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ARG FL poll: Romney 49- Obama 46

From American Research Group, which conducts so-called "robo-polls." It found President Obama, once ahead of Republican Mitt Romney, falling behind 46-49 percent. A Miami Herald survey yesterday found the same thing, but reported a bigger, 7-point lead for Romney. But The Herald poll and this survey have one striking similarity: Each shows an exact, 8-point shift in Romney's favor and away from Obama since September. As we've said before: It ain't the topline, it's the trend. But now the trend is bad for Obama (although a Marist Poll found the race essentially unchanged).

Florida
  Obama Romney Other Undecided

Likely voters 46% 49% 1% 4%

Democrats (40%) 80% 14% 1% 5%
Republicans (37%) 9% 88% - 3%
Independents (23%) 45% 49% 2% 4%

Men (48%) 42% 53% 2% 3%
Women (52%) 49% 46% - 5%

18 to 49 (48%) 50% 45% 1% 4%
50 and older (52%) 42% 54% 1% 3%

White (73%) 39% 56% 1% 4%
African American (9%) 91% 5% - 4%

Sep 20-22 50% 45% 1% 4%

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