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NFL writers mock the draft's first round

In the previous post you learned what happens when so many good players go off the board in the coming NFL draft and the Dolphins, scheduled to pick No. 19 in the first round, cannot trade out of the slot.

Well, this is the actual mock draft of that exercise that compelled me to pick Ja'Wuan James of Tennessee for the Dolphins. This mock was put together by experts in each city who cover the teams they made the selections for.

1. HOUSTON TEXANS

Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina

Analysis: The Texans need a quarterback and a pass rusher, but they'd like to trade the first choice to a team that'll swap first-round picks and surrender additional selections in second and third round and a No. 1 pick in 2015. Good luck trying to get that. If they trade down, depending on who's available, they like Johnny Manziel, Blake Bortles and Khalil Mack. They have 11 picks and also need an RT, NT and RDE.

2. ST. LOUIS RAMS

Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M

ANALYSIS: With Clowney gone, my guess is that the Rams will try to trade out of the No. 2 spot, but not too far. That's why they're currently playing out this Johnny Manziel smokescreen, to try to get a trade partner. If they're stuck at No. 2 overall, the most logical option is offensive tackle. The Rams are a couple of injuries away from being a disaster area up front. At this point, it's not certain if Jake Long (ACL) will be ready for the season opener. Rodger Saffold, re-signed in that strange now-you're-Raider/now-you're-not scenario, has a history of injuries (and the Rams want him to play guard anyway). Center Scott Wells has missed 13 games over his two seasons in St. Louis with injuries. The Rams need a starting guard, with Chris Williams have signed with Buffalo. The right tackle, Joe Barksdale, is so-so and entering the final year of his contract. So with Clowney gone, it's a close call between Jake Matthews and Greg Robinson.  I'm going with the bloodlines. He's ready to go from Day 1, and can play guard the first year if need be. Jeff Fisher coached his father, Hall of Famer Bruce Matthews, so familiarity helps. (I'll be back at No. 13.)

3. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Analysis: The Jaguars emphasized defense – DE Red Bryant, DE Chris Clemons, DT  Ziggy Hood and OLB Dekoda Watson – in free agency and have made improving their woeful offense a priority in the draft.  Briefly, on defense, Gus Bradley wants to add another pass rusher and a cornerback at some point. For all the talk about Buffalo LB Khalil Mack, he makes absolutely zero sense – a 3-4 college LB expecting to play DE in a 4-3 – but who knows. On offense, receiver is a priority because WR Justin Blackmon remains suspended and the early guess is that he will miss at least the first half of this year. WR Cecil Shorts is a decent No. 2, but needs help. I expect the Jaguars to take multiple receivers in the first four rounds. The Jaguars re-signed QB Chad Henne in March, but expect them to take a quarterback at No. 39 overall (if not sooner and they use some of their extra picks to trade up). The guess here is LSU’s Zach Mettenberger or Eastern Illinois’ Jimmy Garoppolo. Later on, they need a right guard (they don’t have one right now) and a center (Brad Meester retired and they couldn’t get Alex Mack from Cleveland)?

4. CLEVELAND BROWNS

Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo

Analysis: National analysts don’t have the high regard for QB Brian Hoyer that everybody in Cleveland has, including the new regime of GM Ray Farmer and HC Mike Pettine. Hoyer, a local kid, revived the team last year in Week 3, won 2 games as Brandon Weeden’s replacement, and then tore his right ACL in Game 5 v. Bills. The sample size is small, for sure, but Hoyer had an ‘it’ factor and also performed before the freak injury on a faulty slide. He is ahead of schedule and participated in minicamp with a brace. He is expected to be totally unlimited for start of training camp. The question is his durability over 16 games; he’s never played a full season due to lack of opportunity and the injury. The Browns are not enamored with the QB crop, but they will select at least one. I see it as a developmental guy. They signed Vince Young and Tyler Thigpen for camp. Even though the previous regime stocked up last year on OLBs – Paul Kruger, Jabaal Sheard (converted from DE), Barkevious Mingo and Quentin Groves – I feel Pettine loves Khalil Mack. It was the only pro day Pettine has been confirmed to attend. If Mack is there, I don’t see them passing on him. Otherwise, I sense they would be open to moving down a little. Greg Robinson/Jake Matthews also a possibility.

5. OAKLAND RAIDERS

Greg Robinson, T, Auburn.

Analysis: This is not going well, with the Raiders’ need for playmakers and Clowney, Watkins and Mack all gone.  Oakland would try and trade down and failing that would take the best player available, which in this case looks to be an offensive tackle. Oakland won’t take a quarterback here even though they need a young franchise one to build around. The Raiders brass didn’t fall in love with any of the top QB prospects over the last few months, and as intriguing as Johnny Manziel is, he reminds Dennis Allen and Greg Olson too much of Terrelle Pryor, as far as abandoning designed plays, not going through his progressions and not seeing and throwing to open receivers. I think the Raiders will address the QB need in Round 2 or 3. Which takes us back to the choice at hand: tackle Greg Robinson or Taylor Lewan. I think Lewan might be readier to play from Day 1 and has a nastiness that Reggie McKenzie wants but his off-field issues are also a concern. Robinson has more upside and might even be able to move around more on this line next season. (The Raiders are currently looking at starting veteran Donald Penn and last year’s second-round pick, Menelik Watson, at the left and right tackle spots, respectively, after letting Jared Veldheer walk as a free agent.)

6. ATLANTA FALCONS

Taylor Lewan, T, Michigan.

ANALYSIS: With Robinson and Matthews off the board, the Falcons will elect to fortify their offensive line, which was a swinging door to the quarterback last season. Lewan would bring the nasty type of attitude to the unit that it has been looking forward. He could likely start out as a right tackle and eventually be switched to the left side.  The Falcons would be looking at some of the top remaining pass rushers in the second round and would be interested in Dee Ford and Kyle Van Noy. They could also take a flyer or Texas DE Jackson Jeffcoat later in the draft. The safety position will also be addressed along with running back. 

7. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M

Analysis: This is the first draft for new coach Lovie Smith and new general manager Jason Licht. They addressed a lot of the team’s biggest needs in free agency, where they grabbed a pass rusher in RDE Michael Johnson, a CB to replace Darrelle Revis in Alterraun Verner and a left tackle to replace Donald Penn in Anthony Collins. The Bucs also picked up a QB in career backup Josh McCown, who was immediately named the starter. The team still has several holes, however, particularly at receiver, where Vincent Jackson is the only legitimate starting-caliber player on the roster, and right guard. The situation at left tackle may not be ideal either, because Collins has never played a full season at that spot. Smith and Licht are convinced, though, that he’s a hidden gem. They are also convinced that Johnson is more the player who recorded 11.5 sacks two years ago than the one who had only 3.5 sacks last year. They better be right, because outside of Clowney, this draft is not flush with pass rushing talent. The Bucs have only six picks in one of the deepest drafts in recent memory so Smith and Licht would really like to trade down and add a few more selections if possible. This draft: The Bucs are going to be under a lot of pressure from their fans to take Johnny Manziel here, but I just don’t see it happening. He doesn’t fit what Lovie Smith wants in a QB and his presence here will give the Bucs a chance to trade down, which they would love to do. Barring a deal, the Bucs will take Evans.

8. MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Blake Bortles, QB, UCF

Analysis: Johnny Football is tempting here because he could be the guy that people are kicking themselves for not taking years from now. Of course, he also could just as easily be the humiliating blemish that never disappears from a resume. I just can’t envision Mike Zimmer or Rick Spielman wanting to head down that path, even with Turner there to help control and mold Manziel. Zimmer’s concerns about Manziel, which he revealed during the draft preparation process, doesn’t appear to be smokescreen material. I think he truly is spooked by the guy. Mosley and CB Justin Gilbert also are tempting, but the lack of a young, franchise quarterback has been at the root of this team’s problems for years. Brett Favre isn’t coming back and Cassel is only a band-aid. So while there is no clear-cut quarterback who stands above the rest in this draft, it’s hard to picture the Vikings waiting until the second or third rounds to take their swing at the position. Blake Bortles seems to have most of what the Vikings are looking for. Size, mobility, pocket poise, a good arm and a personality that’s centered on football appear to make him the safer pick over Manziel . Teddy Bridgewater is more NFL-ready, but I think the Vikings may like Bortles better.

9. BUFFALO BILLS

Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina.

Analysis: The Bills enter the draft with no glaring primary need due to the fact they filled a lot of holes in free agency. Their offense needs a receiving weapon with size. They traded for Tampa’s Mike Williams, who provides some, if he stays out of trouble. They love WR Sammy Watkins (who doesn’t?). They may try to move up for Watkins. Failing that, their options at No. 9 would be OT (Jake Matthews or Zack Martin) or the best big weapon (Mike Evans or Eric Ebron). Toss a coin. The OT is the more conservative pick. 

10 DETROIT LIONS

Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA.

Analysis: They're sticking with the 4-3, but are trying to diversify their pass rush to fit with new coordinator Teryl Austin, who came from Baltimore. Barr would play LB and some DE  in passing situations. The Lions have made no secret about their love for a couple of the draft's top prospects, Sammy Watkins and Khalil Mack. Obviously, they'd have to move up to land either, and there's no sense that'd they'd do so at any cost. If they stick at 10 and Mike Evans is there, he certainly could be the pick. And if one of the top offensive tackles is on the board, they could go that route out of sheer value. Last year, they wanted to tackle up top, but were happy when Ziggy Ansah fell in their lap. They had a good draft last year, with Ziggy and RG Larry Warford becoming immediate starters, and they expect CB Darius Slay to start this year. If the draft plays out this way, my sense is they'll be picking from a group that includes Anthony Barr, Justin Gilbert, Odell Beckham and Aaron Donald.

11. TENNESSEE TITANS

Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh

Analysis: The Titans don’t have a glaring need. That’s not to say they don’t have holes/issues, but it’s not like last year when they needed a guard and Chance Warmack was a no-brainer when they were on the clock. So they’re in a position where they could go just about anywhere. I’ve taken Anthony Barr in most my mock drafts, but he goes off the board here at No.10 in this one. So the Titans will have options. They like Fresno State QB Derek Carr, but getting mixed signals on whether they’ll pull the trigger at 11. I personally think they’d like to move back and try and recoup the third rounder they gave up last year. The top corners are on the board now and they also like Alabama LB C.J. Mosley. But I’m going to give them Pittsburgh DT Aaron Donald, who would be a good fit in a changing defense.

12. NEW YORK GIANTS

Zack Martin, T, Notre Dame

Analysis: The Giants offensive line was a mess last year with injuries and age catching up to them. Last year, they selected right tackle Justin Pugh in the first round and he started all 16 games. Left tackle Will Beatty did not have a good year in 2013 even before breaking his leg in the final game of the season. Left guard Chris Snee is coming off hip surgery. The Giants signed free agent guard Geoff Schwartz and free agent center J.D. Walton. I've heard they are hoping that Michigan tackle Taylor Lewan makes it to No. 12. They also really like Texas A&M receiver Mike Evans. In this mock, the top three tackles, Evans, North Carolina TE Eric Ebron (the Giants need a pass catching tight end) and Pitt DT Aaron Donald are all gone. All those players would be possible choices if they were on the board. So, I'm going to give them Notre Dame tackle Zack Martin, a versatile player who can also be projected as a guard or center. The Giants could certainly use an offensive lineman who has that kind of versatility where they could just insert him where they have the greatest need on the line. Even though they would be taking a tackle in the first round for the second year in a row, Martin's ability to  play multiple positions is attractive to the Giants.

13. ST. LOUIS RAMS

Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State

Analysis: OK, Johnny Manziel still on the board here, so once again Rams trying to trade out of their spot. (Hello, Jerry Jones?) But with no trades allowed in the mock, the Rams address a glaring need in the secondary. They really have only 2 corners on the roster with any kind of NFL experience: Janoris Jenkins and Trumaine Johnson. I don't think they like either of the safeties here: (Pryor and Clinton-Dix). So the pick is Dennard, who is not as fast as Justin Gilbert, but looks like a better football player on tape.

14. CHICAGO BEARS

Ha'Sean Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama

Analysis: With a locked-and-loaded offense, the Bears almost certainly will be looking to fortify a defense that ranked 30th overall and 32nd against the run in 2014. The addition of DEs Jared Allen and Lamarr Houston in free agency was a good start, but they still need a lot of help at every level of their defense. DT, “the engine that drives” the Bears defense according to GM Phil Emery, is a priority, but with Pitt’s Aaron Donald off this board, it is more likely the Bears would trade down to acquire more picks and still get their guy — Timmy Jernigan, perhaps — later in the first round. Emery has been a wild-card in the draft in two seasons as an NFL GM — reaching, on paper anyway, for DE Shea McClellin at No. 19 in 2012 and OL Kyle Long at No. 20 last year. Be that as it may, the Bears’ most acute need is at safety, where FS Chris Conte is coming off a bad season and an injury (he could start the season on the PUP list after offseason shoulder surgery) and SS Major Wright was not signed in free agency. So with the 14th pick of the 2014 NFL Draft, the Chicago Bears select … Clinton-Dix.

15. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State

Analysis: The Steelers have gone from old and slow on defense to young and unsung with holes and depth issues. Ike Taylor will be 34 and they need corners. Ben Roethlisberger is 32 and they need to give him another big receiving weapon to pair with Antonio Brown after losing three of their top four in FA the past 14 months (Mike Wallace, Emmanuel Sanders, Jerricho Cotchery).  They have only one real starting DE and no depth. They have two starters at OLB who have yet to really prove themselves, Jason Worilds and Jarvis Jones and no depth. They have only one real starter at ILB, Lawrence Timmons, and no depth. They are looking strongly at taking CB-WR one-two in the first two rounds. They feel they can get a good WR in round two, but if they are going to get a top-flight corner, No. 1 is the time to do it, therefore…

16. DALLAS COWBOYS

Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M

Analysis: They need defense, defense and more defense. The defensive line is their top priority. I would be shocked if they drafted a safety in the first round. They did not have Clinton-Dix or Pryor in for visits, which is usually a tip off for them as to who they will or won't take. They do like Jimmie Ward, but not until the second round. Their top target is Aaron Donald, but they would have to trade up to get him. I could see them doing that. Anthony Barr also is another player they like and had in for a visit. It is too early for Shazier, Ealy or Lawrence, all of whom they had in for visits. I could see them trading down for one of those guys. They like Zack Martin, and I could see them drafting him if the defensive players are off the board. HOWEVER, Johnny Manziel still is on this mock draft. I do not believe that Jerry Jones will pass on Johnny Football, and the marketing opportunities he presents. He loves Johnny Football. Johnny was Jerry Jones' guest in his suite at the Final Four. They are a match made in football heaven. Despite their defensive needs, despite having signed Tony Romo to a contract extension last year with $55 million guaranteed, I can't see Jerry passing on Johnny Manziel.

17. BALTIMORE RAVENS

C.J. Mosley, ILB, Alabama

Analysis: The Ravens need to upgrade an offense that ranked 29th in the NFL overall with the 30th-ranked running game and has running back Ray Rice facing a potential suspension under the NFL personal-conduct policy. The Ravens upgraded the wide receiver position during free agency by signing Steve Smith and also signed tight end Owen Daniels to go with tight end Dennis Pitta. With Notre Dame tackle Zack Martin and Alabama safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix off the draft board, the Ravens would probably like to trade back. If the Ravens stand pat, they would be unlikely to reach for Virginia offensive tackle Morgan Moses or Louisville safety Calvin Pryor. The Ravens are likely to go for the best player available and draft someone who complements middle linebacker Daryl Smith.

18. NEW YORK JETS

Odell Beckham, WR, LSU.

Analysis: With Dix off the board as the top safety, they do have interest in S Calvin Pryor, who visited with the team. Justin Gilbert would be a possibility at corner if the draft falls this way. With Mack and Barr off the board, that takes away the top two OLB pass rushers for the team’s 3-4 defense. The way this is falling, the need and the pick appear to gravitate toward wide receiver, where the Jets are still looking for a No. 1 after releasing Santonio Holmes. … John Idzik gets to work from a position of strength in this year’s draft, an unexpected set of circumstances when you consider what he inherited when he took the job after the 2012 season. He parlayed last year’s trade of Darrelle Revis into Sheldon Richardson, the AP Defensive Rookie of the Year. Idzik was very selective in free agency this year, passing on a chance to re-acquire Revis and choosing not to get into a bidding war for Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. Key additions were WR Eric Decker, QB Michael Vick and RB Chris Johnson. That’s a major upgrade at all the positions, but there is still work to be done. Vick is considered a backup – for now – to Geno Smith, but he will be given a fair shot in training camp. If he outplays Smith decisively, figure him to get the job. If it’s even, Smith sticks as the starter. Defensively, they did not shore up the cornerback position after releasing Antonio Cromartie and deciding not to re-sign him on the cheap. Calvin Pace is back after a strong year, but they still need an outside pass rusher, since Quinton Coples is looking more and more like a disappointment. Safety continues to be an area of need, as evidenced by the fact that fossil Ed Reed was signed last year and was immediately penciled in to start.

19. MIAMI DOLPHINS

Ja'Wuan James, RT, Tennessee

Analysis: With the four top tackles off the board and the possibility of upgrading the run defense gone with Baltimore's pick of Mosley, the Dolphins are desperately looking to trade down. Cleveland is a possible trade-down partner as are the 49ers. But with no such possibility here, the Dolphins are going to address the right tackle spot with a player they'd probably be more comfortable picking with their second-round pick (50th overall). The Dolphins are drafting a right tackle who has played against good competition in college (SEC), has started for three years and is a plug-and-play guy to address their biggest need … GM Dennis Hickey has 18 years of NFL personnel experience but will be running his first draft as a general manager, replacing Jeff Ireland. That means the Dolphins, predictable in the type of players they liked the past six years under Ireland, are no longer as easy to gauge. It also means Hickey has no qualms about addressing positions that Ireland previously addressed but didn't get the intended results. So what does that mean? Well, the Dolphins will clearly be looking for a starting right tackle because they have no one at the spot. If the season began today Miami could not line up as they have no starting right tackle on the squad. They're actually in need of a starting guard as well because all the options on the roster are backup types and Ireland projects, such as Dallas Thomas, a third-round pick a year ago who seemed overmatched most of the year. It is clear the Dolphins have to invest heavily in the line because the team allowed an NFL leading and franchise record 58 sacks a season ago. The Dolphins also have to do something about the running game -- both on offense and defense. Offensively, that means not only addressing the OL but also adding a running back later in the draft. On defense, Miami's 2013 investment in free agents such as Dannell Ellerbe and Phillip Wheeler and committing a franchise tag on defensive tackle Randy Starks didn't pay off. The Dolphins run defense got worse for the second consecutive year. They were No. 3 in rush yards allowed in 2011, sank to No. 13 in 2012, and finished at No. 24 last season. So the club is hoping to move Ellerbe from the middle to an OLB spot that is a more natural position for him. The cornerback situation is in the hands of veterans Brent Grimes and Cortland Finnegan with a couple of youngsters behind them but a playmaker there would be welcomed. Safety is another position seemingly held together by a string as oft-injured Louis Delmas signed a one-year deal after being cut by Detroit.

20. ARIZONA CARDINALS

Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville

Analysis: Oddly enough, the most pressing needs are on defense. They need a safety. The SS from last year, Yeremiah Bell, is unsigned and likely retired. FS Tyrann Mathieu is coming back from two torn knee ligaments and could miss the start of the season. There are some guys on the roster but the Cardinals could use a playmaker. They also could use help at DE and OLB. There is no young DE behind Calais Campbell and Darnell Dockett. Dockett turns 33 this month and 2015 is the last year of his contract. We know how that adds up. They also could use an OLB who can rush the passer. John Abraham led the team with 11.5 sacks a year ago, but he turns 36 Tuesday, May 6. Sam Acho, Lorenzo Alexander are returning from injuries. Offensively, the right guard and right tackle spots are open but there are people on the roster who could probably do OK. Adding a tackle is a possibility but I don’t see it in the first round, unless one of the main guys slip. The team could also use a tight end. Rob Housler continues to tease with athletic ability and inconsistency. Jake Ballard and John Carlson are decent but have had injury issues. I could see TE in the second round. In this scenario, they could go Ealy, Shazier, hell, or anyone.

21. GREEN BAY PACKERS

Ryan Shazier, ILB, Ohio State

Analysis: The Packers would give careful consideration to Clinton-Dix and Pryor for several reasons. One, their safeties didn't intercept a single pass last season. Two, SS Morgan Burnett had a poor season, and other starter MD Jennings wasn't offered a contract and signed as a street guy with the Bears. Three, the only other legit candidate on the roster is CB Micah Hyde, who played about three games at S for Iowa and was mentioned as a possible conversion by McCarthy. At TE, Finley hopes to play again but is UFA and no one knows if Thompson/McCarthy will pass him after a cervical fusion late last year. Otherwise, there's kind of a  void there. They signed Julius Peppers to help the rush opposite Clay Matthews, but he is 34. At ILB, another ex-Buckeye, AJ Hawk, calls the defense but lacks speed and athleticism. The other starter is mediocre Brad Jones. Shazier fits a need and can run like the wind.

22. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech

Analysis: They will go best player available. I expect it to be either a corner (Darqueze Dennard if he's still on the board, or Kyle Fuller), a wide receiver (Marqise Lee or Kelvin Benjamin), an outside 'backer (Ryan Shazier) or an offensive lineman (Cyrus Kouandjio). Given the way this draft has gone, my selection is. . . Kyle Fuller.  He's got size (6-0, 190, 33 inch arms), can play press coverage and is a good tackler.

23. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Marqise Lee, WR, USC

Analysis: The Chiefs have a number of holes, but they desperately needa fresh dose of youth and talent at WR. Dwayne Bowe will soon turn 30, and No. 2 receiver Donnie Avery offers the speed Chiefs coach Andy Reid likes but needs to be more consistent. A.J. Jenkins and Junior Hemingway are young receivers with upside, but the Chiefs' failed pursuit of Emmanuel Sanders made it clear this is a position they feel they need to upgrade. Reid prefers receivers with good hands who can beat press coverage, but a player with a vertical skill set like Lee would be intriguing. Other positions to watch include OL, CB, S, OLB and yes, QB. However, WR is the most certain to be addressed, and this is the safe pick, especially if the Chiefs are comfortable with Lee's medical.

24. CINCINNATI BENGALS

Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State

Analysis: The speculation will run rampant here if the Bengals will take the bait on Teddy Bridgewater, but they are likely to disappoint the media masses. The team needs to take out an insurance policy in case Andy Dalton¹s future can¹t be solidified. Likely they would attempt to do so with a Friday pick, but this could tempt them with the board falling this way. They¹d prefer Shazier, Mosley or one of the top two corners slide to them. If they do stay put they need to find a way to get younger in the secondary. Leon Hall is coming off his second Achilles injury in two years, Adam Jones cross the 30 barrier and Terence Newman is approaching 36. With CB Dre Kirkpatrick, 2012 first-round pick, lingering closer to the bust line, one of the top corners would improve the team looking into the future. Cincinnati would be open to listening to trade offers from Houston, Cleveland or any of the other teams who didn¹t get their QB at the top of the round. If they want to move up to grab Derek Carr or Bridgewater, the Bengals would talk. If they are picking, though, they go for the position of need.

25. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

Jason Verrett, CB, TCU

Analysis: The Chargers might be open for business here. Cornerback arguably is their top need, and four are off the board. Unless they're enamored with TCU's Jason Verrett, Notre Dame NT Louis Nix III or an edge rusher like Auburn's Dee Ford, they may not see value here. A team will anticipate the Browns, after passing on QB at pick 4, are targeting the position at 26. If it wants to trade up, the Chargers will listen. Alas, this is a gentleman's mock draft. No trades allowed. That spins us back to Verrett. Yes, he's 5-foot-9. Yes, he'll miss OTAs because of March labrum surgery. But his film is nails, and he is expected to be fine coming training camp. Verrett can play football. In this mock, it's for the Chargers.

26. CLEVELAND BROWNS

Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville.

Analysis: See Pick No. 4.

27 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Analysis: My job was really easy here since I’ve been projecting the Saints might even trade up to try and get a WR like Odell Beckham Jr., Brandin Cooks or Marqise Lee. They could really use a dynamic speed WR like that. Outside of those guys, though, I’m not sure if I would have taken another WR (like Latimer, Benjamin, etc.), since the WR class seems so deep. I’ve mostly been projecting a good CB to fall to the Saints based on the way most mocks go – someone like Fuller or Verrett. That’s another top need for them. … If Grossi would have taken Cooks, I probably would have gone with a pass rusher like Kony Ealy as the “best available player.

28. CAROLINA PANTHERS

Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State

Analysis: The Panthers have some huge holes to fill on offense after left tackle Jordan Gross retired in February and franchise receiver leader Steve Smith was cut in March. They also could use a cornerback after losing two of the three corners from their rotation last season. But receiver is the most glaring need. In addition to Smith, the Panthers lost three other wideouts in free agency. And the three free agents they signed -- Jerricho Cotchery, Tiquan Underwood and Jason Avant -- are all complementary receivers. General manager Dave Gettleman loves big guys (he calls them 'hog mollies') and doubled down on DTs Star Lotulelei and Kawann Short with his first two picks last year. But with such a deep WR group, Gettleman should be able to find an impact wideout even drafting late. This mock couldn't have worked out any better for the Panthers, who like Benjamin's size and big-play potential. Benjamin is raw -- not unlike Cordarrelle Patterson last year -- but he'll get a chance to develop with the help of the veteran receivers the Panthers signed.

29. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Stephon Tuitt, DL, Notre Dame

Analysis: Nick Caserio said last week that the Patriots would feel pretty good about their lineup if they had to go play a football game today, and they don't have many lineup holes to fill after splurging for Darrelle Revis, Julian Edelman, Brandon Browner and Brandon LaFell in free agency. Seemingly locked in an arms race with the Broncos, the Patriots need some depth pieces across the board, but are loaded with veteran starters and don't have many glaring needs. They could use a youth infusion along the defensive line, which currently has four key players over 30 (Vince Wilfork, Tommy Kelly, Rob Ninkovich, Will Smith), depth at linebacker to replace Brandon Spikes, a tight end to pair with Rob Gronkowski, depth at guard and safety and at least one running back -- all three of their running backs are entering the last year of their contracts. Bill Belichick sprints to the podium to draft Tuitt, who would give the Patriots a young, strong, disruptive and versatile player who can play anywhere along the defensive line.

30. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS.

Cody Latimer, WR, Indiana

Analysis: Look for the 49ers trade up for a receiver or a cornerback they like, with LSU's Odell Beckham or Virginia Tech's Kyle Fuller possible targets. If they stay put at No. 30, a pass rusher like Kony Ealy or Dee Ford is a possibility as well. … Cornerback is arguably the 49ers' biggest need after longtime starters Carlos Rogers and Tarell Brown both went to Oakland via free agency this offseason. But with the top five corners off the board at this point, and with the 49ers having two picks in the second round (perhaps the strength of the cornerback draft), I think they'd take the best wide receiver on the board here. One starter, Michael Crabtree, is entering his contract year and may be difficult to resign. The other, Anquan Boldin, has two years left and is in his mid 30s. I think they'd like a big-bodied receiver to replace one of those two and Cody Latimer (6-2 ½, 215), has the right physique. Unlike Crabtree and Boldin, he also has speed. Best of all, he has the necessary grit for the rough-and-tumble NFC West. He was Indiana's top skill player last year but still played on special teams coverage units.

31. DENVER BRONCOS

Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri

Analysis: The Broncos don’t have a starting middle linebacker in their 4-3 at the moment. They have people on the roster who could play there, but they don’t see it as a situation they’re worried about given they spend the majority of snaps in the nickel. Elway has used his first pick of the last three drafts on a defensive player – Von Miller and Sylvester Williams in the first round of the 2011 and 2013 draft. He took defensive tackle Derek Wolfe in the second round in 2012. The Broncos would consider a trade down if they could stay in the upper third of the second round, especially if all of the CBs they like are gone. In this scenario, having just signed a DT Monday they think it healthy after back surgery last season – Marvin Austin -- the CBs are gone and the strength of the board would be in the OL, so they would look at edge players on defense and guards. Think they would look to get out and trade down, but defensive guys want help so will give them. PICK: DE Kony Ealy, Missouri.

32. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Demarcus Lawrence, DE, Boise State

Analysis: I looked at OL types but in the end, Lawrence and Minnesota DT/DE Ra'Shede Hageman were the finalists for my pick. I thought the outside pass-rush guy could carry appeal with Chris Clemons gone and Bruce Irvin's positional future not really settled. The Seahawks could be a good candidate for trading back if a team wants to get a QB at No. 32 while taking advantage of the fifth-year option available for first-round picks. The Seahawks do not have a third-round pick. I'm not sure they could get a third by moving back from No. 32, but that is a consideration.

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Tough choice for the Texans. They can pick a QB that could take them deep into the playoffs this Year in Manziel. Or, as Jadeveon cannot play QB, trade back and pick inferior Players. Hmm...

The Rams pick is a no-brainer as Jake Matthews is the most accomplished OT, R or L, by far in this Draft.

Next up, Sammy Watkins to Jax. Makes sense as he is the best value left on that Board.

The rest of the Players in this Draft are not potential HOFers.

It would be very hard to pass on Calvin Pryor at #19 and he will probably be there. He hits like a Moder and also has coverage ability. Very good value at that spot.

5 posts in a row?

Of course, all my picks are assuming all those Players are squeaky clean as the Miami Dolphins cannot afford any more scandals. I know Mr. Hyde has had some red flags, but so did Marino and Shula picked him.

My son likes talking to himself

WITH ALL THIS TALENT HOW...

My thing is writing it down, man, no matter if I'm being read or will be read or not.

2 + HALF MORE DAYS MAN

Lord have mercy

oscar = Don't be a Bonesmoker

MTTHHA FCCKKA'S


Yeah, and there was never anything dyanamic about OJ McDuffie. I never remember him being pro bowl even once, even though he was our 25th pick of 1993.

Making matters worse, Terry Kirby was the 2nd rd pick that year. The rest of that draft was PURE GARBAGE. Clearly Shula was losing it by then.

Posted by: SAM I AM | May 05, 2014 at 09:58 PM

I actually hate being reminded of this draft above all the blown drafts in the Shula (G.M.) ERA!! In 93 we took McDuffie Rd-1 passing on MLB Micheal Barrow who was a Pro Bowl standout player during a long career and just the guy to take over for the often injured Offerdahl instead of moving the pass coverage challenged Bryan Cox over were he was a liability especially in Buffalo were Thurman feasted on him.

In Rd-2 we passed on WOLB Darrin Smith. Terry Kirby was actually our 3rd Rd pick and a decent role player. The kicker was passing on SOLB Jesse Armstead who fell to the 8th Rd after College injury but when healed by 94 Season became a solid replacement for the retired LT going to a few of his own Pro Bowls.

Especially painful was that as long as I live I'll never forget that the LB we did take that draft was David Merritt out of NC St. I bet nobody will ever remember this guy but I never forgot him because the 3 LB's I mentioned were the starting 3 for UM known as the BERMUDA TRIANGLE and everybody in Miami knew that they were going to be great Pro's, if not for injury Armstead might have actually been the best. All in Shula's backyard but for whatever reason he ignored the program!!

Had Shula done nothing else in 93 he could have drafted these 3 very fast athletic LB's to put behind and pair with 94 #1 Tim Bowens along a DL that featured players like Trace Armstrong (Acquired in trade) and Marco Coleman with Troy Vincent and Louis Oliver and J.Williams on the backend and maybe our fortunes might have been different in 94 were we had our last legit shot with Stoyanovich blowing the 40 Yd'er in reg. in S.D. in Div Rd.

Can't wait to see which suckers take Johnny Football-LOL!

99% of his success came on plays that were breaking down. Heroics he won't get away with at the NFL Level.

One thing Manziel really excels at is missing wide open receivers. No! Not missing them with his throws, I mean flat out not even seeing them.

C'Mon, the Kid can't read a defense to save his life. He's a project at best. Johnny Boy would need some good pine to ride.........for about 2 to 3 years. Because that's what it's going to take for him to even sniff an NFL Field on Sunday.

I should clarify, anybody taking him in the first two rounds would be the biggest suckers. Probably the 3rd round makes them just idiots.

Manziel can't read a defense, he can't make more than 1 read per snap. He misses wide open receivers and he gets the ball out way too late. 99% of his success came on plays he won't be able to make at the next level.

But other than that, HEY! Whats not to LOVE........?

OMG! The Bermuda Triangle!!!!

What could have been........?

I wasn't even fully aware of this until I read it all in one of your posts quite a few years back Fin4. I feel bad for Marino everytime I'm reminded of it.

Marino was Ballin his arse off and Shula was drafting defensive players like Merrit, Kumerow and John Bosa(puke).

ODIN @ 2:15

Yo at the end there are you talking about John Bosa-Edwards the famous boxer or just plain John Bosa?

You have slave teeth.

Do what?

The most logical pick on this board is Latimer to the 49ers. They will get him in front of the Seahawks. I think he has the highest ceiling of any of the WRs.

If Hickey has a trick in this draft--use it to get Latimer. A trade back in front of SF, say to the Browns, might do it, provided they do not reciprocate with a trade up in front of that.

This will be a fun draft, perhaps to the point of cardiac arrhythmia of domestic violence.

WE'RE ABOUT TO FIND OUT WHY HICKEY HAS SPENT HIS WHOLE

18 year career as a backup.

It's gonna hurt bad.

We need to trade up in the 2nd round to get J. James and take the best player available at 19. Trading up in round two will be a lot cheaper (maybe a 5th or 6th rounder) to jump up 10 spots and closer to where James is projected to get drafted.

Most of the posters here agree with Armando about Juwan James. Juwan James is a slow cow. Have you seen the tape on him. Are most posters here Armando or work for Armando?

Do not buy that Teddy Bridgewater performance on his Pro Day. He is extremely accurate specially in the red zone and will go in the Draft much sooner than what many think he will.

Manziel looks like this wild kid. He's no such thing. He is a carefully designed product and an entrepreneur of the first kind.

Do you know that Manziel has the strongest arm and is, outside of Bridgewater, the most accurate passer of all the QBs in this year's class?

Let's see which way Hickey goes in the Draft. Armando's way or My Way. Probably neither.

LOL at Donald to Titans...he's a pure 3 tech and playing in a 3 - 4 would completely destroy his upside. He uses speed and hands to dominate guards he's not going to squeeze down as a 3-4 end and stop the run or rush the passer with power.

Whoever made that pick is on cocaine. Also Matthews isn't going to STL they'l go with the high upside Robinson and even bigger LOL at JFF to the Cowboys terrible mock!

Latimer maybe the most overrated player in the draft LOL at someone saying he has the biggest upside of any WR. Sammy Watkins compared to Latimer is like a Ferrari compared to a Ford LMFAO.

It seems to me that Jake Matthews is the most finished of the OTs in this Draft and ready to begin his career as an all-Pro.

Do not start talking sh-t here as there are only 2 days to go for all that manure to get back to you in a great quantity.

E

All Good guesses

My son has no life

There is no way that James is better than Jack Mewhort
the OT from Ohio State. Mewhort can play either side.

If OL is the way to go Sua-Filo should be rated higher. I can see from this list that the only other player I would consider at 19 would be Shazier. The other option is to trade down and grab Sua-Filo or James and I can see that happening rather than taking James at 19. No knock on James it is just that if you can gather more picks and get James then why not. As long as you can get a trade partner.

Shazier!

If you look at what the Jets and Bills did in free agency you had better be able to stop the run this year.

And you better be able to keep the fast attack offenses on the bench.

ILB Bama or RB Auburn.

Go Dolphins. Free agency for the line. It isn't going to be what you want for a few more years. Rookie just might not pan out like in the past. Winston or Mckinney can make it a little better.

Marlins win, Heat win, Dolphins still stink.

Johnny Manziel is clearly the prize of this draft and whatever team gets him is an instant playoff team.


Do you know that Manziel has the strongest arm and is, outside of Bridgewater, the most accurate passer of all the QBs in this year's class?

Posted by: oscar canosa | May 06, 2014 at 06:35 AM

Well, if you look at the combine and their pro days Manziel is more accurate than Bridgewater.

Nick Saban said Johnny Manziel is the best college QB he's ever seen. And he's seen a ton of QB's over the years.

Mando, don't you watch the games? Our defense under Sporano got killed by TEs and on big plays by WRs. I had rather give up a few rushing yards and keep us in the game than allow those big plays.

Safety is ok. Wilson and Don Jones make it a pretty deep position.

You are going to be really angry when Dallas Thomas turns out to be a good player. As a matter of fact, you are going to be really angry when Philbin succeeds.

Keep in mind that he said "College QB" not pro.


RD 1 Ryan Shazier LB The Ohio State University

RD 2 Jack Mewhort RT The Ohio State University

RD 3 Walt Aikens CB Liberty

RD 4 Crockett Gilmore TE Colorado State

RD 5 Devin Street WR Pitt

RD 6 Kenny Ladler FS Vanderbilt

RD 7 Tyler Gaffney RB Stanford

Posted by: Texas_Dolfan | May 06, 2014 at 09:18 AM

Manziel is in college not pro's. And Saban hasnt seen many pro QB's anyway.

And this is why you're a journalist, drafting a mid 2nd round talent in the middle of the first round, pff.

No thanks to the Justin Pugh of 2014.

Another option would eb to trade down form 19 to 26 and then use the extra pick you get and the 50 to trade back up into the mid 30s.

So instead of picking 19th and 50th

You pick 26th and say ~ 35?

...MIT...Pugh was great last year. So was Kyle Long, and Travis Fredrick..I know that that doesn't mean squat for these prospects this year. But it shows that our evaluations are just as meaningless as say Armandos. Would it be the end of the world if the pick was James, Moses, the kid from Bama who has a difficult name to spell? One of the guards? We need starters...These guys, all of them that have been rumored to Miami fill that need.

I'm against any trades because our FO always ends up on the short end of that stick. If someone like Parcells were in charge it might be a different story.

I'm against any trades because our FO always ends up on the short end of that stick. If someone like Parcells were in charge it might be a different story.

Posted by: Tony Nathan | May 06, 2014 at 09:39 AM

Dumb!
In case you didn't notice, Parcells is unemployed.
The game has passed him by.

Pugh was great? On what basis? He was godawful... he was so great that in several mocks the Giants are again picking... a LT.

Long was great, no doubt - but he was a guard - easier transition.. same for Frederick

The point is there is a first round rated o lineman on the board in XSF... once in a while you get awya with taking a 2nd round talent in the first but as a general rule.. that's bad policy, man.

Go to wikipedia and look at the pro bowlers from 2009, 2010 draft classes the bulk of them where drafted in the first round ... there are some in the subsequent rounds but you see the frequency slow down a whole heck of a lot more. If the intention is just to take 2nd and 3rd round talents to fill holes might as well trade back and trade back again and forget about acquiring someone great all together...

Manziel is in college not pro's. And Saban hasnt seen many pro QB's anyway.

Posted by: Jay | May 06, 2014 at 09:22 AM

Tell us something we don't know.

You guys are fools if you dont think Manziel will be a star at the Next Level. Man some of you ppl are so enormed by height and weight you cant tell a great prospect if it hits you in your face.

Johnny Manziel is as smart as they come on the football field and scored well above average on his Wonderlic test he has amazing playmaking skills and anticipation.

My only hope is hed fall to 19 and if Hickey has any sort of balls will take him there. The kid will have to get adjusted to NFL speed but once he does look out

SO Omar kelly mocked us taking Black Bortles @19 and Armando has us reaching on a RT @19. There obviiously going to be some trades but the last thing you want to do is reach for a guy. Always take BPA not sure what Armando is think here.

ITs fun to read this and then see how WRONG you are when the REAL Draft is dead and gone.

Bortles is the best in class

http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=10811695

Who cares about the Wonderlic, really?

Marino and Jim Kelly scored a 15, Bradshaw a 16. Brady a 33 , Romo 37 out of 40. It means nothing. Only that both smart and not smart people can play football

Does anyone think that Lawrence Taylor was a brain surgeon?

Manziel is widely considered the best QB prospect in 10-15 years.

...MIT...Pugh was on the all rookie team..He was solid as it gets last year. Why do you say he stunk? Not true. He was the Giants best O-lineman by the end of last season.. Fredrick was a center..

My point I that we need a lineman. These teams above scoffed at the rankings the pundits and mock readers gave, and took their guy. None had grades equal to where they were selected. Fredrick had a 3rd round grade by the mocksters. He is probably the best pick the Crackwagon has made in the last 5 years..

Now if Hickey doesn't have a first round grade on any of these guys fine. But if we do..How could anyone question the picks? They fill a need.

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