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Outlier or trend-start? UNF poll shows Rick Scott w/in 4 of Charlie Crist

@MarcACaputo

Polls have pretty consistently shown Gov. Rick Scott trailing Gov. Charlie Crist by about double digits. Liberal-leaning Public Policy Polling showed Crist up by 12 percentage points recently and a Republican source shared poll results with us indicating Crist was up by 10 (46-36%).

Now comes the University of North Florida showing Crist leading Scott by just 4 points, 44-40. And, despite nearly every other poll, UNF also finds more voters approve of Scott than disapprove.

Maybe it's right. Maybe it's an outlier.

Last year's UNF presidential polls appeared more accurate in hindsight than ours (we showed Romney beating Obama; he lost in FL). But since folks often point out PPP's liberal leanings, turnabout is fair play.

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