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Joe Pinkos Power Rating - 2011 Finale

Florida High School Football

2011 Season Final Rankings

MANATEE IS NUMBER ONE!

FLORIDA’S POWER 25 listings show rank, team, record and classification in parentheses, and power rating.

Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. To determine the forecasted margin of victory between any two teams, simply figure the difference in the respective power ratings.

FLORIDA’S POWER 25

1. Manatee (13-2, 7A) 210.6
2. Norland (15-0, 5A) 206.8
3. Armwood (15-0, 6A) 206.0
4. Plant (14-1, 8A) 204.3
5. Miramar (13-1, 8A) 203.3
6. Palmetto (12-2, 5A) 202.4
7. Bolles (13-1, 4A) 201.8
8. Glades Central (12-1, 5A) 201.7
9. American Heritage-Delray (12-1, 3A) 200.3
10. William T. Dwyer (12-2, 7A) 200.1
11. Miami Central (13-1, 6A) 200.0
12. Booker T. Washington (12-2, 4A) 199.0
13. Fort Pierce Central (9-2, 7A) 198.3
14. St. Thomas Aquinas (10-3, 7A) 198.1
15. Cocoa (8-5, 4A) 198.0
16. Madison County (12-2, 3A) 197.6
17. North Florida Christian (13-0, 2A) 197.3
18. Columbus (10-3, 8A) 195.8
19. First Coast (13-1, 7A) 193.8
20. Mainland (12-2, 6A) 192.8
21. Venice (9-2, 7A) 192.4
22. University School (11-1, 3A) 191.8
23. Cypress Bay (8-4, 8A) 191.0
24. Bartram Trail (12-2, 6A) 188.4
25. Fletcher (11-3, 8A) 188.3

How Joe Pinkos’ top-ranked team in Florida, since 1995, has fared in its final game:

2011 Manatee blanked previously undefeated First Coast 40-0 to claim Class 7A title.
2010 St. Thomas Aquinas beat Plant 29-7 to win 5A final and ESPN RISE national title.
2009 Cocoa defeated Glades Central, who had beat 4A champ Dwyer, 27-13 in 2A final.
2008 St. Thomas Aquinas routed Lakeland 56-7 to win 5A crown and national title.
2007 Northwestern bombed Boone 41-0 to capture 6A state title and national crown.
2006 Northwestern beat Lake Brantley 34-14 in 6A final to finish 15-0.
2005 Lakeland beat St. Thomas Aquinas 39-10 to win 5A state crown and national title.
2004 Armwood beat Lake Gibson 49-21 in 4A final to repeat as Florida’s top team.
2003 Armwood topped Lake Gibson 29-21 in 4A final to finish a perfect 15-0.
2002 Palm Bay won 13th consecutive game by beating Jefferson 19-10 in 4A state final.
2001 Lincoln defeated St. Thomas Aquinas 28-20 in 4A state final to finish 7th in nation.
2000 Pine Forest finished undefeated by beating St. Thomas Aquinas 34-27 in triple OT.
1999 Lakeland routed Rutherford 45-12 to claim 5A state title and #6 national ranking.
1998 Northwestern blanked Southeast 28-0 in 6A state final and finished #4 in nation.
1997 Carol City nipped Columbia 20-17 for 6A state title and top-5 national ranking.
1996 Bartow upset Bolles, then-ranked #1 in the nation, 14-13 in 4A state title game.
1995 Bolles beat Hardee 28-21 in 4A final & claimed #12 spot in USA Today Super 25.


FORECAST DERBY
Season Records
Pinkos 2,314-557, 80.6%

Laz Index 2,220-576, 79.4%
Freeman Ratings (Maxpreps/Calpreps) 1,989-529, 79.0%
Massey Ratings 2,160-592, 78.5%

Season to-date, when picks differed, our selections have beat the Massey Ratings 180 of 302 times; we’ve topped the Laz Index 166 of 296 times for contests where forecasts differed; and bested the Freeman Ratings in 153 of 271 games.

Playoffs
Pinkos 146-38, 79.3%

Laz Index 142-42, 77.2%
Freeman Ratings (Maxpreps/Calpreps) 139-45, 75.5%
Massey Ratings 138-46, 75.0%

COMPILATION RANKINGS

The team rankings of Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings, the Laz Index and the Freeman Ratings (Maxpreps/Calpreps) were combined to produce the Compilation Rankings shown below. (The Massey Ratings were not immediately available and thus not included.) A team was given 25 points for a first place ranking, 24 points for a second place ranking, and so on down to 1 point for a twenty-fifth place ranking.

1. Manatee 73 points
2. Armwood 72
3. Plant 69
4. Norland 66
5. Miramar 64
6. Bolles 56
7. Miami Central 55
8. Palmetto 53
9. William T. Dwyer 48
10. American Heritage-Delray 46
11. Glades Central 45
12. Booker T. Washington 39
13. St. Thomas Aquinas 38
14. First Coast 37
15. Madison County 36
16. Mainland 28
17. North Florida Christian 25
18. Bartram Trail 21
19. Fort Pierce Central 16
20. Columbus 14
21. Venice 12
22. Cocoa 11
23. (tie) Fletcher 10
23. (tie) Dr. Phillips 10
25. University School 8

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