interception machine. But isn't.

He plays well enough often enough that balls come to him. Unfortunately, he drops most of them. He dropped one against Indianapolis last year that could've been the difference between a win and loss. Yes, he had two picks on the season, but his drops have far outnumbered his catches over his Dolphins career.

And he was a wide receiver in college at one point!

I didn't know what to make of Smith after the season so I asked two former Dolphins receivers about him. I asked them to compare Smith to former Miami cornerback Vontae Davis. Both players said the same thing.

"I'd much rather go against Sean than Vontae," one said. "Vontae is a pain in the [butt]. He gets his hands on you, he holds, he grabs, he gets away with stuff that nobody sees. Sean is just easier. He's fast as hell. But he guesses a lot and a lot of time he guesses wrong."

And so this is the resume Sean Smith will take to free agency in March.

I believe he's going to free agency because his agent David Canter is confident Smith will be a hot commodity in free agency. I don't doubt that's true. First, Canter has made his reputation by knowing the market. Second, Smith looks like a beast if you put on the Arizona tape.

But I was there for all 16 games this year. And all the games in 2011. And the ones in 2010 once Smith recovered from being benched in favor of, wait for, Jason Allen.

And I don't think it would be wise for the Dolphins to spend a lot of money on Smith. I say that that knowing that Canter will be asking for a lot of money for Smith.

As I have reported, that camp believes the market for Smith is similar to the Brandon Carr contract with Dallas or the Jason McCourty contract with Tennessee. Carr got $50 million over five years and McCourty got $43 million over five years from Tennessee.

So Smith is looking for anywhere between $8-$10 million.

The Dolphins don't see that. And much as I like Smith and respect Canter, I don't see it either. The performance simply does not rise to that level. And frankly, I'm not sure it rises to half that level, either.

Then there's the other question that must linger in the mind of the Dolphins brass: What is going to happen once Sean Smith gets paid? He worked hard to get ready for the contract year. And then he faded anyway.

Is he going to work harder once he gets guaranteed money?

I don't know that he isn't. I also am not sure he will.

The cornerback market has potential bargains. Yes, Dominque Rodgers-Cromartie will want a big payday that I don't think he's worth. But guys such as Cary Williams and Brent Grimes and Michael Adams will be out there. They all come with questions marks. That makes them no better than Smith.

But they'll probably be cheaper than Smith, at least initially.

Then there's always the draft. A couple of years ago the Dolphins fished a little-known Utah cornerback out of the draft's second round and he started immediately. He wasn't great but he wasn't bad. And he was cheap. That made him a good value.

His name is Sean Smith.

But for $8-$10 million? No thanks.

 

Comments

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dusty,

That was my understanding on Cassell too. I don't see any way he's back in KC next year.

dustybottom,

I know you never do "RESEARCH", but try it sometimes. Ive already researched it while you were rambling things out of your ass.

Cassell is due 7 million guaranteed, with incentives. His total 2013 cap hit for 2013 is $9, 825,000. BTW the way, that's U.S. dollars.

If we don't resign Smith, you would think we will have to sign one of the free agent corners and / or draft someone like Milliner or Banks.

Surely they don't intend on going into the season with. Marshall and Banks as our starters.

I think I would rather take a shot at Cary Williams or Rodgers Cromartie in the 5/6 million range.

If their gonna pay 10 million for a cb..which I doubt. It may as well be Grimes.

Rick,

Agreed. Ireland has to sign a CB in FA. I know some people really like Cason here but I think Williams may be the best CB in FA & he'll cost AT LEAST $8 Million.

Grimes has to be cheaper than those two guys. He's a hell of a risk. He'll be 30 this summer & coming off a Achilles tear.

yesterday u are 100 percent wrong. i hear it basically everyday on radio here. cassel can be cut now without costing anything. his bonus has been all paid now

u dont need to say sorry yesterday, im used to u acting like that

If the Chiefs move on from Cassell, they sure as hell better find someone dumb enough to take the remainder of his contract. Because when they cut him, he'll count $9,825,000 million angainst their 2013 salary cap.

They can afford ut a little, because they have over $30 million in cap space available. But, cutting Cassell is a sad way to piss nearly $10 million of their cap space into the wind.

dustybottom'

As I said, research is a beauitiful thing.

http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs/matt-cassel/

Well I guess its a matter of who you like Williams or Smith for about the same money. Of course its Ireland making the decision not us.

What facts were not stated the Eagles have been awful with Vick and terrible on Defense without Jim Johnson? Read it again and again if you don't get it... it's simple. I'm saying Vick is a overhyped lousy QB and a mirage who fumbles a lot and is injured all the time. The pro bowl is a popularity contest that I give little credit to either. What I have seen with Reid is Sparano like regression of a whole team regardless of talent. So yeah..I'm beginning to wonder if he was ever that good of a coach.

They're in trouble

Matt Cassel: $7.5 million

He's definitely in trouble. Most predict he'll be gone, which is probably the safe bet. The Chiefs can cut him now with no consequences. Personally I still do wonder if he could come back -- either at $7.5 million or on a restructured deal. He's probably gone but I can't say that for certain. ..


Posted by: We Need Playmakers | February 09, 2013 at 05:53 PM

You Need Brain Surgery! LOL...

told ya yesterday, in fact was on 810 sprts radio about 19 mins ago also,lol u cant ever admit to being wrong, so just wait till march when they cut him and u can see then. ill be sure to remind u

dadsmithwest,

I tend to agree with your above post on Vick. We can blame the Eagles horrible season on injuries all we want but one of the things I saw was ill-advised passes from Vick, poor judgement and way too many fumbles. This isn't a guy I'd want leading my football team either. For some reason Reid seems to love him.

Posted by: dadsmithwest | February 09, 2013 at 06:02 PM

Glad you get it. My eyes also told me that not only was Philly oline not one of the best. Vick was terrible as a pocket passer too.

Vick spent so much time being a "running qb" that he still hasnt adjusted to being a "pocket passer" properly.

You and I get it, seems others here dont. LOL...

yesterday is confused by the fact that if kc KEEPS HIM they are on books for over 9 mill. all bonuses were paid in first 3 seasons, 40 mill. reg pay isnt guaranteed. u should know these things

craig fans in kc are scared to death reid might bring vick here. they hate the idea.

dustybottoms,

Whatever my friend. LOL...

lol

i would never want vick, guy is a turnover machine

According to one website Cary Williams turned down a 3yr $15 million deal the Ravens offered him last year.

It said he is far from elite and won't see the 5 yr $53 million deal Ladarius Webb got from the Ravens last year.

It looks to me like he made the most of his time filling in for Webb. He sure looks to be at least more aggressive than Smith.

dustybottom,

I believe Vick would still make a "decent" backup qb. His days as an nfl starter are long gone. LOL...

i dont disagree with your opinion. but i do disagree that his starting days are over, some team maybe even eagles will start him still

Im out, the real world, calls! LOL...

dustybottom,

One last thing:

If I had a choice of Matt Moore and Michael Vick to bring in and compete for my starting qb position. Without any hesitation I would choose Matt Moore.

I would be far "MOORE" comfortable with him as my pocket passer. LOL...

You can give up on selling me on Vick. He's a wildcat QB with terrible decision making and fumbling habits. AND WTH was with...the Castillo promotion from O-line coach to DC? That was Reid and may have been the worst decision I've ever seen. So there take that too...lol

Relentless drivel being written here.

Thanks for mentioning the PBP. I read that the Bush camp is confused the Dolphins have not made an offer. Actually it makes me kind of happy. But let me end that confusion for you guys...we drafted a guy in the 4th rd last year named L. Miller who maybe better and will cost much less than the 5 mil Bush got last year. As far as Long's wife saying they want to be here...We'll here's how that goes honey...you tell hubby to tell his agent to stop asking for 10+ mil until he can finish a season.

Maybe won't cut it, we have to make sure we have Bush's replacement.

The problem undermining the otherwise interesting debate/discussion here is that many of you presuppose that Ireland is a rational actor, with a coherent vision and a plan of attack that he can apply as circumstances warrant.

He ain't & he don't.

Actually, he's in way over his head, and has been bluffing & conning his way through drafts & FA since his unfortunate arrival.

For you Oscar...Ireland's own words..."Lamar really showed some great signs of really some explosive play opportunity,” Ireland said. “He kind of shoots out of the cannon when he hits the hole. He’s got very good hands. I thought he did a very good job in his pass protection, which keeps him on the field all three downs.”

Count me as a "presuppose" person if you want. I think Ireland can do the job well. Let's hear some facts. Bring it GLR..if you can.

Crickets...Chirp Chirp Chirp..? These trolls have no reason to be here other than to poison the fan base and talk garbage. Nothing scares them away faster than someone willing to ask them for facts. How weak and boring. I'm out so have at it boys. Just remember I suppose NOT but you do...lol

There are only two CB that" make my toes tingle"(MadDog) one is Johnthan Banks 6-2 185 from Mississippi State and the other is B.w Webb from William & Mary at 5-10 180 lbs this kid can play the position and for SS I like Xavier Rhodes 6-1 215 from Florida State

We Need Playmakers;Mando is correct (it was Jason Allen our 1st round draft pick now with Houston)Where You from HomeBoy?Mando knows his Dolphin!

Rest easy, Rockwell. We have him under our Scope.

Why is it so difficult for me to evaluate Ireland? He must be smart as Hell. As a personnel Man, in his 2 Drafts on his own, he has scored on Players that any GM would have scored on, 1st and 2nd Rd picks, Pouncey, THill, J-Mart and a 4th rder, Miller. The rest have been mediocre or just bad. However, he has managed to pick, somewhere else, Cam Wake, Bess, Thigpen, them significant Starters. Is this an A, B, or a C for a GM? I don't know and that's part of my problem.

he is gonna come through this year....It's a time thing

It is seeming to me, that Ireland is not a gifed draft-picker, those that draft 3rd Rd and on great Players. And I believe he knows it. That's alright. If he knows it, he will compensate for it in other ways. One thing he is, he is motivated.

Jeff is the man

I think he drafts just fine

Oscar you ever shovel snow

He is learning as he goes.He will do just fine this year.

And he knows he better

No one wants to play for the Dullfins unless they get paid triple.

Seems like all Ireland's draft picks are off the team within 3-4 years.

Vote NO to handouts for Billionares! Ross is a terrible owner and can afford to make his own business improvements.

Like they always say, "You aren't worth $8-10 mil a year, unless someone is willing to pay you $8-10 mil a year." Let him test free agency and see what everyone else think he's worth. If he get's his pay day somewhere else than so be it. If not, they will have to come down to reality and have to go with what other teams are willing to pay and will have to choose between Miami or somewhere else. You have to remember, the NFL is a business and as much as we want to see players stay or leave, it's still a business.

WIN, LOSE, OR TIE... DOLPHINS TILL I DIE!!!

So far- roughly- with about $90M accounted for of the salary cap including current player contracts, dead money, rookie signings, and cash reserves, about $37 million (with 2012 rollover) remains for FA signings. Cutting the 2 injured CBs Dimitri Patterson & Richard Marshall, who have yet to show a distinct positive value to the Dolphins, could add another $8.0M.

Is it possible that Ireland will try- or have to- remake the roster for 2013? Dolphin player contract negotiations to date indicate that Jeff Ireland is willing to see what the FA market value will be for his former players before he opens his checkbook. Many of the team's FAs, while starters or prominent backups, had under average performances or did not play up to the level of their 2012 salaries. Still further is the feeling that some players have been so inadequate that a new FA signing is preferable. With 9 draft picks (so far) and a potential of $45M for FAs, the team could very well get a huge makeover.

most that money will be gone quickly on our own free agents and draft picks. might a enough to sign 2 playmakers, possibly only one

So, dusty, are you saying that you believe Ireland has the intention of resigning the team's own FAs? Why is he waiting, then?

Thats what I've been trying to say dusty. Could all the talk of major signings be yet again smoke and mirrors? Or is billcale on to something.

Their may be no intention of resigning our fa's but replacing them with #35 million on free agents.

I seriously doubt Ireland's gonna bring in 4 or 5 fa's though.

More like you said. Maybe Wallace and a 3 or 4 million on a corner or TE.

Where is the fake GM today? I thought he had a Sunday column. We got a team to fix.

yes bill most of them, some will be gone thankfully cause they are asking for too much. u can start resigning your own free agents a week before free agency starts. thats why u havent seen any teams resigning anyone yet. they are all just talking right now

CBs Dimitri Patterson & Richard Marshall, who have yet to show a distinct positive value to the Dolphins, could add another $8.0M.
Posted by: billcale | February 10, 2013 at 08:42 AM

I'm not 100% on it but I'm pretty certain Patterson's contract is guaranteed. Cutting him would not save money and it would just open up a roster spot. Marshall being cut would save us roughly 2m. Can't remember if his contract was 1.5m or 3m. But we would save his entire contract this year if he's cut, thus why I believe he is going to be cut and replaced. He can serve as a nickel corner but I would rather allocate that money elsewhere if it serves a bigger purpose (ie: Wallace AND Long or resigning Hartline or bringing in *gasp* another OL FA...although I don't know what the issue is Incognito was a GREAT FA pick up. Grove and Smiley were bad. Trading away Satele was dumb. And drafting Jerry was a waste....but at least Incognito and Pouncey were good lol)

go finsssssssss

They are not talking to the Bush Camp, though. Bad news.

good riddens to bush. guy not worth the money he wants and just isnt very good. id even take bradshaw over that guy, least he can run between the tackles

To me when you think about it, thats kind of false advertising and it's also worrisome.

The man literally said and I quote. "I'm excited about this off season." "I have $46 million to spend and 5 draft picks in the 1st 2 rds of the draft".

I mean is he excited that he gets to do some wheeling and dealing with his toy or his he looking at improving this team.

He truly is an idiot if he doesn't realize that there is a sense of urgency here. Either that or we are.

Not sure, dusty. Reggie is a Footbll Player, willing to do anything, including taking up DEs. Not sure if our other guy wantstodothat. Besides, he's an all the way threat.

rick course he does. he will draft all thos epicks. and he will spend all that cash, but dont expect more than a couple new free agents here. resigning our own guys gonna take up most of it

id even take bradshaw over that guy, least he can run between the tackles
Posted by: dusty bottoms | February 10, 2013 at 09:26 AM

Noooo thank you. Not Bradshaw. The guy is done as a running back. I've watched every Giants game this year, at this point in his career he's no better than Thomas; a 3rd down back that can lower his head. His legs are shot. I am very glad we didn't cave in and sign him (or DeAngelo Williams) and went for Bush instead. That is a move I can praise Ireland for. Bradshaw will find a team but he'll get the Brandon Jacobs treatment. A seat on the sideline until they need him for the occasional play. If Bush asks for too much it's alright to get rid of him, I agree. But do not replace him with anyone work more than $1m and/or someone on the decline

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