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Pre-Benghazi hearing poll: Hillary Clinton could beat Rubio, Jeb in FL

Missed this last week from Democratically aligned Public Policy Polling, but since Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Hillary Clinton had a brief exchange at today's Senate hearing over Benghazi (igniting reporter speculation about 2016), here it is:

Hillary Clinton could beat Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush on their home turf in a presidential contest, according to PPP’s latest poll.

In a hypothetical 2016 match-up, Clinton leads Rubio by 4 points, 50% to 46%, and she beats Bush by 5 points, 49% to 44%. Both of these modest leads are within the poll’s margin of error. The main reason Clinton leads both candidates is her strong appeal among moderates, who favor her 63% to 29% over Bush and 63% to 32% over Rubio.

Clinton’s +11 favorability rating (52/41) is actually lower than Rubio’s +13 job approval (49/36) and Bush’s +16 favorability rating (51/35). Despite their popularity at home, Florida voters don’t support Rubio or Bush running for president in the next election—they oppose the idea 53% to 31% for Bush and 49% to 38% for Rubio.

In a nine-way contest, Clinton is the favorite for a whopping 65% of Democratic primary voters, followed by Joe Biden (15%), Andrew Cuomo (4%), Elizabeth Warren (4%), Deval Patrick (1%) and Mark Warner (1%). 88% have a favorable opinion of Clinton. If Clinton and Biden decide not to run, Cuomo would lead the pack with 22% support, but 48% of Democrats are not sure or would support different candidates.

“Hillary Clinton would be a force to contend with in the 2016 presidential election,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “She would clear the Democratic primary field and be tough to beat in the general election.”

In a nine-way contest, 31% of Florida GOP primary voters would choose Rubio to run for president to 26% for Bush and 11% for Huckabee. Nobody else gets above single digits.

More here


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Post Bengazi poll? The hearing was today. The poll was taken last week. Talk about a misleading headline.


Rubio looked like a naive buffoon next to Hillary in the hearings. Certainly not a future president or even a competent senator.

A. Hick

It is certainly reassuring to know that Jeb would lose Florida in a Presidential race, however don't count on these numbers. Also, don't count on a fair election. The GOP is going to try to rig the electoral count in states like PA, OH, MI, VA, and perhaps FL (if poll numbers like these continue) to award electors by Congressional district. That way, Hillary could win a clear majority in every one of these states, but Jeb could wind up with 60-70 percent of the electors.

Another Bush means another stolen election. And they are game enough to pursue it.


If you ask the poll question with the marijuana prohibition aspect of Hillary Clinton, she will lose.

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