« McKeon: Nolasco has potential to be 20-game winner; Jose Ceda recalled from New Orleans | Main | Hamstring injury causes Gaby Sanchez to miss first start; McKeon vs. Johnson in senior citizen managing showdown »

Analysis: Hanley has 62 percent chance of reaching Hall of Fame

    What are the chances that Hanley Ramirez reaches the Hall of Fame? Pretty darn good, according to an ESPN.com story.

     In his analysis looking at the Hall of Fame chances of players currently under the age of 28, Dan Symborski of Baseball Think Factory projects Ramirez's chances of getting to Cooperstown at 62 percent. In fact, Ramirez is one of only three under-28 players that Symborki rates as having a better than 50 percent chance of eventual enshrinement. The others: Seattle pitcher Felix Hernandez (80 percent) and Tampa Bay third baseman Evan Longoria.

     Symborski applies WAR (wins above replacement) and the ZiPS projection system to come up with his results, which are contained in his story for ESPN.com Insider subscribers only.

     Those in Symborski's second grouping of players on the "fence" (or those with a 25- to 50-percent chance of punching their Hall tickets one day: Dustin Pedroia, Troy Tulowitzki, Brian McCann, Ryan Bruan, Prince Fielder, Joey Votto, Ryan Zimmerman, Matt Cain, Tim Lincecum and Zack Greinke.

      Having already traded away one young star on a Hall of Fame career path -- Miguel Cabrera -- and receiving little in return, what would justify trading Ramirez, as well?

Comments