« Our contest winner is... | Main | Guest blog: UM can pull off upset in Swamp »

Keys to the game, Stock Market

It's officially less than 48 hours before the Canes and Gators get it on in The Swamp and I can only imagine that for some of you the drinking has already begun. I've got a five hour drive to Gainesville to complete in the morning, so I won't be joining you.

But I will leave you with more to ponder as we get closer and closer to Saturday night's 8 p.m. kickoff at Tim_tebowBen Hill Griffin Stadium. I just filed my feature story on how Miami plans to stop the Gators. It's not Mission Impossible, but its darn near close in my eyes. No matter how much green and orange pride you have in your heart, you know as much as I do this football team didn't have what it took defensively last year to stop even a team like Virginia. The Gators, whether you like it or not, are one of the top five most dangerous teams in all of college football.

Tim Tebow, whether you like him or not, can kill you with his ability to run the football, the playaction and because he rarely makes mistakes (he had all of 6 INTs last year). The collection of weapons at his disposal are dangerous. Percy Harvin is the real deal. Jeffrey Demps and Chris Rainey are blazing fast and about as dangerous a weapon in the open field as anybody. And in Florida's spread offense, they'll be put in plenty of those situations.

But the Gators do have a weakness. And that's the fact they do not have an established, power running Gator_rbs
game. Emmanuel Moody (6-0, 210) and Mon Williams (6-2, 210) are the two guys who are supposed to provide that. But they are relatively new to the deal. Last year, when Florida won, it averaged 222 yards on 40 carries a game. When the Gators lost, they ran the ball less on average (32 times) and were less successful (151 yards). When the Gators lost to Auburn, Tebow had 75 of his team's 111 yards on the ground. Auburn pounded the Gators into submission and controlled the clock late. Against LSU, the Gators blew a 24-14 lead in the fourth quarter because they couldn't run the football between the tackles. LSU kept the ball for 12 minutes in the final period and scored the winning points with Jacob Hester. Against Georgia, Tebow got sacked six times and Knowshown Moreno ate the Gators up to the tune of 188 yards and three scores.

Which leads me to the obvious keys to this game. If UM is going to have any shot to win in The Swamp...
1. The running game has to be successful: Miami has to not only control the clock, but pick up first downs consistently and keep Tebow and his toys off the field. If Miami can't move the chains, it's going to be a long, long night.
Glenn_cook
2. Nobody can miss an open field tackle: Whether the Canes like or not, Florida is going to have opportunities to hit the home run. The spread is going to create a lot of one-on-one situations. The Hurricanes cannot allow for the Gators to get easy scores and big gains. Obviously, with so many young players on the defensive line and guys coming back from injury (Glenn Cook, Anthony Reddick, Eric Moncur and Allen Bailey) I consider this the toughest task for the Canes.
3. The Special Teams have to provide a boost:This to me is the one category that can actually put the Canes over the top. Nothing quiets a crowd more or gets it excited than a big play on special teams. In a game filled with so much emotion, Miami can't afford letdowns (missed field goals, big returns by the Gators) or the Canes will have absolutely no shot of winning.

CANES IN THE STOCK MARKET
Last week, I gave you my first stock market report based on the individual play of certain players. Well, after one week and from what I've heard from practice, I've got our second installment ready to go.

BUY SOME NOW
> Graig Cooper, running back: While Javarris James will likely get the bulk of the carries Um_mug_gcooperSaturday night, Cooper to me seems primed to be the hero should the Canes pull the upset. Last week's eye-opening punt return for a score -- the first since 2004 -- shows you how much big play potential this sophomore has. Cooper also looked great running the ball, moving potential tacklers with him downfield. His added weight has made him stronger. And he hasn't lost any explosion.

> Spencer Adkins, linebacker: After basically being invisible for most of his first three years with The U, the undersized linebacker finally made a splash last week with two sacks against Charleston Southern. Adkins is proof positive sometimes having the right defensive coordinator can make you or break you. He was a standout end at Naples High and appears now like he'll be doing more of what he does best on third-and-long packages. It's an early sign Bill Young knows how to get the most out of his players.

> Eric Moncur, defensive end: Before the season started all we heard about was how much of a leader Moncur was going to be on this team and how much he would mean to the defense. After having sports hernia surgery, he's back this week in the rotation. And although he's only expected to play 20-25 snaps, I expect Moncur to play as Derrick Morse once told me "balls to the wall." With the death of his mother this past weekend after a long bout with cancer, something tells me Eric is going to do something special Saturday night. After all, his mother told him to make sure he got his butt in the game this week. Sometimes, emotions can make guys special on the field.

ON THE BUBBLE
> Robert Marve, quarterback: I feel horrible putting a guy making his first career start Um_mug_rmarve on the bubble. But who honestly has more to gain or lose this week than him? If Marve goes out and leads Miami to the win and plays great, nobody is going to care anymore that Jacory Harris is his backup. But if Marve comes out and plays horribly and Harris has more success than he does, UM will be back where it was last year. With fans debating about who should be the starting quarterback.

> Matt Bosher, kicker: Last week, Bosher did as good a job as anyone could have asked him to do handling all three duties. He averaged 39.3 yards a punt and pinned Charleston Southern inside the 20 twice. He made a 22-yard field goal and he averaged 62.3 yards on kickoffs. But unfortunately for him, the moment he messes up on something I'm sure it will be called into question if he's not handling too much. Florida has an amazing special teams unit. If Miami gives up a long return like Hawaii did last week, somebody is going to blame Bosher and say his leg is too tired.

TRADE IT IN
>Jermaine McKenzie, receiver: After looking like he might finally get over last season's Jermaine_mckenzieinjuries and be a contributor like most expected him to be when he was tearing this up in the Summer of 2007, it looks like the redshirt freshman suffered another injury setback in fall camp. This week, McKenzie was wearing Percy Harvin's number and running with the scout team. I hate to say it, but it could be another long year of waiting for McKenzie, who was not among the 11 receivers to catch a ball in the season opener.

>Randy Phillips, safety: I'm not sure what Phillips did to get suspended for the season opener, but it definitely looks like whatever it was has put him in the back of the line at safety. Jojo Nicholas and Anthony Reddick look like the clear-cut starters and the guys who have the job to lose at this point. Not what I was expecting from Phillips, a senior, who I thought could be the most valuable defensive player on this team because of his ability to create turnovers and big plays.

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Hello...

JORTS

M.H....shirts are in the mail!

NIce fantasy piece.

BLOWOUT

Um 6

UF 52

Blowout

Inexperience aside, it comes down to the heart of the kid playing the game. If the team truly buys-in to "no excuses" and they play fierce, we've got a shot. REMEMBER when the "underdog" Canes went up to Blacksburg a few years ago wearing all white uniforms and beat the snot out of "highly touted" Marcus Vick! How sweet it was to see those Hokie fans with their mouth on the floor in disbelief... ROLL CANES !!!

Phillips should red shirt. He has one available and we are deep at safety. Reddick and Ponder will be gone and he could provide leadership and depth next year.

What's our W/L record when we play in primetime?

Somebody go to Little Havana and get some SANTARIA goin' on this Saturday, meng!

Kansas, those VT fools faces were absolutely CLASSIC!! You should come over to Canespaces.com and blob with some hardcore Canes.

Manny, I have news for you. We have as much speed and talent as UF. And Harvin won't be a factor. So it will be their unproven talent agaisnt our unproven talent.

J-Mac is recovering mentally as much as anything at this point. But don't worry, he'll be ballin'. Davon Johnson also didn't make a catch. Don't worry about J-Mac. If worse comes to worse he can always RS again since last year was a medical RS.

Phillips will be in the thick of everything but I don't think he has the complete skill-set like JoJo and Reddick. He and Ponder will make everything deep and sharp.

Marve is going to blow up everyone's expectations.


STRAP UP!!!

KM , that's a damm good idea.

Orlando Sun Sentinel, Gator beat writer, is taking questions....

manny great writing this week leading up to the game...this is what the Drtycane wants to see:
-matt "im a pu__y" patchan get pancaked
-moncur destroying tebow on his east-west runs and his
-bailey blasting harvin bernard clark style
-travis T3 benjamin stiff arming major "i wish i were a cane now" harris
-coop taking it to the house like devin
-pick six for DVD..
last but not least..a late hit on murphy out-of-bounds ricochet into urban liar.
Go Canes.

"It's not Mission Impossible, but its darn near close in my eyes. No matter how much green and orange pride you have in your heart, you know as much as I do this football team didn't have what it takes defensively last year to stop even a team like Virginia. The Gators, whether you like it or not, are one of the top five most dangerous teams in all of college football."


No, No, No dont start backing down now. The kitchen is heating up and you are running for the hills and waving the white flag. 48 hours to go and Marve already needs to change his diaper. Keep up the hype about the Canes! Dont back down now.
5 hour drive? The Herald cant afford for you to take a plane? Geez. You are Manny Navarro. Get a plane. Or even a limo. Maybe some chardonnay. A lap dance. Something.

Kansas...here is everything U ever wanted to know. U want to know where reporters get there info to write there stories? Here it is:

http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/mifl/sports/m-footbl/auto_pdf/090608-florida-game-notes.pdf

Your welcome!

^^^their stories^^^

sorry

GO CANES, BEAT THE GATORS!!!

nobody gave the heat a chance against the mavs either on that 06' championship, the fact we're 20 plus point underdogs makes it even more sweeter! lets shut everybody up! GO CANES!


This blog needs an `86Gator.

Posted by: Shandel_Richardson | September 04, 2008 at 09:21 PM
LMAO.....This was on the gator blog!!

This blog needs an `86Gator.

Posted by: Shandel_Richardson | September 04, 2008 at 09:21 PM

Amen brother Shandel, Amen!

STRAP UP!!!

Posted by: Chinese Punisher aka Cavaleer | September 04, 2008 at 08:35 PM


You are a fool!

You make this too easy; candy from a baby

Don't give me this "Wait until Saturday" crap either. That was your excuse last year. Saddam was also pretty good with "You just wait..." Typical.

Manny,

it's Jacob Hester...not Jessie. lol

http://www.alligator.org/articles/2008/09/04/sports/football/080904_recruit.txt
Throughout his tenure at UF, coach Urban Meyer has picked out the two biggest home games of the season to host recruits on their official visits. This is one of those weekends.
-- independent alligator

http://www.gatorsports.com/article/20080903/NEWS/809040288/1090&title=South_Florida_Miami_s_recruiting_domain
Just growing up in Miami, you look at a lot of those (prospects) and (THE U) is their whole life. They're always hearing about the University of Miami. They're right there. Plus, Randy Shannon's relationship with all the high school coaches. A lot of those guys in that area he went to school with, so they know who he is. And, (prospects) may look at here as six hours away when they can go 20 minutes across the street to Miami.
-- gaturd D coordinator charlie strong

Florida is Titletown

Posted by: scUM of the earth | September 04, 2008 at 03:20 PM

Miami dolphins (2)
Miami heat (1)
Miami marlins (2)
Miami northwestern bulls (1)
Miami Hurricanes (5/4)

TITLETOWN, USA

UF: 17 NCAA championships

Posted by: UF Alum 2003 | September 04, 2008 at 06:22 PM
skipping rocks?
mattress chuck?
tobacco spit?

HEE-HAW

Even Marble Mouf will be overwhelmed by the Swamp.

Posted by: squashed like a bug | September 04, 2008 at 01:38 PM
Coach Shannon may not speak the king's english ...
but his heartfelt words impart the eternal truth ...

JUST WIN BABY

6/4 if Terry Porter wasn't a ref

Canes, baaby

Another important KEY for the game I see is: how HARD our DBs and Safeties lay out UFs speedy receivers to get into their heads. With jar-numbing licks, those speedy receivers will be more concerned about NOT catching balls than running.

I hope our guys bring that Ole D-mentality. I also go back to Vilma's lick on that Cornhusker tight-end in the Championship game. The game was over after that. Didn't that happen early in the game?

Sean Spence will layout the hits....we gotta hit em in the face in the beginning....and control the clock.

Darc,
The Canes do have 5 national championships. What is that 5/4ths stuff?
- CVS

Nica,
That hit occured in the 4th quarter against Nebraska. Both of his hits (one against the running back, the other against the TE) were late in the game. Youtube it.
- CVS

Manny...You're on to something with the stats on Florida's losses.

Florida runs out of the spread because they are a finess team. Their defense relies more on speed than it does on ability to win at the point of attack.

If we can be physcial against this team, they will quit.

Question is can we punch them in the face???

FOR THE RECORD... UF owns the decade? Ahem...
UM in the 2000s = 76-13
UF in the 2000s = 74-28

UM's record versus UF in 2000s... 4-0.
Same number of national championships. UF owns the decade? It ain't over yet. Not even after this year...

- CVS

FOR THE RECORD... UF owns the decade? Ahem...
UM in the 2000s = 76-13
UF in the 2000s = 74-28

UM's record versus UF in 2000s... 4-0.
Same number of national championships. UF owns the decade? It ain't over yet. Not even after this year...

- CVS

Posted by: CVS | September 04, 2008 at 11:12 PM

Ha thats good sh*t! So much for the gaytor fans bringin up the 80's huh?

I hate to be a buzz kill but I just wanted to wish my So FL bretheren a safe week. I don't like Ike.

Mike Bakas of Scout.com and Bob Redman of FightinGators.com join Christian and Scott to preview Miami vs Florida.

http://video.msn.com/video.aspx?mkt=en-US&brand=foxsports&vid=b5f067bb-749c-41f3-ab54-c60207061f0c

5 football champs
4 baseball champs

for UM???

FYI - ESPN has a good article on Miami, it's located under ESPN then click on college fb.

The future lools bright, of the 100 players on the roster, 40 are either true or redshirt freshmen.

No more Santeria in Lil Habana...Just alotta papusas...check Lil Haiti for some good ol potent voo-doo...I think the Big Baba over there said he wanted him some gator skin shoes with a hat to match...GO CANES...

Q: Manny, it's Jacob Hester...not Jessie. lol
Posted by: Carlos | September 04, 2008 at 10:04 PM

A: My bad.

honestly, some of this media hype is a little extreme. Florida is the team of this decade?? I did not know a decade is two years. I was under the impression a decade was ten years. Florida won the NC, I'll give them that, but they won that year winning a few games by the slimmest of margins. not even convincing enough people to deserve to play in the NC. Less we forget, more people wanted a rematch of Ohio State and Michigan. Of course, we all know Ohio State would have rather played michigan that year. However, they follow that year by going 9-4. Even though they have a top five team, they are not favored to go undefeated.

now miami, had a dominant three year window of losing 2 games (one of them includes a national championship that was taken away). Even then the decline was gradual on a year to year basis of losing one more game than the previous year.

the state of the miami program is blown past hyperbole. yeah we sucked last year, not an entire lifetime. change is coming. if there was anything to take from last year was the second game of the season versus oklahoma. we thought we were better than we were and got pasted. a lesson in hubris learned? Do you honestly think Shannon did not know where the program was after that thrashing? Shannon knows where the program is and most likely the means to getting it where it wants to be. Randy got his boys prepared, win or lose, the game will not define the U. How we handle the aftermath will.

Good luck with Ike come Tuesday U all


drive safe

I read that over 30 recruit prospects that are 4-stars or higher are expected to attend this game. Meyer wants them to be present and has pulled some strings to get some in. Hopfully, we'll put on a show for them. Go Canes!

Manny dont forget to pack your jorts. if you dont have any heres how to make some. good luck...

Florida is Titletown

Posted by: scUM of the earth | September 04, 2008 at 03:20 PM

Miami dolphins (2)
Miami heat (1)
Miami marlins (2)
Miami northwestern bulls (1)
Miami Hurricanes (5/4)

TITLETOWN, USA

Posted by: green | September 04, 2008 at 10:09 PM

You forgot to mention the 9 Super Bowls played in Miami as well as the countless NCAA national champs crowned in the Orange Bowl.

who are you ...
I like my post as is ...
JOE MAMA

1 2 »

The comments to this entry are closed.