« Should mentally disabled be executed? Rick Scott won't say after Supreme Court ruling | Main | North Miami councilman creates petition calling for end to 'corruption' »

SurveyUSA/WFLA poll: Rick Scott leads Charlie Crist 44-40 percent

@MarcACaputo

After a $10 million ad blitz in just over two months, Gov. Rick Scott has started to pull ahead of Democrat Charlie Crist in a new poll that shows the Republican incumbent leading 42-40 percent.

The poll, conducted by SurveyUSA for Tampa's WFLA NBC affiliate, indicates that Scott isn't surging as much as he's dragging down Crist.

Scott's overall support numbers have increased by a statistically insignificant 1 percentage point since WFLA's first poll in mid April . But in that time, Crist's numbers have dropped by 6 points.

WFLA hasn't posted its crosstabs (update, it did) showing where Crist is losing support, but it's likely among Republicans and conservative independents.

The fact that Scott is ahead (actually his lead is well within the error margin) shouldn't be a surprise. We've been expecting this for months.

The better-funded Scott has been advertising away, and Crist hasn't had the money to start responding. Expect Crist to go up sometime in June, perhaps early July at the latest. The Democratic Governors Association might help out.

A sign if Crist is hurt: If he's spending a big chunk of his money in his homebase of Tampa Bay, where Scott has spent a plurality of his ad money, 29 percent.  Scott's second-biggest advertising market, Orlando, accounts for 21 percent of his spending. Together, the governor has spent half of his money in those two I-4 corridor markets, the swing area of the swing state.

"Among the areas showing change among voter sentiments is Central Florida, which was at one point split 46-38 for Crist. Now Scott leads 47-34," WFLA reported. More here.

Republicans are also pointing out that, in a recent survey from liberal-leaning Public Policy Polling, 89 percent of Florida Democrats say a primary debate between Crist and former state Sen. Nan Rich is important. Crist has been ducking a debate with Rich, who trails him badly in the polls. How badly? Well, the shadowy Progressive Choice group won't release those numbers from the survey.

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Highly paid Republican operative

See what $100,000,000 will do to those Dems!

I told you.

ed jenkins

The readers have continuously called for an end of this printing of opinion survey press releases and calling them news when the readers to not consider the current opinion of a small number of people who may not even be telling the truth to be news. The readers have asked for the removal of article writers who continue to fill their hometown paper with this nonsense out of laziness rather than report news.

davefe

The polls just had Crist ahead 10 points. So Scott thinks spending money is going to change peoples minds about him. Actually the anger towards Scott and the GOP here intensified this past week. Now we have another embarrassment in this state over voter redistricting and Republicans want to seal the evidence. Folk's you can not make this stuff up.

LOLCaputo

Still waiting for some kind of sign that @marcacaputo is a serious political journalist.

shewolf884

Same here, waiting for someone to convince me that @marcacaputo is a political journalist.

ed jenkins

The readers continue to express their disgust for this lazy article writer who reprints opinion surveys in his column and calls it a news story. The Herald owners should take note and end this practice before there are no subscribers left.

MarvinM

I'm not going to take too much stock in polls taken before the Primary. I think Crist is smart to let Scott spend a chunk of his War Chest now, still pretty early on.

I’m only up to #28 on my Very Long List of Egregious Rick Scott Actions (not including Medicare Fraud).

When the ads reminding (or informing) people about all those things and more hit the airwaves and the mailboxes, a lot more people voting this time around will find plenty of good reasons to vote against the guy with the R by his name for the Top Spot (even if they vote Republican in all other races).

Tom S

Why would even a left leaning Democrat vote for Crist? He can't be trusted, he is a turncoat. Would the British have elected Benedict Arnold to dog catcher after he sold out the Americans? Crist was a marginal Governor the 1st time around and is out for nobody but himself.

Lifelong Floridian

This is great news for Charlie Crist and embarrassing for the tea party nut jobs bc Charlie hasn't even spent a dime on ads yet. I hope that "highly paid Republican operative" up top who we all know is some fat unemployed redneck in his trailer that has time to comment on all of Marc Caputo's "news" stories can rub his two brain cells together to realize this is a failure by the Scott campaign. EVERYONE LOOK UP RICK SKELATOR SCOTT PLEADING THE FIFTH 75 TIMES DURING HIS DEPOSITION FOR COMMITTING THE BIGGEST MEDICARE FRAUD IN AMERICAN HISTORY. Rick Scott should be in jail just like any of us would be if we committed his crimes but he used the money he stole from sick and old people to get himself out of facing the consequences and buying the election in 2010. It's time for us to see him for who he is, a crooked thief. It's also time for us to see the author of this article Caputo for what he is, not a journalist but a guy paid by Rick Scott to give Charlie Crist bad press. Wake up people.

Lifelong Floridian

This is great news for Charlie Crist and embarrassing for the tea party nut jobs bc Charlie hasn't even spent a dime on ads yet. I hope that "highly paid Republican operative" up top who we all know is some fat unemployed redneck in his trailer that has time to comment on all of Marc Caputo's "news" stories can rub his two brain cells together to realize this is a failure by the Scott campaign. EVERYONE LOOK UP RICK SKELATOR SCOTT PLEADING THE FIFTH 75 TIMES DURING HIS DEPOSITION FOR COMMITTING THE BIGGEST MEDICARE FRAUD IN AMERICAN HISTORY. Rick Scott should be in jail just like any of us would be if we committed his crimes but he used the money he stole from sick and old people to get himself out of facing the consequences and buying the election in 2010. It's time for us to see him for who he is, a crooked thief. It's also time for us to see the author of this article Caputo for what he is, not a journalist but a guy paid by Rick Scott to give Charlie Crist bad press. Wake up people.

Lifelong Floridian

I just realized that I made a mistake in my previous post when I spoke negatively about the author of this article. Although I am sure he could care less about one negative comment, I apologize to the author for my previous comment because he did not deserve that. I was thinking about another journalist with a similar name when I made my previous comment. The Miami Herald's Marc Caputo is a very well respected journalist and I will be the first to admit that my comments about Caputo were wrong. Although I admittedly made a mistake calling out this author, I did not make any mistakes in calling out Rick Scott. The people of Florida deserve better than a guy like Rick Scott who is clearly trying to buy another election victory with his $100,000,000 war chest.

JJ

WOW PEOPLE, ARE YOU KIDDING ME, SOMEONE WOULD VOTE FOR CHRIST?? RICK SCOTT JUST GOT A SURPLUS FROM CHRIST DEFICITS, CHRIST IS A VERY SHADEY CHARACTER AND BAD MAN, FLORIDA IS PRODUCING JOBS! DONT SCREW IT UP!I AM AMAZED CHRIST HAS EVEN 1 VOTE!

JOAN CABA

If more seniors in Florida would learn to read and cared about this beautiful state they would VOTE NEVER VOTE FOR RICK SCOTT

Richard Paul Dembinsky

I am a very independent voter; and it is true that Charlie Crist has NOT responded to Scott's Claims some of which are very much a critical of Republican Charlie Crist rather than the NEW "Democrat" Charlie Crist.

USE this as YOU best guess on the gubernatorial Race...if NPA Richard Paul Dembinsky does NOT run against incumbent republican Doorthy Hulkill, YOU know Richard's betting on the WELL funded SCOTT to "Buy " a good race car....but should in the last moment internal Richard Polling see the possibility that Charlie Crist could be accepted as a Democrat well Watch candidates in State Senate District 8.

Thanks

The comments to this entry are closed.