September 29, 2010

Kendrick Meek unleashes pro-Bush, pro-Palin, pro-drilling Charlie Crist

So much for moving to the left, guv. Democratic Rep. Kendrick Meek and the Florida Dems want voters to know that newly minted independent Charlie Crist fashioned himself a conservative Republican before he left the party this year. The ad is another indication that Crist looking more and more like political toast (more here and here)

September 26, 2010

Crist's GOP supporters disguised as Democrats

Last I checked, state Sen. Mike Fasano was a Republican. But his political committee backing Gov. Charlie Crist's unorthodox bid for the U.S. Senate, Friends for Freedom and Prosperity, has a new mailing that reads as if it has the Democratic party's best interests at heart.

The sad reality is, our party's nominee for the U.S. Senate can't win the election. And every vote for him moves the Republican, Marco Rubio, closer to victory...It's a difficult decision for Florida Democrats, but our future depends on it.

One side of the mailing features a mock-up of a newspaper's front page with the headline, "Rubio Elected to U.S. Senate.''  The idea is to scare Democrats into voting for Crist.

Here's the other side of the mailing

IMG00040-20100926-0806 (2)

September 25, 2010

Mason-Dixon poll: Rubio 40, Crist 28, Meek 23

Mason Dixon: Republican Marco Rubio has increased his lead over independent Charlie Crist in the race for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, as Democrat Kendrick Meek is increasing his support among Democratic voters.

Statewide, Rubio is now supported by 40% of likely voters (up from 38%), while Crist is backed by 28% (down from 33%) and 23% are for Meek (up from 18%).

Since the primary, there have been some significant shifts in voter support, exclusively to the detriment of Crist.  In August, Crist led Meek by 45%-36% among Democrats, but now Meek has moved ahead and holds a 44%-37% advantage with Democratic voters since becoming the party’s official nominee.

Additionally, Crist’s 44%-31% margin over Rubio among independents has now flipped to a 38%-27% lead for the Republican.  Meek has also increased his strength with independents from 13% to 20%. 

Crist’s support has now dropped 10-points since May, while Rubio and Meek have each made gains.  In essence, Crist is bleeding Democrats to Meek and independents to both Meek and Rubio.  It is also noteworthy that Crist’s statewide support has fallen below the 30% threshold, leaving him far short of the minimum required to win a three-way race under the most perfect circumstances (34%).

Full analysis here: Download FL910PollPart3

September 24, 2010

National Review to Charlie Crist: Strip our name from your ad.

Charlie Crist's decision to include a citation from the Nationa Review in an attack ad on Marco Rubio and Kendrick Meek has the conservative pub pretty annoyed. Editor Rich Lowry said the quote attributed to the National Review was actually a case in which the National Review was quoting the St. Petersburg Times (technically, it was a Miami Herald-generated story in partnership with the Times-Herald Borg, but alas, poor Yorick).

it shouldn’t have surprised me when I saw your recent attack ad on Marco Rubio misleadingly attribute the headline “IRS Investigating Rubio Expenditures” to National Review. A minute of research would reveal that the piece referenced, posted on National Review Online on April 21, 2010, consisted of an attributed quotation from the St. Petersburg Times and a response from the Rubio campaign.

It should have been obvious that the attribution belonged to the Times. Instead, you used the reputation of National Review to attempt to undermine Rubio’s support among conservatives. Your tactic is even more tawdry considering nothing ever came of the Times story, and not even the faintest whiff of wrongdoing has attached itself to Rubio.

More here


Charlie Crist ad redux: now Kendrick Meek is a threat, too

When the polling got tough on Gov. Charlie Crist, Crist got going on U.S. frontrunner Marco Rubio in an an attack ad packed with some pants-on-fire falsehoods.

Now, the newly independent Crist has a new ad that's targeting both Rubio, a Republican, and Democratic Rep. Kendrick Meek. The ad doesn't look (at first blush) to be false. But it sure suggests that Crist is losing Democratic support in the race for Senate. Crist needs to hang on to nearly half of all Democrats and half of all independents if he wants to win. And chances are, more and more Democrats are going to continue to come home to Meek as the partisanship of the election season grinds on.

We'll know more tomorrow when Mason-Dixon releases its poll results on the Senate race. Meantime, here's the (bong?) smoke-filled ad bashing Rubio and Meek.

Crist relents to two more debates

Looks like Florida voters will get more opportunity to size up the main U.S. Senate candidates than we initially thought. Charlie Crist has agreed to participate in two more televised debates with Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Kendrick Meek.

The first one is Oct. 6: ABC News, WFTV-ABC 9 Orlando & WFTS-ABC 28 Tampa and moderated by George Stephanopoulos and two local media panelists.

The next one is the Leadership Florida and Florida Press Association debate Oct. 19 at Nova Southeastern. Questioners include William March of the The Tampa Tribune, Myriam Marquez of the The Miami Herald, and Michael Williams, Political Reporter for WFOR-TV, CBS-Ch. 4 in Miami.  WFOR anchorman, Antonio Mora, will moderate.

Crist and the other already had agreed to the CNN/USF/St. Pete Times debate set for Oct. 24 in Tampa, as well as a Univision debate held last week. Meanwhile, the Crist campaign says it is "seriously considering" an Oct. 15 Fox Affiliates debate and Oct. 26 NBC News debate with David Gregory.


Crist's new one-two punch against Rubio, Meek

With a headline courtesy of a supporter of Democrat Kendrick Meek, here's Charlie Crist's latest ad in the U.S. Senate race. One quick fact check: The ad says Meek steered government contracts toward an "indicted developer" without making it clear that the developer was indicted AFTER the Miami congressman sought federal money for his project. Also, Republican Marco Rubio denies being investigated by the IRS.

Sink a no-show, Meek welcomes Biden

Index Vice President Joe Biden touches down in Hollywood today to raise money for U.S. Senate candidate Kendrick Meek and other Florida Democrats. At a time when some Democrats are wary of appearing too close to the administration -- like gubernatorial candidate Alex Sink, who won't be there and kept her distance from President Obama when he recently visited -- Meek is less cautious.

"I think it's a compliment,'' Meek said yesterday. "I think it's an honor that the vice president would come raise money for my campaign. We're not going to get double-armed distance from the president."

Remember that Meek is in a three-way race against Republican Marco Rubio and Gov. Charlie Crist, so he doesn't need Obama-unfriendly Republican voters to win. In contrast, Sink is in a two-way race against Republican Rick Scott and is dependent on crossover support. Her campaign says she has "events and speaking engagements" in Orlando and Lakeland today.

Biden is slated to address about 500 Democrats at the Westin Diplomat Resort & Spa at 3 p.m. Doors open at noon. The take, expected to be roughly half a million dollars, goes to the Florida Democratic Party.

Before hanging with the Democratic slate -- except Sink -- Biden is slated to raise money in Miami for the Delaware Democrat  who wants to replace him in the Senate, Chris Coons. Why does Coons have to come all the way to Miami to raise money for his campaign against tea party favorite Christine O'Donnell? Because, as Willie Sutton said of robbing banks, "That's where the money is."

September 23, 2010

West releases internal poll showing him beating Klein

The day after Democratic U.S. Rep. Ron Klein released a poll showing him beating Republican Allen West 48-40, West has released his own internal poll today showing that he is in the lead.

West's poll shows that he leads 48-42. And it also shows that West is far ahead among independents -- 52 to 36 -- in a district that is closely split between Democrats and Republicans. It shows West's favorable to unfavorable 39-27 and Klein's favorable to unfavorable 41-38.

Here is a copy of the poll questions:

About 39 percent of poll participants identified themselves as conservative while 21 percent identified themselves as liberal. And 41 percent considered themselves Tea Party supporters while 32 percent opposed the Tea Party.

The poll of 300 voters was conducted by Wilson Research Strategies Sept. 20-22. The poll also shows higher favorables for Democrat Alex Sink than Rick Scott (41 to 33 percent) and higher favorables for Charlie Crist (54) than Marco Rubio (47) and Kendrick Meek(37)  in the U.S. Senate race. (Though the poll memo states that the poll was conducted among statewide voters campaign manager Josh Grodin said that was a typo and the poll was of Congressional district voters in the Broward-Palm Beach district.)

Here's the summary in the internal poll:

"Given the current political climate of the District, Allen West is well-positioned to unseat Ron Klein. Voters are wary of Klein, as demonstrated by his weak image rating and low support for re-election. West, on the other hand, has successfully translated his image advantage into ballot support, and has earned strong leads among the swing groups necessary for victory."