« Polls show contests for Dems in South Florida | Main | Swiftboat Sarah says 'it may get kinda rough' »

Poll suggests trouble for Diaz-Balart

A new poll done for Telemundo 51 shows a tight race between Lincoln Diaz-Balart and Raul Martinez, with the GOP incumbent failing to break 50 percent.

The poll shows Diaz-Balart leading Martinez 48 percent to 43 percent, with 9 percent undecided. (The poll was 300 voters; margin of error 5 percentage points)

Diaz-Balart -- first elected to the seat in 1992 -- has a decided advantage among the district's Cuban American voters, where he leads Martinez 61 percent to 30 percent with 9 percent undecided. But the former Hialeah mayor leads Diaz-Balart 53 percent to 37 percent among non Cuban Hispanics and 47 percent to 39 percent among Anglos and blacks.

The poll also shows independent voters breaking for Martinez, 51 percent to 32 percent for Diaz-Balart. Seventeen percent were undecided.