« Noon update: Birdman opting out? Monday Heat notes; Examining the Wade money quandary | Main | 6 p.m. update: LeBron, Bosh address future; Tidbits, observations from Dolphins OTA practice; UM quarterback talk »

Monday night report: Examining Heat's options in free agency and other looming issues

Here's a summation of looming issues and options for the Heat, with free agency beginning July 1: (Note: The free agent segment of this post is a more in-depth version of my story elsewhere on the Herald's sports home page.)

### The Big Three: As part of their six-year contracts, LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh all have early termination clauses that can be exercised either this summer or next summer.

If they stick to those contracts and eschew free agency, James and Bosh would each make $20.6 million in 2014-15 and $22.1 million in 2015-16. If Wade does not exercise his early termination clause, he would be paid $20.2 million in 2014-15 and $21.7 million in 2015-16.

If all three decide to become free agents this summer and re-sign with the Heat, James and Bosh would be required to take very slight pay cuts next season (to $20 million) --- under terms of the labor agreement --- but would each be eligible to re-sign with the Heat for as many as five years and $115.1 million.

Wade would be eligible to re-sign with the Heat for four years and a maximum of $87.2 million, but he realistically likely wouldn’t command anywhere close to that if he opts out.

If James and Bosh exercise their early termination clauses and join other teams, they would be eligible to sign four-year contracts for as much as $85.5 million.

Wade and Bosh have both said they want to remain with the Heat but have not said whether they will exercise their early termination clauses. Bosh, in fact, has said the Big Three wants to stay together here.

James declined to discuss his future when asked Sunday night.

### Birdman situation: Chris Andersen plans to opt out of his $1.4 million contract for next season and become a free agent, Yahoo! reported today.

### If the Big Three become free agents, here's who’s left under contract: Udonis Haslem has a player option for $4.6 million that he said he plans to exercise, unless the Heat convinces him to take a pay cut in exchange for a multiyear commitment. Norris Cole, at $2.15 million, is the only Heat player who has a guaranteed contract next season without a player option. Justin Hamilton has a non-guaranteed deal for $816,482.

### Heat free agents: Mario Chalmers, Ray Allen, James Jones, Rashard Lewis, Greg Oden, Michael Beasley, Toney Douglas and Shane Battier all have expiring contracts. Battier is retiring.

### Salary cap situation: If the Big Three do not exercise opt-out clauses, then the Heat will be operating above the projected $63.2 million cap and will be limited to signing outside players only to the minimum (topping out at $1.4 million) or with its $3.27 million taxpayer midlevel exception.

The Heat might not even necessarily use the taxpayer midlevel exception in this scenario because it faces an onerous “repeater” luxury tax because it has surpassed the luxury tax threshold at least three of the past four seasons.

But if at least one of the Heat’s Big Three decides to become a free agent this summer, then the Heat would have cap space. That space would immediately evaporate if the player who opts out re-signs with the Heat for a 2014-15 salary in the range of $15 million or more.

The only way the Heat could achieve meaningful cap space to add a high-impact, costly free agent would be if one or more of the Big Three leave or if James, Wade and Bosh all accept large paycuts. In this scenario, the Heat could not exceed the $63.2 million cap except to sign players to the minimum. Miami also would have a $2.7 million “room” salary cap exception in this scenario. 

Pat Riley can never be discounted, but the odds are against the Heat having the space, and the ability within the constraints of the salary cap, to add a fourth high-salary player.

If the Big Three return next season, the likely scenario is that the Heat can augment its roster only through trades, minimum contracts and the $3.2 million exception.

### Available outside unrestricted free agents that would probably be too costly unless one of the Big Three leaves or all three take pay cuts: That list includes Carmelo Anthony, Pau Gasol, Kyle Lowry, Luol Deng, Marcin Gortat, Boris Diaw, Channing Frye, Spencer Hawes, Trevor Ariza and possibly Paul Pierce, Darren Collison, Danny Granger and Jordan Hill.

Nevertheless, Riley always thinks big and the Heat likely will make calls to several of them.

### Available outside unrestricted free agents that would be more affordable:

At point guard, the Heat likely will explore point guard options from a group including Chalmers, Kirk Hinrich, Ramon Sessions, Steve Blake, Devin Harris and Shaun Livington, among others.

At small forward/shooting guard, veteran options who might command no more than the minimum include Shawn Marion, Richard Jefferson, Marvin Williams, Jodie Meeks (162 threes on 40 percent three-point shooting), Caron Butler (Miami tried to sign him before he opted for Oklahoma City), Rodney Stuckey, Vince Carter, Anthony Tolliver and Al Harrington.

Because of amnesty rules, the Heat this summer cannot sign free agent Mike Miller, who had two years left on his contract when Miami parted ways with him last summer.

But the Heat also knows it needs to add youth. Younger wing options who potentially could be plucked at the minimum include Jimmer Fredette (hasn’t lived up to expectations but did make 48 percent of his three-pointers in 49 games, mostly for Sacramento), Jordan Hamilton (has a developing three-point game), swingman Wesley Johnson (made 100 threes on 37 percent shooting for the Lakers), Xavier Henry (10 points per game for the Lakers), Al Faruoq Aminu (7.2 points, 6.2 rebounds for New Orleans but just a 27 percent three-point shooter) and Chris Douglas-Roberts (limited offensively).

At center/power forward, the Heat could try to implore Chris Kaman, who Pat Riley has always liked, to accept the minimum after making $3.1 million this season. He averaged 10.4 points and 5.9 rebounds in 39 games for the Lakers.

Veteran 6-10 center Omeka Okafor, 31, also would be an interesting option at the minimum if deemed healthy. He didn’t play this season because of a herniated disc in his neck but averaged 9.7 points and 8.8 rebounds as a starter for Washington in 2012-13.

Other potential options at the minimum: Kris Humphries, Elton Brand, Nazr Mohammed, DeJuan Blair, Charlie Villanueva, Jason Smith, Cole Aldrich, Aaron Gray, Matt Bonner and Drew Gooden.

### The draft: The Heat has the 26th and 55th selections in the June 26 draft. Because Miami traded its first-round pick last year, it is not permitted to trade its 2014 first-round pick before it selects a player. But the Heat is permitted to draft a player on behalf of another team and trade that player after the draft. The first-round pick will cost $958,100 against the salary cap.

The Heat’s two draft picks and other prospects will play for Miami's summer league team that will compete in Orlando and Las Vegas in July. Among other prospects expected to be on those teams: small forward James Ennis, the Heat’s 2013 second-round pick who played in Australia this past season.

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Jeff

Yuk.

Portugal Will beat YOU!

Enjoy the winning while it lasts...

Makaveli

Start of mandatory mini-camp for the Miami Dolphins. Good to see TMH out there reppin' and giving the fans and readers information. Good looking out James Walker, it's too big of a task for these local boys. The Heat got utterly destroyed by the Spurs so maybe they are all coward in a corner, softly sobbing and sucking their thumbs.

Marios

Pat Riley will find a way.
Please no more Carmelo talk.

I would renegotiate with Wade and Haslem to create room by adding extra 2 years, then from the list I only like Jordan Hamilton and Kaman.
Toney Douglas is as good as PGs in the minimum pay list IMO.
I would resign Rashad, Ray, Oden, Beasley and Douglas. Then see who gets waived or amnestied.

ShoeFin

Just curious... does the Herald still plan to cover the Dolphins? Nothing from the OTA's. Nothing on the status of the remaining draft choices. By the way, the Dolphins signed Landry. I read it in ESPN. Watching the "Sports Writers" tweet each other like a bunch of 15 year old girls just doesn't seem to be enough. When the Rams open training camp is riviting but cone on.

Penguin

Mama is still too sad about the outcome of the finals to think about saying goodbye to any of the players.

Barry Jackson

ShoeFin: I have a post up with a lot of notes on Dolphins minicamp today. Adam Beasley is doing a Tannehill story which will be posted later. And Beasley reported the Landry signing when it happened.

And Makaveli: Adam and I were both tweeting from Dolphins practices all day. Follow us on Twitter.

The comments to this entry are closed.