From American Research Group, which conducts so-called "robo-polls." It found President Obama, once ahead of Republican Mitt Romney, falling behind 46-49 percent. A Miami Herald survey yesterday found the same thing, but reported a bigger, 7-point lead for Romney. But The Herald poll and this survey have one striking similarity: Each shows an exact, 8-point shift in Romney's favor and away from Obama since September. As we've said before: It ain't the topline, it's the trend. But now the trend is bad for Obama (although a Marist Poll found the race essentially unchanged).
| Florida | ||||
| Obama | Romney | Other | Undecided | |
| Likely voters | 46% | 49% | 1% | 4% |
| Democrats (40%) | 80% | 14% | 1% | 5% |
| Republicans (37%) | 9% | 88% | - | 3% |
| Independents (23%) | 45% | 49% | 2% | 4% |
| Men (48%) | 42% | 53% | 2% | 3% |
| Women (52%) | 49% | 46% | - | 5% |
| 18 to 49 (48%) | 50% | 45% | 1% | 4% |
| 50 and older (52%) | 42% | 54% | 1% | 3% |
| White (73%) | 39% | 56% | 1% | 4% |
| African American (9%) | 91% | 5% | - | 4% |
| Sep 20-22 | 50% | 45% | 1% | 4% |
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