More than 100,000 people have voted in the nation’s most-watched congressional swing-district race, and right now the data indicate it’s Democrat Alex Sink’s race to lose.
But not by much.
Aggregate and average out the polls taken in the Pinellas County seat since late January, when absentee ballots were sent out, and Sink edges Republican David Jolly by as little as 0.63 percentage points to almost 4 percentage points, depending on how you slice the data.
Libertarian Lucas Overby pulls at least 6 percent of the vote, perhaps more.
Still, it’s early. There's one week left. Much will happen and change.