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Davis in lead. Will Ernesto change that?

From a press release by the Florida Chamber of Commerce:

A statewide poll... reveals a nine-point difference between gubernatorial candidates U.S. Rep. Jim Davis (36 percent) and state Sen. Rod Smith (27 percent), with eight percent choosing “some other candidate” and the undecided voters at 28 percent. These poll results are the first to be released since the August 23 Democratic gubernatorial candidate debate.

This poll, conducted by InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research on August 24-25, 2006, was a phone survey of 500 likely voters in the Democratic primary. It was weighted for age, race, gender and geographic distribution. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.

“Although Jim Davis still holds a lead over Rod Smith, the undecideds and the eight percent leaning toward an unnamed candidate suggest an even lower turnout than the GOP primary poll suggested,” said Marian Johnson, vice president of political strategy for the Florida Chamber of Commerce. “Basically this race could go either way, especially if voter turnout in South Florida is affected by the hurricane. This could possibly help Rod Smith.”