This blog has moved.

Please visit our new page here

« Poll-prediction guru Nate Silver gives Charlie Crist a "slight" 60% chance of winning | Main | 0ptimus FL poll: Rick Scott 43%, Charlie Crist 41%; Wyllie 10% »

Q Poll: Charlie Crist 42%, Rick Scott 41%, Wyllie (7%) draws more from Crist


Yup, it's still tied.

Quinnipiac University this morning released a pre-Election Day poll showing Democrat Charlie Crist nursing a 1 percentage point lead over Gov. Rick Scott -- making the race basically a dead heat. Quinnipiac didn't include its poll demographics in its press release. So all you polling unskewers will have to wait.

Here's the press release:

The Florida governor’s race goes down to the wire, with Democrat Charlie Crist at 42 percent of likely voters to Republican incumbent Gov. Rick Scott’s 41 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie has 7 percent, with 9 percent undecided the day before election.

This compares to results of an October 30 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Crist with 43 percent of likely voters to Gov. Scott’s 40 percent, with Wyllie at 8 percent.

With Wyllie out of the race, Crist gets 44 percent to Scott’s 42 percent.

Scott leads Crist among men 47 – 34 percent, with 8 percent for Wyllie, while Crist leads Scott 50 – 35 percent among women, with 6 percent for Wyllie. Independent voters go to Crist 39 – 32 percent, with 16 percent for Wyllie. Republicans back Scott 81 – 8 percent, with 4 percent for Wyllie. Democrats go to Crist 84 – 6 percent, with 2 percent for Wyllie.

Among those who already have voted, Crist gets 44 percent to Scott’s 40 percent.

“After an incredibly expensive, extremely nasty campaign, the Florida governor’s race is too close to call. The winner will be the candidate best able to get his voters to the polls. Turnout, turnout, turnout,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll.

One day before Election Day, 95 percent of voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 5 percent say they might change their mind.

Florida likely voters give Crist a negative 43 – 50 percent favorability rating, compared to Scott’s negative 42 – 49 percent, while 83 percent of likely voters still do not know enough about Wyllie to form an opinion of him.

From October 28 – November 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 817 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. 

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.