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Why Rick Scott isn't that important in 2012

Florida Republicans are circulating this column in Roll Call from political scientist Stu Rothenberg, who writes there is no evidence of a presidential candidate losing a state because of an unpopular governor.

"I don’t know who will carry the Sunshine State in the 2012 election," Rothenberg writes. "But to argue that the Florida governor will cost the Republicans the state in 2012 is to argue that Scott will be more important than the presidential candidates, the issues and all of the media coverage surrounding the contest. If you believe that, you don’t understand campaigns and elections."

Rothenberg column was a response to a recent Public Policy Polling survey that indicated Scott could be a problem for the next Republican presidential candidate. Rothenberg says results from the specific question ("Have Rick Scott’s actions as governor made it more or less likely that you'll vote for a Republican for president next year, or has it not made a difference?") were probably a metter measure of Scott's job performance.

"Take a wild guess which voters are most likely to agree that Scott’s actions make them less likely to vote for the Republican nominee for president," Rothenberg wrote. "Of course, it’s self-identified Democrats — who aren’t going to vote Republican in 2012 anyway. (Oddly, 17 percent of self-identified Democrats in the survey said that Scott’s actions made them more likely to vote Republican in the next presidential election.)"

Comments

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tom

IF you don't think THAT'S TRUE WAIT TILL THE NEXT ELECTION. WITH ALL THE LIE'S AND MISINFORMATION THE REPUBS ARE PUTTING OUT THERE IT WON'T HELP THEM AT ALL. THEIR ON THEIR WAY OUT THEY JUST REFUSE TO BELIEVE IT. LET'S GET TO WORK AND FIRE MORE PEOPLE. UNEMPLOYMENT IS 13% IN MIAMI, COMON SCOTT YOU CAN DO BETTER THAN THAT. LET'S GET TO WORK.

Tally Folly

HORSECRAP
Scott has taken the mask off the ugly face of the RPOF.
Floridians should be alarmed at the monopoly of this self-serving party over our State's politics.

lmmd

what Stu Rothenberg doesn't seem to understand is that it's not just about scott although much of the ire is focused on him rather than the legislature. People are getting angrier and angrier everyday at the actions of the legislature and scott. And that is where stu is off - because he doesn't seem to understand that you hit people's pocketbooks the way scott and the legislature have, they'll vote you and your party out.

Soothsayer

Thank you, Mr. Bender, for Getting It as opposed to flocking with the Tallahassee Parrots known as the Press Gaggle. They all write the same story with the same quotes from the same tired old sources who'll give the most flamboyant or inflammatory quotes regardless of its accuracy. Anyone who thinks that the negatives of ANY Governor has much of an impact on a Presidential race is too naive to vote. Any journalist who prints it is to stupid to write. Thanks again for writing...

michael wind

miami dade is the epicenter of public corruption,the people who are responsible to keep it fair are not doing the job,just making speeches and trilblazing into dreamworld..

Tom

Well, I'll be voting Democrat the next election and it's all because of Scott.

Shelley

I did vote Republican in the last presidential election, but there's fat chance of that now. If there is even a whiff of Tea Party support for a candidate, I will do everything I can to help campaign against that person. I can thank the Governor who cares nothing for the working people of Florida for opening my eyes.

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