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Poll: Rick Scott leads by 7. Kendrick Meek up 24

Different day. Different poll. Different result.

And so it is with Public Policy Polling, which released a survey at midnight (why then, guys?) that shows Rick Scott leading Bill McCollum 47-40 in the Republican race for governor (a lead that's within the 5.6 percent error margin). Kendrick Meek leads Jeff Greene 51-27 in the Democratic race (a lead that's well outside the error margin)

Meek's lead isn't so much of a surprise, considering the train-wreck nature of Greene's campaign as of late (just think: a vomit-caked yacht, party girls, Mike Tyson, mortgage woes, leaky-roofed gas stations and a Palm Beach billionaire). But the Scott numbers stand out because most polls in the final days have shown McCollum leading. PPP's polls are interactive voice response (IVR) surveys, in which callers are 'interviewed' by a pre-recorded voice and cast their vote/response by pushing numbers on the phone pad. The other surveys were conducted by live callers. Which is better? We'll know more Tuesday. (More here on the whole story of polling this campaign season).

The PPP analysis is intriguing in that it says McCollum leads among seniors, but Scott is ahead with every other type of likely Republican voter (now where have we seen that observation before?). From the analysis:

If Scott does indeed end up as the GOP nominee on Tuesday night it will be because Bill McCollum couldn’t keep up with conservative voters. Scott has a 50-39 lead with them even as he trails McCollum 44-39 with moderates. There is a major divide along age lines between the two candidates with McCollum ahead by 13 points with senior citizens and Scott up by 16 points with everyone else. The older the electorate is on Tuesday the better McCollum’s chances of pulling it out will be.

Whoever emerges as the winner on Tuesday will have a lot of healing to do. Both candidates generate pretty lukewarm feelings with the party base. Scott’s favorability is 46% and McCollum’s is 38%.

The Democratic Senate primary is looking a lot less competitive as it enters the home stretch. Kendrick Meek has taken a broad lead with 51% to Jeff Greene’s 27%. Meek’s 70-9 lead with African Americans is certainly a key component of his success but he’s also up 47-37 with white voters.

Download PPP_Release_FL_8221025[1]

Comments

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Sam Can

Just goes to show that polls are all BS and reflect the politics of the pollster. I will vote for anyone except that corrupt Kendrick Meek.

whasup

This polling outfit is a Democratic party affiliate of leftist activists.

They desperately want Scott to win the Republican primary so they can trounce the crook in November.

The press ought to know better, and probably does, but they know they'll have more fun and make more money with Scott in the fall race.

Saint Petersblog

How wrong will St. Pete Times-Miami Herald polling turn out to be?

http://bit.ly/cIq1WF

Bloggy Bayou

Republican Party Of Florida: Why The Kid Glove Treatment Of Charlie Crist?

http://www.practicalstate.com/?p=2068

and

Drunk Opossums and Florida Politics

http://www.practicalstate.com/?p=2032

And

Elvis Was A Jew: I Just Got Robo-called by Mike Huckabee in Support of McCollum

http://www.practicalstate.com/?p=2055

Cheers

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