A poll by the New York Times/CBS News/YouGov has Gov. Rick Scott holding a 1 percentage point lead over Charlie Crist, 46 percent to 45 percent.
The poll was conducted the week of Oct. 16-23 with a margin of error of 2 percentage points. Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie was not included in the survey.
Scott had leads of 5, 5 and 4 points in three previous NYT/CBS/YouGov battleground tracking polls. In the most recent survey, the media organizations report the following:
"Rick Scott is running only a point ahead of Democratic challenger Charlie Crist in this latest CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Battleground Tracker. Crist was elected governor of Florida in 2006 as a Republican, but lost in the 2010 Republican senate primary and became a Democrat in 2012. When Crist ran for governor in 2006 against Jim Davis, Crist won whites by 22 percent and split the Hispanic vote. This year, we expect almost the reverse pattern, with Crist losing whites by 18 percent, but making up most or all of the difference among Hispanics and non-whites.
"In 2006, there was a medium-sized gender gap with 7 percent fewer women voting for the Republican Crist than men. We are finding a larger gender gap (almost 10 percent), but now women favor the Democratic Crist by more than men. The outcome of the race is likely to depend on Democrats' ability to turn out their base. Democrats are less enthusiastic about the midterm elections, so this will be a difficult task for the Crist campaign. However, Crist seems to be succeeding among absentee voters.
"When interviewing was conducted last week, 22 percent of all likely voters reported having voting absentee and these voters favored Crist over Scott by 48 percent to 43 percent. In-person early voting opened after the close of our survey."