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Joe Pinkos Forecast - Week 8

Florida High School Football

Forecast Record
Last Week 189-32, 85.5%
Season 1,358-345, 79.7%

How does our forecast record stack-up with the statewide picks of others? A comparison appears below the conclusion of this week’s forecast.

Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorite and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

Class 8A
Apopka 8 over West Orange
Bloomingdale 1 over Wharton
Boone 1 over Freedom-Orlando
Braddock 1 over Ferguson
Columbus 38 over Coral Gables
Coral Reef 4 over Killian
Cypress Bay 47 over West Broward
DeLand 9 over Sandalwood
Deerfield Beach 15 over Piper
Dr. Krop 1 over North Miami
Dr. Phillips 55 over Cypress Creek
East Lake 10 over Sarasota Riverview
Flanagan 1 over Western
Fletcher 27 over Flagler Palm Coast
Hialeah 16 over North Miami Beach
Lake Brantley 33 over Hagerty
Lake Mary 24 over University-Orange City
Miami High 15 over Coral Park
Miramar 37 over Everglades
Palm Beach Central 11 over John I. Leonard
Palm Harbor University 14 over North Port
Park Vista 15 over Boca Raton
Plant 17 over Alonso
Sanford Seminole 9 over Lyman
Seminole Ridge 1 over Palm Beach Gardens
South Dade 12 over Miami Palmetto
South Miami 17 over Southwest Miami
South Plantation 1 over Coral Springs
Spruce Creek 10 over Mandarin
Taravella 38 over Douglas
Timber Creek 25 over Colonial
Treasure Coast 6 over (2A) Jupiter Christian
Varela 34 over Sunset
Vero Beach 23 over Centennial
Wekiva 12 over Ocoee
Wellington 9 over Jupiter
Winter Park 2 over East River

Class 7A
American 62 over Miami Springs
Boyd Anderson 21 over Monarch
Brandon 50 over Riverview
Buchholz 3 over Chiles
Chamberlain 18 over Wiregrass Ranch
Charlotte 56 over Lemon Bay
Cooper City 31 over South Broward
Coral Glades 8 over Coconut Creek
Countryside 40 over Clearwater
Durant 12 over Newsome
Edgewater 24 over Oviedo
Evans 9 over Leesburg
Fleming Island 13 over Ed White
Fort Pierce Central 17 over Martin County
Gaither 21 over Freedom-Tampa
Gateway 36 over Celebration
Gulf Coast 8 over Port Charlotte
Kissimmee Osceola 45 over Harmony
Lakeland 32 over George Jenkins
Lincoln 38 over West Port
Manatee 23 over Venice
Miami Beach 17 over Goleman
Northeast-Oakland Park 1 over Ely
Oak Ridge 23 over Winter Springs
Pinellas Park 24 over Northeast-St. Pete
Plant City 28 over East Bay
Plantation 1 over McArthur
Port St. Lucie 6 over Viera
Ridge Community 10 over Lake Region
Royal Palm Beach 11 over Lake Worth
Santaluces 15 over Spanish River
Sarasota 13 over Braden River
South Lake 35 over Lake Minneola
St. Cloud 9 over Liberty
St. Petersburg 24 over Seminole
St. Thomas Aquinas 55 over Nova
Tampa Bay Tech 12 over Steinbrenner
William T. Dwyer 13 over Atlantic-Delray Beach

Class 6A
Archbishop McCarthy 5 over Hollywood Hills
Armwood 20 over Hillsborough
Atlantic Coast 15 over Robert E. Lee
Bartram Trail 26 over St. Augustine
Bayside 17 over Heritage
Columbia 18 over Middleburg
Crestview 1 over Navarre
Fort Myers 27 over North Fort Myers
Hernando 46 over Springstead
Island Coast 12 over South Fort Myers
Lake Gibson 26 over Bartow
Lake Weir 3 over Lecanto
Lakewood Ranch 27 over Dixie Hollins
Largo 29 over Boca Ciega
Mainland 26 over Pine Ridge
Miami Central 36 over Carol City
Milton 6 over Pensacola Washington
Mosley 1 over Choctawhatchee
Naples 30 over Palmetto Ridge
Nature Coast 15 over Mitchell
Niceville 2 over Fort Walton Beach
Northwestern 4 over Belen Jesuit
Olympic Heights 12 over Forest Hill
Orange Park 1 over Leon
Pace 43 over Tate
Palm Bay 36 over Eau Gallie
Pembroke Pine Charter 15 over Fort Lauderdale
Pensacola 8 over Pine Forest
Ridgeview 32 over Oakleaf
River Ridge 38 over Central-Brooksville
Riverdale 20 over Ida Baker
Seabreeze 22 over New Smyrna Beach
Sebastian River 49 over Palm Beach Lakes
Sickles 6 over Jefferson
South Fork 26 over Okeechobee
Strawberry Crest 8 over Leto
Sunlake 7 over Land O’ Lakes
Tarpon Springs 26 over Seminole Osceola
Vanguard 1 over Gainesville
Winter Haven 23 over Sebring
Wolfson 19 over Stanton Prep

Class 5A
American Heritage-Plantation 42 over Pompano Beach
Anclote 9 over Gulf
Astronaut 4 over Merritt Island
Atlantic-Port Orange 19 over Tavares
Baker County 57 over Terry Parker
Bishop Kenny 15 over Clay
Bishop Moore 19 over Eustis
Blake 14 over Lennard
Boynton Beach 10 over Jensen Beach
Cape Coral 21 over Mariner
Creekside 16 over Matanzas
Cypress Lake 1 over Estero
Dillard 4 over Cardinal Gibbons
Dunnellon 33 over Belleview
Eastside 3 over Crystal River
Forrest 5 over Paxon
Gibbs 10 over Middleton
Glades Central 48 over Westwood
Godby 42 over Rickards
Golden Gate 15 over Lely
Gulf Breeze 31 over Bay
Hallandale 11 over (6A) Stranahan
Immokalee 29 over (6A) Barron Collier
Jesuit 18 over Lakewood
Key West 13 over (Ind.) Hialeah-Miami Lakes
Lake Nona 34 over Poinciana
Lake Wales 46 over Tenoroc
Lehigh 21 over East Lee County
Mulberry 1 over Auburndale
Nease 2 over Menendez
Norland 8 over Miami Jackson
North Marion 12 over Santa Fe
Palmetto 14 over Hardee
Pasco 36 over Fivay
Ponte Vedra 28 over Palatka
Robinson 9 over Spoto
Rockledge 21 over Titusville
Satellite 16 over Space Coast
Southeast 27 over Bayshore
Wakulla 28 over Suwannee
Wesley Chapel 27 over Hudson
West Florida Tech 17 over Rutherford
Zephyrhills 48 over Ridgewood

Class 4A
Bolles 17 over Raines
Booker 3 over Avon Park
Booker T. Washington 53 over Doral Academy
Bradford 25 over Keystone Heights
Clewiston 28 over Lake Placid
Cocoa 36 over Jones
Dunbar 59 over Gateway Charter
Gulliver Prep 38 over LaSalle
Inlet Grove 5 over Somerset Academy
Lake Highland Prep 17 over Cocoa Beach
Marianna 15 over Walton
Monsignor Pace 13 over Edison
North Broward Prep 23 over Pine Crest
Ribault 6 over Andrew Jackson
South Sumter 8 over Mount Dora
Taylor County 1 over East Gadsden
Umatilla 16 over Interlachen
Yulee 25 over West Nassau

Class 3A
American Heritage-Delray 48 over Benjamin
Archbishop Carroll 25 over (Ind.) Florida Christian
Berkeley Prep 13 over Clearwater Central Catholic
Cardinal Newman 16 over Calvary-Fort Lauderdale
Chaminade 50 over Miami Country Day
Episcopal 41 over Bishop Snyder
Fort Meade 26 over Lakeland Christian
Fort White 29 over (4A) Fernandina Beach
Frostproof 7 over Cardinal Mooney
King’s Academy 24 over Pahokee
Madison County 27 over Pensacola Catholic
Melbourne Central Catholic 32 over John Carroll
Tampa Catholic 30 over St. Pete Catholic
The First Academy 22 over Holy Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Catholic 21 over (2A) Glades Day
Trinity Christian-Jacksonville 22 over Providence
Trinity Prep 13 over Orangewood Christian
University School 14 over Westminster Christian

Class 2A
Admiral Farragut 9 over Bradenton Christian
Carrollwood Day 9 over Cambridge
Champagnat Catholic 8 over (Ind.) Mater Academy
Dade Christian 59 over South Florida HEAT
Eagle’s View Academy 7 over University Christian
Evangelical Christian 76 over St. Stephen’s
First Baptist 28 over (Ind.) Merritt Island Christian
FAMU DRS 35 over (1A) Port St. Joe
Florida Air Academy 9 over Trinity Christian-Deltona
Highlands Christian 59 over (Ind.) Berean Christian
Indian Rocks Christian 47 over Northside Christian
Keswick Christian 1 over Calvary-Clearwater
Lake Mary Prep 26 over Orlando Christian Prep
Moore Haven 5 over St. John Neumann
Oak Hall 42 over St. Joseph
Out-of-Door Academy 16 over Southwest Florida Christian
Santa Fe Catholic 1 over Foundation Academy
St. Francis 27 over St. Johns Country Day
St. John Lutheran 47 over St. Edward’s
Victory Christian 73 over Central Florida Christian
Village Academy 42 over Coral Springs Christian
Warner Christian 25 over Calvary-Ormond Beach
Zion Lutheran 2 over Summit Christian

Class 1A
Baker 30 over Jay
Chipley 1 over Bozeman
Dixie County 5 over Newberry
Freeport 1 over Northview
Hamilton County 34 over Branford
Hawthorne 37 over Bell
Hilliard 31 over Bronson
Holmes County 40 over South Walton
Jefferson County 7 over Lafayette
Liberty County 8 over Blountstown
Sneads 8 over Wewahitchka
The Villages 8 over Crescent City
Trenton 22 over (Ind.) P.K. Yonge
Union County 33 over Baldwin
Vernon 17 over Graceville
West Gadsden 21 over Franklin County
Wildwood 25 over Taylor-Pierson

Independent
Agape Christian 26 over (2A) Mount Dora Bible
Bishop McLaughlin 8 over Shorecrest Prep
Cedar Creek Christian 6 over Florida Deaf
Coral Springs Charter 27 over Coral Shores
First Academy-Leesburg 12 over Peniel Baptist
Hillel Community Day 31 over Posnack Hebrew Day
Landmark Christian 67 over All Saints’ Academy
Maclay 15 over Aucilla Christian
Munroe Day 36 over John Paul II Catholic
Ocala Christian 17 over Vanguard School
Palmer Trinity 29 over Master’s Academy-Vero Beach
Ransom Everglades 8 over (3A) Archbishop Curley
Reagan 50 over Hialeah Gardens
Seffner Christian 13 over (2A) Community School
Seven Rivers Christian 20 over Master’s Academy-Oviedo
Temple Christian-Jacksonville 27 over Seacoast Christian
Westland Hialeah 31 over Mourning
Williston 37 over (1A) Chiefland
Windermere Prep 43 over Life Christian

FORECAST DERBY

Season Records (through games of Saturday, October 15, 2011)
Pinkos 1,358-345, 79.7%
Freeman Ratings (Maxpreps/Calpreps) 1,130-326, 77.6 %
Laz Index 1,262-376, 77.0%
Massey Ratings 1,233-394, 75.8%

Last Week (games played Monday, October 10 through Saturday, October 15, 2011)
Pinkos 189-32, 85.5%
Freeman Ratings (Maxpreps/Calpreps) 166-34, 83.0%
Massey Ratings 168-40, 80.8%
Laz Index 174-44, 79.8%

Last week, when picks differed, our selections beat the Massey Ratings 13 of 16 times; we topped the Laz Index 18 of 24 times for contests where forecasts differed; and bested the Freeman Ratings in 10 of 14 games.

Season to-date, when picks differed, our selections have beat the Massey Ratings 130 of 198 times; we’ve topped the Laz Index 121 of 196 times for contests where forecasts differed; and bested the Freeman Ratings in 101 of 167 games.

Comments

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Amy Hamilton

Keystone Heights 19 Bradford 18....your forecast was wayy off on that one! :) Good job Keystone!

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