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PPP: Romney up by 8% over Gingrich in Florida

From Public Policy Polling:

PPP finds the same thing in its newest Florida poll that all surveys of the state have found in the last few days: strong movement away from Newt Gingrich and toward Mitt Romney.  Romney now leads with 40% to 32% for Gingrich, 15% for Rick Santorum, and 9% for Ron Paul. Romney has gained 7 points and Gingrich has dropped by 6 since our last poll, which was conducted Sunday and Monday.

It's clear that the negative attacks on Gingrich have been the major difference maker over the last week. His net favorability has declined 13 points from +23 (57/34) to only +10 (50/40) in just five days. Romney has pretty much stayed in place. At the beginning of the week he was at +31 (61/30) and now he's at +33 (64/31).

Santorum is actually the most well liked candidate among Florida voters with 65% seeing him favorably to 24% with a negative opinion.  In Iowa Santorum's persistently high favorability ratings were a precursor to his late surge.  But as popular as he is, he's only gone from 13% to 15% support in the last week.  It seems unlikely that he'll be able to break into the top two.

The backbone of Romney's support in Florida is senior citizens.  He's getting 50% of their voters with Gingrich at only 28%. Romney also appears to have a pretty good sized lead in the bank. Among those who have already voted he's at 45% to 35% for Gingrich.

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Lynn Otting

Independents will not vote for someone who made millions at the expense of bankrupting and closing small town manufacturing companies. It may not be an issue to Republicans in Florida, but electability should be the number one issue. These polls can not possibly reflect the views of Americans who are frustrated with not having a job and the ones who are angry with having no extra money if they do. Romney is exactly who O'bama wants to run against. He is the perfect candidate for his tax the elite one percent campaign. Hispanics will vote for President O'bama because he will be able to expose the Romney who will say and do anything for a vote even if he doesn't really believe in it. Perhaps the RNC should worry about losing some of those dedicated bible belt southern states that will go blue in November. As sad or mean as it may seem, half of the evangelical conservatives will not vote or will vote for O'bama, the lesser of the two evils.

Dave Longdale

The polls are about as made up as the daily news.

Osama Obama Biden (Bi)n La(den)
One coincidence? Two coincidences?
Mathematically the odds are in the billions for this being more than a simple coincidence.

A military coup d'etat began in 2008 with the introduction of Sarah Palin as John McCain’s running mate.

Obama is not the president, he’s the acting president. He disappeared for 2 weeks after his election win only to reappear looking exhausted sitting next to John McCain, with a bad poker face, for a press photo shoot. Obama is now a Pentagon puppet. Who did you think writes his teleprompter? Why do you think all the CEOs who ran in the last midterm didn't get elected?

Here’s what Obama, Osama, Biden, Bin Laden, the FBI’s Most Wanted Terrorists, and Sarah Palin had to do with the last election and the military’s overthrow of our government.


Yvonne Jones

I wish you Floridians would get this right for the sake of the REST of the country!!



Yvonne Jones

Thanks for NOTHING Florida!

The problem with Florida is that there are too many Moderate/Liberal New Yorker transplants.

Now the rest of us will have to work harder to fix this mess!

romney is the WEAKEST candidate of them ALL!

Shallow, wishy, washy....empty suit and author of obamacare!!

And, 70% of the Republican party DO NOT WANT HIM!

Thanks "establishment" for sending us another MODERATE loser!!

Moderates are LOSERS! THEY ALWAYS LOSE! Dole = LOSER; McCain = LOSER; Bushes = WEAK; romney (obama lite) = LOSER, WEAK, BAD JUDGES!


It is pterty strange that no one (besides the DNC) has taken a similar shot at Romney. But I think it's kind of early for negative ads to make sense. Even the DNC, IMO, is pissing away money by doing so, since the nomination is still a long way off. For the Republican candidates, it's still a crowded enough race that it makes a lot more sense to toot your own horn than to tear down someone else even if you succeed, you don't know that you'll be the one picking up those votes. For that reason I hope that Paul doesn't actually spend money running this ad, at least not at this point in time (possibly after Iowa it would make sense). Thing is, it may be somewhat personal between him and Gingrich. Gingrich came down to Texas to campaign against Paul's re-election in 1996. I expect Paul hasn't forgotten.Ace makes a good point. It ultimately comes down to what compromise(s) we're willing to accept in a candidate, and especially just how much we're willing to sacrifice for electability.@NanG: Paul wants to rail about hypocrisy, then he needs to address his own.'That's not exactly how it works. If Newt's best defense is that Paul is also imperfect, that's not much of a defense (tu quoque is generally pterty weak, even considered a fallacy). Further, while bringing up Paul's earmark habit is an effective way of trolling his supporters they react badly to any suggestion that Paul is less than perfect it's just not a very damaging accusation to the general public. You could also accuse Paul of flip-flopping on immigration and the death penalty over the course of his career. A long time ago, 1970s I think, he supported the death penalty; now he doesn't. In the 1980s he was pro-illegal-immigration (with caveats); now he isn't. Thing is though, he can give pterty good explanations of why he changed his mind.Newt, of course, can also offer some explanations of his change of positions. It comes down to credibility: do I think that he actually re-thought things, or do I think that he's taking whatever stands he thinks will help him win? And what does that tell me about what he'll do if elected?My dislike of Gingrich is probably almost as intense as Curt's loathing for Paul, so of course I don't believe him. But obviously a lot of people do.Reply

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