The Marlins are off today and heading up to D.C., where they'll begin a three-game set against the Nationals on Tuesday, and they're taking a 5-2 record with them. After one week, they lead the majors in runs scored, rank second in hitting, and own the fifth-best staff ERA.
World Series, here they come? Of course not.
Put on your choir robes and say it all at once: "It's early."
And indeed it is. It's way too early to go making predictions (spelling corrected) based on the first seven games of 162.
But take a look at how Marlins teams of the past have ended up based on their first-week results and you should notice a trend. Marlins teams that start poorly usually remain that way. And those that jump out to good starts, well...take a look.
Here are the best seven-game starts in Marlins history, along with each team's final record:
Year First 7 Final
1997 6-1 92-70 (Won World Series)
2004 6-1 83-79
2009 6-1 87-75
2007 5-2 71-91
2014 5-2 ???????
Now take a look at the worst seven-game starts in Marlins history:
Year First 7 Final
1995 1-6 67-76
1998 1-6 54-108
2006 1-6 78-84
2013 1-6 62-100
Get the picture? Other than the 2007 season, when the Marlins started 5-2 but finished 20 games below .500, a strong start has been an indicator of a good season -- at least by Marlins standards. Likewise, awful starts have always led to awful seasons, with one exception: 2003. That team started 2-5 but brought the franchise its second World Series title.
Still, history would suggest that the prospects for the rest of the season for the Marlins appear far brighter at 5-2 than the other way around.
What do you think?
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