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Mason-Dixon poll: Rubio 40, Crist 28, Meek 23

Mason Dixon: Republican Marco Rubio has increased his lead over independent Charlie Crist in the race for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, as Democrat Kendrick Meek is increasing his support among Democratic voters.

Statewide, Rubio is now supported by 40% of likely voters (up from 38%), while Crist is backed by 28% (down from 33%) and 23% are for Meek (up from 18%).

Since the primary, there have been some significant shifts in voter support, exclusively to the detriment of Crist.  In August, Crist led Meek by 45%-36% among Democrats, but now Meek has moved ahead and holds a 44%-37% advantage with Democratic voters since becoming the party’s official nominee.

Additionally, Crist’s 44%-31% margin over Rubio among independents has now flipped to a 38%-27% lead for the Republican.  Meek has also increased his strength with independents from 13% to 20%. 

Crist’s support has now dropped 10-points since May, while Rubio and Meek have each made gains.  In essence, Crist is bleeding Democrats to Meek and independents to both Meek and Rubio.  It is also noteworthy that Crist’s statewide support has fallen below the 30% threshold, leaving him far short of the minimum required to win a three-way race under the most perfect circumstances (34%).

Full analysis here: Download FL910PollPart3