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Joe Pinkos Forecast - Week 9

Florida High School Football

Forecast Record
Last Week 216-39, 84.7%
Season 1,574-384, 80.4%

How does our forecast record stack-up with the statewide picks of others? A comparison appears below the conclusion of this week’s forecast.


Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorite and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

Class 8A
Apopka 4 over (7A) Edgewater
Columbus 20 over South Miami
Coral Reef 28 over Miami Palmetto
Coral Springs 15 over Deerfield Beach
Cypress Bay 18 over Everglades
DeLand 39 over Mandarin
East River 8 over Boone
Flanagan 42 over West Broward
Fletcher 21 over Spruce Creek
Freedom-Orlando 4 over (4A) Jones
Hialeah 60 over (7A) Miami Springs
Jupiter 1 over (7A) Santaluces
Lake Brantley 13 over Lake Mary
Miami High 5 over Coral Gables
Miramar 27 over Western
Olympia 5 over Wekiva
Park Vista 1 over Palm Beach Gardens
Sandalwood 22 over Flagler Palm Coast
Sanford Seminole 1 over Hagerty
Sarasota Riverview 13 over (7A) Sarasota
Seminole Ridge 15 over Boca Raton
South Plantation 34 over Douglas
Southridge 10 over South Dade
Southwest Miami 2 over Ferguson
Taravella 35 over Piper
Timber Creek 19 over University-Orlando
University-Orange City 1 over Lyman
Varela 11 over Braddock
Vero Beach 29 over Wellington
West Orange 20 over Ocoee
Wharton 14 over (5A) Blake
Winter Park 24 over Colonial

Class 7A
American 16 over (8A) North Miami
Charlotte 12 over (6A) South Fort Myers
Cooper City 5 over McArthur
Countryside 15 over Pinellas Park
Durant 7 over East Bay
East Ridge 41 over Lake Minneola
Ed White 19 over (4A) Ribault
Ely 4 over Boyd Anderson
Evans 4 over (8A) Dr. Phillips
First Coast 9 over (4A) Raines
Fleming Island 40 over (6A) New Smyrna Beach
Fort Pierce Central 15 over (8A) Centennial
Gaither 26 over Chamberlain
Gateway 6 over Harmony
Kissimmee Osceola 24 over Liberty
Lake Howell 7 over Winter Springs
Lake Region 3 over Haines City
Leesburg 12 over South Lake
Manatee 24 over (5A) Palmetto
Miami Beach 23 over (8A) Coral Park
Monarch 26 over Coconut Creek
Newsome 29 over Riverview
Northeast-Oakland Park 39 over Coral Glades
Northeast-St. Pete 4 over Seminole
Nova 12 over (Ind.) Coral Springs Charter
Ocala Forest 28 over Buchholz
Oviedo 8 over Oak Ridge
Plant City 13 over Brandon
Port St Lucie 49 over (3A) John Carroll
Ridge Community 10 over George Jenkins
Royal Palm Beach 4 over Atlantic-Delray Beach
South Broward 15 over (6A) Hollywood Hills
St. Cloud 69 over Celebration
St. Petersburg 16 over Clearwater
St. Thomas Aquinas 52 over Plantation
Steinbrenner 34 over Wiregrass Ranch
Tampa Bay Tech 20 over Freedom-Tampa
Viera 6 over (3A) Melbourne Central Catholic
West Boca Raton 33 over Spanish River
West Port 6 over Chiles
William T. Dwyer 21 over Lake Worth

Class 6A
Archbishop McCarthy 6 over Fort Lauderdale
Armwood 2 over (8A) Plant
Atlantic Coast 16 over Wolfson
Auburn AL 14 over Niceville
Belen Jesuit 68 over (Ind.) Mater Academy
Boca Ciega 1 over Tarpon Springs
Choctawhatchee 5 over (5A) Gulf Breeze
Citrus 4 over Lake Weir
Columbia 12 over Orange Park
Crestview 1 over Mosley
Dixie Hollins 1 over Seminole Osceola
Fort Myers 17 over Ida Baker
Hernando 22 over Nature Coast
Hillsborough 13 over King
Homestead 7 over Carol City
Island Coast 19 over Riverdale
Jefferson 56 over Leto
Lake Gibson 12 over Kathleen
Land O’ Lakes 56 over Central-Brooksville
Largo 17 over Lakewood Ranch
Mainland 51 over Deltona
Melbourne 25 over Heritage
Miami Central 11 over Northwestern
Middleburg 14 over Oakleaf
Mitchell 14 over Springstead
Naples 35 over (8A) North Miami Beach
Navarre 12 over Fort Walton Beach
North Fort Myers 2 over Bishop Verot
Okeechobee 4 over Palm Beach Lakes
Pace 10 over Milton
Palm Bay 6 over Bayside
Pembroke Pines Charter 1 over Stranahan
Pensacola 34 over Pensacola Washington
Pine Forest 32 over Escambia
Ridgeview 6 over Leon
Seabreeze 17 over Pine Ridge
Sebastian River 52 over Forest Hill
Sebring 3 over Bartow
Sickles 39 over Strawberry Crest
South Fork 28 over Olympic Heights
St. Augustine 30 over Robert E. Lee
Stanton Prep 8 over Englewood
Sunlake 23 over River Ridge
Vanguard 58 over Lecanto
Winter Haven 1 over (5A) Lake Wales

Class 5A
American Heritage-Plantation 4 over Cardinal Gibbons
Atlantic-Port Orange 18 over Poinciana
Baker County 48 over Forrest
Bishop Kenny 58 over Terry Parker
Bishop Moore 26 over Lake Nona
Boynton Beach 20 over (4A) Inlet Grove
Clay 32 over Paxon
Cypress Lake 4 over East Lee County
DeSoto 5 over Bayshore
Dunedin 10 over Middleton
Dunnellon 3 over Crystal River
Estero 27 over Mariner
Eustis 15 over Tavares
Glades Central 41 over Jensen Beach
Godby 47 over (6A) Tate
Golden Gate 25 over (7A) Gulf Coast
Gulf 11 over Hudson
Hallandale 34 over Pompano Beach
Hardee 2 over Southeast
Immokalee 54 over (2A) Moore Haven
Jesuit 33 over Gibbs
Lehigh 15 over Cape Coral
Lely 5 over (6A) Palmetto Ridge
Merritt Island 24 over Space Coast
Miami Jackson 3 over (8A) Killian
Nease 4 over Matanzas
North Marion 12 over Eastside
Palatka 17 overMenendez
Pasco 80 over Ridgewood
Ponte Vedra 12 over Creekside
Robinson 7 over Lakewood
Rockledge 1 over Astronaut
Rutherford 10 over Bay
Santa Fe 34 over Belleview
Satellite 13 over Titusville
Spoto 32 over Lennard
Wakulla 21 over (2A) Trinity Christian-Deltona
Wesley Chapel 5 over Anclote
West Florida Tech 16 over Arnold
Westwood 2 over Suncoast
Zephyrhills 13 over Fivay

Class 4A
Booker 51 over Gateway Charter
Booker T. Washington 20 over Gulliver Prep
Bradford 37 over Interlachen
Cocoa 3 over West Monroe LA
Cocoa Beach 1 over (6A) Eau Gallie
Dunbar 15 over Avon Park
East Gadsden 12 over (3A) Florida High
LaBelle 5 over Lake Placid
LaSalle 1 over Edison
Lake Highland Prep 9 over North Broward Prep
Monsignor Pace 16 over Doral Academy
Mount Dora 19 over Umatilla
Somerset Academy 3 over (Ind.) Westminster Academy
South Sumter 10 over Keystone Heights
Taylor County 27 over (5A) Suwannee

Class 3A
American Heritage-Delray 19 over Cardinal Newman
Archbishop Carroll 24 over Marathon
Berkeley Prep 8 over The First Academy
Bishop Snyder 15 over (1A) Branford
Calvary-Fort Lauderdale 16 over Benjamin
Clearwater Central Catholic 34 over (7A) Lemon Bay
Fort Meade 6 over (5A) Auburndale
Fort White 17 over (5A) Rickards
Frostproof 11 over (5A) Tenoroc
King’s Academy 28 over (4A) Pine Crest
Lakeland Christian 41 over (Ind.) Shorecrest Prep
Madison County 20 over (6A) Gainesville
Miami Country Day 20 over (Ind.) Hillel Community Day
Orangewood Christian 7 over (1A) Taylor-Pierson
Pope John Paul II 4 over Pahokee
Providence 1 over (4A) West Nassau
Tampa Catholic 3 over (8A) Alonso
Trinity Christian-Jacksonville 12 over (4A) Yulee
Trinity Prep 59 over (Ind.) Cornerstone
University School 8 over Chaminade
Westminster Christian 41 over Archbishop Curley

Class 2A
Admiral Farragut 53 over Northside Christian
Bradenton Christian 10 over Calvary-Clearwater
Calvary-Ormond Beach 13 over Father Lopez
Cambridge 5 over (Ind.) Seffner Christian
Canterbury 14 over Keswick Christian
Carrollwood Day 6 over Indian Rocks Christian
Champagnat Catholic 6 over (Ind.) Barrington Christian
Community School 38 over St. Stephen’s
Dade Christian 76 over Sheridan Hills Christian
Eagle’s View Academy 38 over St. Francis
Evangelical Christian 18 over (3A) St. Pete Catholic
Florida Air Academy 3 over St. Edward’s
Glades Day 31 over Summit Christian
Highlands Christian 37 over Zion Lutheran
Jupiter Christian 14 over Village Academy
North Florida Christian 55 over (4A) Walton
Oak Hall 67 over St. Johns Country Day
Orlando Christian Prep 1 over Mount Dora Bible
Out-of-Door Academy 7 over First Baptist
Santa Fe Catholic 47 over Central Florida Christian
St. John Lutheran 15 over Warner Christian
St. John Neumann 14 over Southwest Florida Christian
University Christian 31 over St. Joseph
Victory Christian 23 over Foundation Academy

Class 1A
Baldwin 8 over Newberry
Blountstown 32 over Franklin County
Bozeman 7 over Wewahitchka
Chipley 12 over Freeport
Dixie County 25 over Chiefland
Graceville 3 over Jay
Hawthorne 43 over Bronson
Holmes County 40 over Cottondale
Lafayette 22 over (Ind.) P.K. Yonge
Liberty County 24 over South Walton
Northview 24 over Vernon
The Villages 5 over Hamilton County
Trenton 25 over Hilliard
Union County 22 over (Ind.) Williston
West Gadsden 7 over Port St. Joe

Agape Christian 4 over (2A) Lake Mary Prep
Bishop McLaughlin 30 over All Saints’ Academy
Boca Raton Christian 9 over Life Christian
Coral Shores 8 over (2A) Coral Springs Christian
Harvest Community 45 over Seacoast Christian
Hialeah-Miami Lakes 54 over Hialeah Gardens
Landmark Christian 12 over Christ’s Church Academy
Maclay 21 over Munroe Day
Master’s Academy-Oviedo 9 over First Academy-Leesburg
Merritt Island Christian 27 over Vanguard School
Ocala Christian 22 over Peniel Baptist
Palmer Trinity 7 over Northwest Christian
Ransom Everglades 5 over Florida Christian
Reagan 46 over Mourning
Rocky Bayou Christian 11 over John Paul II Catholic
Seven Rivers Christian 8 over (1A) Bell
St. Andrew’s 38 over (2A) South Florida HEAT
Temple Christian Academy 8 over Cedar Creek Christian

Season Records

Pinkos 1,574-384, 80.4%
Freeman Ratings (Maxpreps/Calpreps) 1,321-365, 78.4%
Laz Index 1,476-414, 78.1%
Massey Ratings 1,439-434, 76.8%

Season to-date, when picks differed, our selections have beat the Massey Ratings 141 of 217 times; we’ve topped the Laz Index 130 of 215 times for contests where forecasts differed; and bested the Freeman Ratings in 111 of 186 games.

Last Week
Pinkos 216-39, 84.7%
Laz Index 216-38, 85.0%
Massey Ratings 206-40, 83.7%
Freeman Ratings (Maxpreps/Calpreps) 192-38, 83.5%