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Romney leads Gingrich in Florida 38-29 in new Quinnipiac poll

From Quinnipiac:

Just four days before the nation’s first big-state presidential primary,former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney opens up a 38 – 29 percent lead over former House Speaker Newt Gingrich among Republican likely voters in Florida, according to a Quinnipiac University poll taken Wednesday and released today.  Only 6 percent are undecided, but 32 percent say they might change their mind by Tuesday. 

This compares to results of a January 25 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Romney with 36 percent of likely primary voters to Gingrich’s 34 percent.  Wednesday’s survey showed Gingrich ahead 40 – 34 percent among voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary.

In today’s survey, men back Romney 36 – 29 percent, a shift from January 25, when men backed Gingrich 37 – 33 percent.  Romney leads 40 – 30 percent among women, virtually unchanged. 

Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul has 14 percent of likely primary voters today, with 12 percent for former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum.

Romney gets a 61 – 28 percent favorability rating from likely primary voters, compared to 50 – 38 percent favorable for Gingrich, 53 – 19 percent favorable for Santorum and a negative 35 – 42 percent for Paul.

“Speaker Newt Gingrich’s momentum from his South Carolina victory appears to have stalled and Gov. Mitt Romney seems to be pulling away in Florida,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Romney also has a better favorability rating from likely primary voters, which supports his lead in the horse race.  Of course, with four days before Election Day, there is time for another reversal.  Three in 10 voters say they might change their mind.”

“With the debates now over, Gingrich will need some other way to reverse the tide that appears to be going against him,” Brown added.

From January 24 – 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 580 Republican likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. 

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. 

For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

Comments

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Juan Mart

What a god awful poll. 38-29 and 32 percent might change their mind before tuesday. Wouldn't that make them undecided??

Mark

Man I don't know about you guys. But I am picking who can go up against Obama in a debate. IMO they all can. But I want to see a fight! I mean down and dirty kick Obama's ass kind of fight. I think Gingrich with his background would stomp all over Obama's ass. And I think they know it. Romney doesn't have any damm backbone at all I am sorry. Yeah Romney did ok in last nights debate. But was that because Newt had an off night or because Romney was on top of his game? Either way if that is all Romney's got...sorry not enough to go against Obama IMO

Mark

Not only that I think if Romney wins it will be the same as in 2008 Obama vs McCain. I don't see any difference. THis election is to important. Please don't mess it up again and give Obama 4 more years

James

Unless you are in the top 1%, you would need to be crazy or brain dead to vote for any Republican (maybe with the exception of Paul).

Tom Degan

Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum....

Or as I like to refer to them....

"The Committee to Reelect President Obama"

It matters little at this stage who gets the nomination. It's a fairly safe assumption to say that the election of 2012 is essentially over. Are Romney and Gingrich secretly working for Barack Obama's campaign? That would seem to be the case given their behavior in recent days. They've done so much damage to one another (and their party) that his reelection in November is almost written in the stars.

http://www.tomdegan.blogspot.com

Tom Degan

Arthro2

Funny stuff. Romney wiped the floor with Gingrich last night and wll do the same with Obama. The Obama people are justifiably scared of Romney because they know he will trounce Obama.

Ace

Romney is the best chance to beat Obama. Gingrich has too many flaws and he says another stupid thing almost daily. You really have to wonder with Rubio and so many other R's not supporting Gingrich...Romney clearly beat Gingrich in the debate Thursday night.

jakesd68

Newt is done.

Moon colony? Really?

Typical Washington DC insider promising everything to everyone.

He needs to spend some time outside of Washington, although I'm sure he'll end up as a Lobbyist or in a "Think Tank".

LFOD

There is a reason why the Obama campaign has been preparing for Mitt Romney from day 1. It's because they understand Romney will be the toughest candidate to beat.

Romney has the widest appeal to voters because of women and independents, something Gingrich greatly lacks!

dane

~Mormonism Not Christian

Mormonism [Church of Latter Day Saints] is not Christian is because it denies the doctrines
of Christianity. Mormonism denies that there is only one God, Jesus is God in flesh,
forgiveness of sins is by grace, Jesus rose from the dead physically.
God, One of Many Gods, is An Exalted Man, Who is Married with Many Wives
Mormonism teaches that God is a an exalted man, that he used to be a man on another
planet and he is only one of countless gods and that God is married and he brought one
of his wives to this world and produces spirit children who then inhabit human bodies at birth.
God Had Sex with Mary
Mormons say God had sex with Mary and produced Jesus! According to Mormonism there
was no virgin birth. "The Father came down from heaven...and begat the Savior of the World;
for He is the Only Begotten of the Father which could not have been if the Father did not
actually beget him in person...The birth of the Saviour was as natural as are the births of
our children; it was the result of natural action. He partook of flesh and blood." (Brigham
Young, Journal Of Discourses, Vol. 1 page 238 and8:115)
Man Can Become God
Mormons believe that man can become God! "The Lord created you and me for the purpose
of becoming Gods like Himself." Brigham Young (Journal Of Discourses 3:93).
Jesus Was A Polygamist
The reason people "persecuted Jesus Christ, was because he had so many wives; there were
Elizabeth and Mary, and a host of others." [Journal of Discourses, Vol 1. ppl 345-346] "The
Scripture says the Lord, came walking in the Temple, with HIS TRAIN; I do not know who they
were, unless his wives and children." Brigham Young [Journal of Discourses,Vol.13.pg309]
Jesus and Satan Are Spirit Brothers
Mormons believe that Jesus and Satan are spirit brothers. [Journal of Discourses, 93:21]
Salvation through Joseph Smith
"No man or woman in this dispensation will ever enter into the celestial kingdom of God
without the consent of Joseph Smith...every man and woman must have the
certificate of Joseph Smith." [Brigham Young, Journal of Discourses, vol. 7, p.289-91]
The Bible Is Not Infallible and Is Not Reliable
Mormons teach that the Bible has many errors and is unreliable and was corrupted in
translation and it is not infallible.They believe their Book of Mormon is God's Word. It is
“the most correct of any book on earth and the keystone of our religion." Joseph Smith
Polygamy Marriages in Heaven
Mormon’s believe that you can be married to many wives in Heaven.
Baptism for the Dead
Mormon's baptize people in water on behalf of dead people for the forgiveness of their sins.
Mormon's Holy Underwear
Mormons have a Temple Ceremony where the person is given "Mormon
Underwear" that is to protect them against the Evil One.

Denny Wood

It is too bad that Romney was able to duck the Cayman Islands Banking History issue. Both Newt and the Moderator let it slide.

Readers, looking for that history can go to google and read the articles that came out just before the S. Carolina vote.

For some reason, it is not being covered in depth by the Florida Media.

My perception is that Romney got off too easy in the last debate. I also think that Romney is "slick" and will get out of Florida before the whole Cayman Island Banking is covered in full depth. When you bank with drug smugglers and tax cheats, the perception is quite clear.

Denny Wood

http://www.politifact.com/florida/statements/2012/jan/23/afscme/was-mitt-romney-director-company-charged-medicare-/

This link is a must read article.

The more we read about this Romney guy, he appears to be much like Scott. Both worked and profited from companies ripping off the Federal Government and escaping prosecution.

Our daily newspapers are really dropping the ball.

Shalom Aleichem

Once upon a time…there were three little conservatives…at least that’s what they said
The first said of amnesty for illegals and not building the wall…let’s do that instead
Of stopping the flow of illegals who are 30 percent of inmates in the federal pen
Oh and taking 1.6 mil from Freddie and Fannie…yes I did it and I’d do it all again
He traded wives like he traded positions and he said…I just have so much to give
I’m Newt and I’m running for president you know—by the way…I’m “conservative”
The second said hey my name is Mitt and I’m telling everyone for the record here
I started Obamacare in Massachusetts and if you don’t like that…I really don’t care
He hugged a tree and said look at me—I embrace Al Gore’s global warming sham
And the third said yes I am Rick Santorum and a true conservative is what I am
When the voters looked at the first two’s cooked books they went against decorum
They voted for the one Demwits and media hate and they nominated…Santorum !!!


jakesd68

Poor Newt. Loses debate and blames the crowd. Then claims it was most dishonest debate in history.

Yet when Rubio and Mel Martinez called Gingrich to stop running a false and misleading ad, he did.

Newt, time to get off the Government gravy train for the first time in 30 years. (and yes, Lobbying for Freddie Mac is still paid for by taxpayers).

oracle


Mitt made a record five dishonest statements in the last debate. Some covered by MSNBC Hardball included having a blind trust that is not so blind, claiming to have always voted for Republicans but choosing liberal Democrat Tsongas over the Republican in 1992...

The dishonesty and sleazy man that everyone clearly saw for themselves on CNN was when host Wolf Blitzer asked about the radio ad APPROVED by Romney that claimed "Gingrich thinks Spanish is a ghetto language", a patently false claim.

One thing that Mitt Romney and too many of his supporters (including sycophants at Nat Review, Drudge and old guard GOP losers) have shown America is that they will lie through their teeth to win.

JJ

Well thanks Republicans... You confirmed what we already know... You HATE youHATe You hate. You even hate each other.

Reme Diaz

Mitt Romney had shown that he is more reliable, capable and pragmatic than Newt Gingrich. As a successful businessman he will perform well and delegate to trained individuals that will be able to do a good job. Enough is enough! We have to replace incompetent politicians with brilliant executives.

Jeff Stone

f your polls, you bumbling idiots, with romney and his voodoo religion cult and foreign bank accounts...obama will bury romney in nov if he wins fl, newt is your only hope

DLH

Florida, we feel for the "smooth" talker 4 years ago and I can see we haven't learned a thing!

Personally I don't care whose the "prettiest" candidate or who speaks the most eloquent. I only care about the issues and who had the backbone to stand up to BOTH sides in Washington!!

There has to be a reason the right is going after Newt so hard. My gut tells me they can't buy him. Like it or not, they all want to be in control - BOTH PARTIES. And it's about time we tell the news media and Washington - WE THE PEOPLE are in charge!

No matter who you vote for, just do your homework and don't let the media or washington insiders make up your mind.

DLH

Sorry - typing too fast i guess...

meant to say;

Florida, we FELL for the "smooth" talker 4 years ago and I can see we haven't learned a thing!

Carlos Martinez

Please Florida, vote for Newt Gingrich. Mitt Romney has a history of liberal policies.

clyde echols

I vote for Rick Santorum is a vote for Newt Romney. Newt Gingrich is the candidate that can articulate the vision and take back the white house.

Nick Diaz

Mitt Romney kept lying all night in last night's debate. I can't believe he would blatantly lie about his campaign ad that he posted all over spanish stations. If the cubans and tea party are right, they would choose Newt. Newt has proven himself, and Romney has also, but as a COMMUNIST! Newt is the real conservative here. ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT!!

Jose Martinez

Well, this is awful if floridians want Romney. IF THEY WANT ANOTHER GOVERNMENT MANDATE FOR HEALTH CARE, VOTE FOR ROMNEY!!!! HE WILL RAISE OUR TAXES!!!!

Newt will save this country and will defeat the liberal attack machine. Then, he will bring a new era of American prosperity and economic growth.

Brad Tripp

Why would any conservative vote for or endorse Barack Romney?

Romney talks like a conservative, but when you examine his record as Massachusetts governor, you'll discover he's as liberal as Ted Kennedy was.

During recent debates, Romney bragged of his ability to work with democratic legislators to acheive significant accomplishments. What were Governor Romney's achievements?

1. RomneyCare = ObamaCare
2. The Massachusetts Gun Ban
3. Excessive Massachusetts fee/tax increases

We need someone we can trust. May I suggest Dr Ron Paul?

Brad Tripp

Because of RON PAUL's views on foreign policy, he has more support from veterans and active military personnel than any other candidate.

Furthermore, he's the only candidate whose stance on issues doesn't change depending on his audience.

I don't agree with him on everything, but he's the best candidate by far to be leading our nation.

President Downgrade

Mitt Romney involved in Medicare Fraud....In 1990 Bain Capital purchased the controlling interest in Damon Corp. a Medical Testing Company…. Mitt Romney joined the Board of Damon Corp. to help manage the Company…… two whistle blowers tipped off the government and Medicare Fraud Charges were brought against Damon Corp. In 1996 Damon Corp Plead Guilty to Frauding Medicare, they were fined $35,273,141.00 as a criminal fine in addition to $83,726,859.00 to resolve related liabilities.. Total Fines 119 Million Dollars.

This represented a recovery of $3 for every $1 that they Stole from Federal and State Healthcare Programs…The U.S. Attorney who prosecuted the case is quoted as saying “A case pure and simple of Corporate Greed Run Amok”. The Company went Bankrupt in 2002, thousands of jobs were lost. Bain walk away with a Profit of 12 Million Dollars. Companies close all the time, what’s at stake are the crimes, not job losses.

At one point Romney denied knowledge of the crimes and later yes he flip flopped to say he was aware and on top of the problem. Serial flip flopper, sure and then some. This story is important because the Obamabots have instant access to all medicare and justice records as well the Obama administration has been playing fast and loose with facts that help Obama. Feds say Romney did not help uncover the investigation and that Corning later bought the company and cleaned up the mess. Dems used medicare crimes (Columbia HCA) against in the Florida election against Rick Scott for Governor…….it was ugly but it will be small in comparison to 2012.

rta

Truth Squad: Did Gingrich, Romney invest in Fannie, Freddie?
FANNIE MAE

January 27, 2012|By the CNN Wire Staff

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich both accused each other of having financial interests in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac during the Republican debate Thursday night.

The statements: "We discovered, to our shock, Governor Romney owns shares of both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Governor Romney made $1 million off of selling some of that. Governor Romney has an investment in Goldman Sachs, which is, today, foreclosing on Floridians." -- Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich

"First of all, my investments are not made by me. My investments, for the last 10 years, have been in a blind trust, managed by a trustee. Secondly, the investments that they have made, we learned about this as we made our financial disclosure, have been in mutual funds and bonds. I don't own stock in either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. There are bonds that the investor has held through mutual funds. And, Mr. Speaker, I know that sounds like an enormous revelation, but have you checked your own investments? You also have investments through mutual funds that also invest in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac." -- Former Gov. Mitt Romney

The facts:

Romney's blind trust holds Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-backed housing lenders, according to his public financial disclosure report filed last August with the Federal Election Commission. The financial holdings that are held in a blind trust are overseen by a trustee and are not known to Romney. The same report cites holdings that are not in his blind trust -- including a mutual fund that contains Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The report does not say how much money he has in them. It says only that the mutual fund holding represented between $250,001 and $500,000, which makes up a small portion of Romney's holdings. It was not clear where Gingrich got his claim that Romney had made $1 million by "selling some of that."

According to Gingrich's disclosure report, he had holdings in four mutual funds that included Fannie Mae and other financial institutions that were part of the 2008 financial meltdown.


First of all, my investments are not made by me. My investments, for the last 10 years, have been in a blind trust, managed by a trustee. Secondly, the investments that they have made, we learned about this as we made our financial disclosure, have been in mutual funds and bonds. I don't own stock in either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. There are bonds that the investor has held through mutual funds. And, Mr. Speaker, I know that sounds like an enormous revelation, but have you checked your own investments? You also have investments through mutual funds that also invest in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac." -- Former Gov. Mitt Romney
The facts:

Romney's blind trust holds Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-backed housing lenders, according to his public financial disclosure report filed last August with the Federal Election Commission. The financial holdings that are held in a blind trust are overseen by a trustee and are not known to Romney. The same report cites holdings that are not in his blind trust -- including a mutual fund that contains Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The report does not say how much money he has in them. It says only that the mutual fund holding represented between $250,001 and $500,000, which makes up a small portion of Romney's holdings. It was not clear where Gingrich got his claim that Romney had made $1 million by "selling some of that."

According to Gingrich's disclosure report, he had holdings in four mutual funds that included Fannie Mae and other financial institutions that were part of the 2008 financial meltdown.

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