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Q Poll shows Dems up in FL: Nelson over Mack 43-39, Obama over Romney 46-42

From Quinnipiac:

U.S. Rep. Connie Mack has an overwhelming lead over the Republican field for Florida’s U.S. Senate nomination, while Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson edges him by a nose, 43 – 39 percent, in a November match-up, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

A shift by independent voters gives President Barack Obama a 46 – 42 percent lead over Republican Gov. Mitt Romney in the Sunshine State, according to the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll.

In the GOP U.S. Senate primary, Republican registered voters give Mack 41 percent, while none of the other three candidates crack double digits.  Former U.S. Sen. George LeMieux gets 8 percent, with Tea Party favorite Mike McCalister at 5 percent and former U.S. Rep. Dave Weldon at 3 percent.  Another 39 percent of Republicans remain undecided.

“At this point, the Republican Senate nomination is Congressman Connie Mack’s to lose,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “In politics, anything is possible and we still have two months to go until the Senate primary, but it would take a major change in public opinion for one of the other candidates to stop Connie Mack.  And the projected November election between U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson and Mack looks like it could go down to the wire.”

Mack also runs best against Nelson among the GOP hopefuls. The Democratic incumbent‘s leads over the other GOP Senate aspirants is in double digits: 47 – 32 percent over LeMieux; 45 – 34 percent over McCalister and 47 – 31 percent over Weldon.

Nelson’s razor-thin lead over Mack compares to a tie in the May 24 Quinnipiac University poll with Mack at 42 percent and Nelson at 41 percent.