Though his 9-point lead looks impressive, President Obama's apparent edge over Republian Mitt Romney has a smaller -- yet more significant figure -- to pay attention to in the latest poll: 6 percentage points.
That's the shift in Obama's favor in a month between two Quinnipiac University polls. Other polls are picking up the same momentum.
Good for Obama. Bad for Romney.
Remember this about polling: It ain''t just the topline, it's the trend.
But the toplines, too, are troubling for Romney. Obama's 9-point lead is well outside the 2.8% error margin for the poll.
President Barack Obama is over the magic 50 percent mark and tops Gov. Mitt Romney among likely voters by 9 to 12 percentage points in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to a Quinnipiac University/ CBS News/New York Times Swing State Poll released today.
Voters in each state see President Obama as better than Gov. Romney to handle the economy, health care, Medicare, national security, an international crisis and immigration. Romney ties or inches ahead of the president on handling the budget deficit. Matching Obama against Romney in each of these key states – no one has won the White House since 1960 without taking at least two of them – shows:
Florida: Obama leads Romney 53 – 44 percent, compared to 49 – 46 percent August 23;
Ohio: Obama over Romney 53 – 43 percent, compared to 50 – 44 percent August 23;
Pennsylvania: Obama tops Romney 54 – 42 percent, unchanged from 53 – 42 percent
For the wonks:
DRI % breakdown in this poll: 35-27-33.
DRI % breakdown in 08 exits: 37-34-29.
Republicans will complain the poll undersamples Republicans. That argument, in the face of numerous polls showing no real gains for Romney in quite some time, is getting tougher to make for the Romney camp, which says it has a turnout machine. But so do Dems, who registered more than 200,000 new voters this election season compared to 44,000 registered by the GOP in Florida.