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Diaz-Balart/Martinez smackdown now a toss-up?

So says the Cook Political Report. The independent political observer today changed the rating on the race from "lean Republican" to "toss up," saying the race "is finally living up to its billing as an invective-filled grudge match worthy of the Jerry Springer Show."

Cook says Lincoln Diaz-Balart's first TV ad is "a 30-second tour de force of (Raul) Martinez’s 'years of
embarrassing our community,' highlighting his early 1990’s corruption convictions and a brief appearance in a movie called 'Cocaine Cowboys.' "

But the blurb notes "multiple media outlets have criticized the ad for omitting that Martinez’s convictions were overturned on appeal, and that Martinez was not shown anywhere near cocaine in the mentioned drug-trafficking documentary.

Diaz-Balart clearly wants this race to play out in the 1990s and to serve as a referendum on Martinez’s time as mayor of Hialeah," the report says. "But Hialeah’s voters are the ones who have returned Martinez to office multiple times since his conviction and appeal, and most voters there are familiar with the saga. Where this race will be won or lost is in the non-Cuban-American portions of the district, where attitudes towards Martinez are less hardened but more voters are Democratic. If Martinez can portray Diaz-Balart as out of touch or obsessed with Cuban issues there and fend off Diaz-Balart’s attacks, he has a shot at capitalizing on this district’s increased Democratic registration numbers.

"Martinez has much higher negatives for now, but Diaz-Balart’s will rise as soon as Martinez starts spending. Polls show a very tight race."

Viewers will be able to catch a glimpse of the fun for themselves at 7:30 pm Oct. 15, the same night of the final presidential debate when WFOR-TV/CBS-4 airs a debate between Diaz-Balart and Martinez. The debate will be taped two days earlier.

The other big race: Mario Diaz-Balart vs. Joe Garcia will air at 7 p.m. that same night.

Overall, Cook says the race is tightening because "a worsening economy and a heightened focus on it have only increased voters’ anger and appetite for change....

"In this political environment, long-serving Republicans facing their first real challenges in years have the most to lose. At this point, decade-plus GOP Reps. Lincoln Diaz-Balart, Joe Knollenberg, and Phil English can no longer be considered clear favorites in their bids for reelection."


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Change We Can Believe In"

Barack Obama's Advisers:

James Johnson: CEO of Fannie Mae from 1991 to 1998. Johnson was forced out of Fannie Mae due to questionable loans. Johnson has 5 questionable loans with Countrywide Bank = $7M

Franklin Raines: Took over Fannie Mae from 1999 to 2004. Raines lent billions of dollars in risky mortgages and made $90M at his time with Fannie Mae. Obama chose Raines as his adviser for mortgage and housing policies.

Angelo Mozilo: Bank of America CEO. Sold all his stock in Countrywide Bank right before Bank of America "rescued" Countrywide.

Johnson and Raines both were involved in multiple loans with Countrywide while they drove Fannie and Freddie into the ground.

John McCain on May 25, 2006 warned congress about Fannie and Freddie and told them they were in serious trouble and needed immediate attention. Congress ignored him. Nancy Pelosi, Chris Dodd and Barney Frank all said that the problems with Fannie and Freddie were being exaggerated by McCain and Fannie and Freddie were doing fine.

Some interesting information about Obama:

At the beginning of Obama's campaign he said that he would end the war in 16 months and now he says that "the pace of the war would be dictated by the safety and security of the troops and the means to maintain stability".

Since the beginning of his career he has been a supporter of gun restrictions. Then after the courts struck down the Washington DC handgun ban, he suddenly changed his position and said that "the second amendment was an individual right".

In October of last year, Obama stopped wearing his American flag lapel pin because it was an "empty substitute for patriotism". He now wears his pin again.

On 3/18/08 Obama said he could not denounce Reverend Wright because he is "like family". A few months later Obama decided to denounce the Reverend.

On 4/28/08 Obama said he would go along with Senator McCain and use public financing for his campaign. A few months later Obama decided to use private financing instead.

On 6/4/08 Obama said that Jerusalem should not be divided and it shall remain the capitol of Israel. Less than 24 hours later Obama changed his mind and said "Well, obviously it's going to be up to the parties to negotiate a range of these issues and Jerusalem will be part of those negotiations. My belief is that, as a practical matter, it would be very difficult to execute".

Back in June Obama backed the new Phiser Bill, which exempts telecommunication companies from lawsuit wire tapping cases. He was against this in the primaries.

On 7/1/08 Obama said he would expand Bush's funding for religious initiatives. He was against this in the primaries to appease his liberal supporters and now he's for it.

Fortune Magazine July, 2008. Obama said "I think that sometimes during campaigns the rhetoric gets over heated and amplified and politicians are always guilty of that and I don't exempt myself".

"Change We Can Believe In"

The only thing Obama has changed.......is his mind.


I wonder why Diaz-Balart does not want this race to be about how effective he was (or was not) as the Congressman sderving this district fopr the past 20 years?

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