Finally grabbed Phil Steele's 2013 College Football Preview. Steele and his staff do the most exhaustive statistical analysis -- some might say overanalysis -- of college football.
They've got FIU at No. 118 overall. By Steele's Stock Market Indicator, which takes into account close losses after a pattern of winning seasons, he gives the Panthers approximately an 88 percent chance of improving their 3-9 record. But, their lack of experience plus what he sees as an overall step up in competition going to Conference USA mitigates the SMI measurement and he expects FIU to have a hard time winning three games.
Only defensive lineman Greg Hickman (second team) makes Steele's preseason all-conference team.